Fluminense RJ vs Ulsan Hyundai Prediction: 22.06.2025 FIFA Club World Cup Preview

The last group match in FIFA Club World Cup 2025 Group F pits Brazilian giants Fluminense RJ against South Korea’s Ulsan Hyundai at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. With both sides chasing progression and Group F’s top spot still up for grabs, the pressure mounts for Renato Gaúcho and Pan-gon Kim. Fans will recall that Fluminense’s tactical discipline has anchored their continental ambitions lately, but Ulsan Hyundai, Asia’s seasoned travelers, bring a dynamic and high-tempo brand of football that’s capable of unsettling any opponent. Adding intrigue, both teams remain winless in the group, setting the stage for an intense battle for crucial points.

Key players look set to make the difference. For Fluminense, winger Kevin Serna has found form at the right time, contributing two goals in his last four games with direct dribbling and clinical finishing. In contrast, Ulsan Hyundai’s danger man in attack is Erick Farias, whose three goals in his last four demonstrate both poacher’s instinct and versatility in the front line. The midfield duel will be pivotal, as Fluminense’s Matheus Martinelli faces off against the creative urgency of Darijan Bojanić.

Worth noting: Fluminense RJ have avoided defeat in their last six matches, an impressive stretch that underlines their resilience and adaptability under pressure.

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Fluminense RJ vs Ulsan Hyundai prediction

The optimal play for this match is a Fluminense RJ Asian Handicap -1 bet. The Cariocas have demonstrated stronger consistency, superior ball retention, and attacking incisiveness compared to the slightly inconsistent Ulsan Hyundai. With a 67 percent win rate in their last six and unbeaten in this Club World Cup, Fluminense’s robust defensive organisation (just two goals conceded in their last five) gives them a clear edge. Ulsan, while boasting individual attacking threats in Farias and Um Won-Sang, have struggled to finish chances and dropped critical points late in games.

Statistically, Fluminense are more controlled in possession (over 1600 passes in five games with 85 percent accuracy), while Ulsan have relied on direct offensive transitions. Both are disciplined, with only six yellow cards apiece in their last five and minimal red-card risks. Fouls are slightly high (Fluminense: 40, Ulsan: 36 in last five), suggesting a physical, tightly contested affair. With Fluminense’s technical midfield likely to dictate the tempo, Ulsan’s best hope is counter-attacking quickly through the flanks.

Team Analysis

Fluminense RJ: Fluminense showed resolve in a 0-0 opener versus Borussia Dortmund, containing a high-caliber attack and keeping composure under pressure. Previously, they defeated Internacional and Once Caldas 2-0 and dispatched Vasco 2-1