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Football Betting Tips Digest: September 2026

05.10.2026, 12:16

Our data team logged 87,863 football tips in September 2026, submitted by 515 active tipsters across 561 leagues worldwide. Tipsters posted an average of 2,929 tips per day, and the platform graded 86,990 of those tips, finishing the month with a global win rate of 50.9% at average odds of 2.18. The most tipped competition was the EFL Championship – 2026/27 – Regular Season, which drew 2,364 tips on its own. Every tip on the platform gets tracked and graded by our team of data managers, working around the clock to keep the numbers accurate.

This report is strictly for informational and educational purposes. It serves as a statistical showcase of market trends and historical performance within the sports betting niche and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to place specific bets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We encourage all readers to view this data as a retrospective market analysis rather than a call to action. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Upset 20

This list highlights the 20 most unexpected results of the month. We looked at every football match and identified where the winner had the highest odds—meaning they were the least likely to win according to the bookmakers. The higher the odds in the ‘Winner Odds’ column, the bigger the surprise.

Tournament Match Score Winner Odds
Asian Games – 2026 – Group C Uzbekistan U23 vs Kuwait U23 2-0 19.00
Pro League U21 – 2026/27 – Regular Season Liege Reserves vs Kortrijk U21 1-0 18.00
Asian Games – 2026 – Group D South Korea U23 vs Qatar U23 4-1 17.50
CONCACAF Nations League – 2026/27 – League C Group C French Saint-Martin vs US Virgin Islands 0-2 16.76
Jordanian Pro League – 2026/27 – Regular Season Al Hussein vs Al Jazeera Amman 0-5 13.34
Saudi Pro League – 2026/27 – Regular Season Al-Hilal vs Neom SC 0-2 13.10
UEFA European U21 Championship – 2027 Qualifiers – Group B Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21 2-1 13.00
Division 3 – 2026 – Group D Haugesund B vs Hinna 2-4 12.00
DBU Pokalen – 2026/27 – Round 3 Brabrand vs Viborg 2-1 11.11
Super League 1 – 2026/27 – Regular Season Olympiacos vs OFI Crete 0-1 10.85
Liga Alef – 2026/27 – North Nof HaGalil vs Tzeirey Tamra 2-3 10.80
SPFL Trust Trophy – 2026/2027 – Round 1 Ross County vs Aberdeen U21 3-4 10.58
Regionalliga Ost – 2026/27 – Regular Season SV Oberwart vs SV Donau 0-2 10.41
EFL Trophy – 2026/27 – Southern Group F Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21 1-2 10.00
Meistriliiga – 2026 – Regular Season Levadia vs Tammeka 6-0 9.97
Super Liga – 2026/27 – Regular Season Zimbru Chisinau vs Dacia Buiucani 0-1 9.87
Liga MX – 2026 Apertura – Regular Season Toluca vs Santos Laguna 2-3 9.48
J. League Cup – 2026/27 – Round of 32 Gainare Tottori vs V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 9.15
Botola Pro – 2026/27 – Regular Season Wydad vs Wydad 1-3 8.74
Major League Soccer – 2026 – Regular Season Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin 1-2 8.74

Consensus Flops

The wisdom of the crowd isn’t always wise. This table highlights the Top 20 ‘Traps’ of the month—matches where an overwhelming majority of our tipsters (at least 85%) backed one team, only to see that bet fail. These results serve as a reminder: just because ‘everyone’ is betting on a favorite, it doesn’t guarantee a win. Use this to see which teams let the public down the most.

Date Tournament Match Score Failed Consensus Consensus Tips Outcome Odds
2026-09-05 Super League 1 – 2026/27 – Regular Season Volos vs Olympiacos 1-1 Away (100.0%) 10 5.52
2026-09-05 2. Bundesliga – 2026/27 – Regular Season Wolfsburg vs Cottbus 4-4 Home (100.0%) 20 5.48
2026-09-05 Saudi Pro League – 2026/27 – Regular Season Al Ittihad vs Al Nassr 2-1 Away (100.0%) 12 4.90
2026-09-05 Parva Liga – 2026/27 – Regular Season Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia 1-1 Away (100.0%) 13 3.85
2026-09-04 Superliga – 2026/27 – Regular Season Viborg vs Lyngby 0-2 Home (100.0%) 33 3.89
2026-09-03 Copa AUF Uruguay – 2026 – Group A Atenas de San Carlos vs Penarol 2-2 Away (100.0%) 11 3.20
2026-09-05 Ligue 2 – 2026/27 – Regular Season Reims vs Guingamp 2-2 Home (100.0%) 15 3.62
2026-09-05 Norwegian First Division – 2026 – Regular Season Stabaek vs Moss 2-3 Home (100.0%) 11 6.02
2026-09-04 Kuwait Premier League – 2026/27 – Regular Season Al-Arabi vs Al Sulaibikhat 3-3 Home (100.0%) 10 5.85
2026-09-02 UEFA Women’s Champions League – 2026/27 – Qualification Round 3 Juventus (w) vs St. Polten (w) 1-1 Home (100.0%) 13 9.25
2026-09-01 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B – 2026 – Regular Season Fortaleza vs Operario PR 1-1 Home (100.0%) 26 3.45
2026-09-04 Superettan – 2026 – Regular Season Norrkoping vs Ljungskile 2-2 Home (100.0%) 21 4.82
2026-09-01 Primera Nacional – 2026 – Regular Season Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario 1-1 Home (100.0%) 19 3.31
2026-09-01 Primera Nacional – 2026 – Regular Season Los Andes vs Acassuso 0-0 Home (100.0%) 18 2.78
2026-09-01 Puchar Polski – 2026/27 – Round 1 Motor Lublin vs Legia 3-0 Away (100.0%) 17 3.42
2026-09-04 Regionalliga Ost – 2026/27 – Regular Season SV Oberwart vs SV Donau 0-2 Home (100.0%) 11 10.41
2026-09-02 J1 League – 2026/2027 – Regular Season Mito vs Kashima Antlers 4-2 Away (100.0%) 26 4.39
2026-09-05 Bolivian Professional Football League – 2026 – Regular Season Guabira vs Real Potosi 1-1 Home (100.0%) 10 3.72
2026-09-03 A Lyga – 2026 – Regular Season Banga vs Panevezys 0-3 Home (100.0%) 36 3.62
2026-09-06 Allsvenskan – 2026 – Regular Season Orgryte vs Hammarby 1-1 Away (100.0%) 10 6.52

League Volatility

This section analyzes which tournaments were the most unpredictable this month. We rank them based on the Average Winning Odds – the higher this number, the more often the ‘less likely’ outcome occurred. We also show the Upset Rate (how often the favorite failed to win) and Draw Rate to give you a complete picture of why these specific leagues were so difficult to forecast.

Tournament Matches Analyzed Avg Winning Odds Upset Rate Draw Rate
NIFL Championship – 2026/27 – Regular Season 18 3.40 61.1% 27.8%
Armenian First League – 2026/27 – Regular Season 15 3.39 66.7% 26.7%
Division 3 – 2026 – Group D 16 3.26 43.8% 18.8%
Ykkösliiga – 2026 – Regular Season 17 3.24 58.8% 41.2%
Saudi Pro League – 2026/27 – Regular Season 28 3.15 50.0% 32.1%
Ukrainian First League – 2026/2027 – Regular Season 15 3.10 80.0% 33.3%
English Premier League – 2026/27 – Regular Season 30 3.10 63.3% 40.0%
Primera B – 2026 – Clausura 33 3.07 54.5% 27.3%
Major League Soccer – 2026 – Regular Season 73 3.04 60.3% 30.1%
Superliga – 2026/27 – Regular Season 20 3.03 65.0% 30.0%

Most Tipped Clubs

This table lists the 20 clubs that generated the most betting action this month. We break down their activity to show you how often they were tipped (Total Tips), the average odds offered on their matches, and most importantly, the success rate. You can easily compare the club’s actual form (Team Wins) with the success of the predictions made on them (Tip Win %), helping you identify the most reliable teams to back.

Club Total Matches Tips Home Tips Away Tips Average Odds Team Wins Winning Tips Tip Win %
Real Madrid 5 446 188 258 1.40 3 252 56.5%
Liverpool 5 438 254 184 1.67 4 320 73.1%
Real Betis 5 424 218 206 3.79 4 102 24.1%
Arsenal 5 391 74 317 1.60 4 321 82.1%
Paris Saint Germain 4 353 246 107 1.23 3 221 62.6%
Barcelona 5 351 186 165 1.16 5 345 98.3%
Villarreal 5 350 149 201 2.23 2 232 66.3%
Manchester City 5 339 162 177 1.52 5 298 87.9%
Ipswich 4 319 213 106 5.34 1 229 71.8%
Atletico Madrid 5 308 100 208 3.03 3 201 65.3%
Aston Villa 5 301 58 243 2.42 3 92 30.6%
Crystal Palace 5 295 212 83 2.28 3 139 47.1%
Manchester United 5 294 195 99 1.88 1 154 52.4%
Sunderland 5 291 198 93 4.28 2 215 73.9%
Chelsea 4 288 128 160 2.57 1 133 46.2%
West Ham 6 285 179 106 1.88 4 192 67.4%
Inter 4 282 115 167 3.25 2 234 83.0%
Real Sociedad 5 281 185 96 2.62 2 125 44.5%
Millwall 6 270 173 97 4.01 1 96 35.6%
Napoli 4 269 188 81 3.97 1 227 84.4%

Tipster Leaderboards

This leaderboard ranks our top tipsters not just by total cash won, but by efficiency. The key metric here is ROI (Return on Investment), which tells you how much profit a tipster generates for every unit wagered. A high ROI means they are beating the bookies consistently, not just getting lucky with one massive bet. We also list their Average Odds alongside their Win Rate to reveal their style: notice how some ‘Sharpshooters’ maintain a high win rate on safer bets, while ‘Value Hunters’ might win less often but target much higher odds to generate massive profit. We have filtered this list to include only those with a significant number of bets to ensure these results are skill, not luck.

Tipster Total Bets Leagues Played Win Rate Avg Odds Total Profit ROI %
Oliver Green 31 4 67.7% 2.44 21.0746 67.98%
Nazar Cherkovskij 15 4 80.0% 2.23 9.3682 62.45%
Carsten Rasmussen 12 1 58.3% 2.41 6.7221 56.02%
ensigame 16 11 75.0% 1.93 8.6750 54.22%
footystats 14 7 78.6% 1.88 6.9818 49.87%
Sridhar Bhamidi 12 8 75.0% 2.10 5.6902 47.42%
Tim Bakker 13 1 61.5% 2.46 5.6172 43.21%
Alex Wrigley 29 16 58.6% 2.69 12.0643 41.60%
Sam Varley 18 9 66.7% 2.07 7.4788 41.55%
Anthony Nolan 28 10 67.9% 2.27 11.4097 40.75%
Soccer Tips 13 10 84.6% 2.91 5.0972 39.21%
Adam Clancy 21 10 66.7% 2.53 8.0594 38.38%
Sebouh Babikian 32 10 59.4% 2.58 11.2572 35.18%
Marko Rudyk 15 5 60.0% 2.60 5.2571 35.05%
MetaPred 40 13 72.5% 1.94 13.7859 34.46%
Peter Green 15 8 66.7% 2.00 4.9869 33.25%
Oliver Thomas 23 8 56.5% 2.55 7.1949 31.28%
tipstrike 40 15 52.5% 3.04 12.4971 31.24%
Ball Prediction 45 25 66.7% 2.50 13.5321 30.07%
LiveTipsPortal 29 15 65.5% 2.32 8.6149 29.71%
Peter Morris 20 11 60.0% 2.42 5.9053 29.53%
Kelechi Udoka 21 5 66.7% 2.20 6.1463 29.27%
Matthew Cooper 15 3 53.3% 2.62 4.2222 28.15%
Stephen 13 4 61.5% 2.30 3.6418 28.01%
LiveTipsPortal Community Voting 34 15 73.5% 1.88 9.4525 27.80%

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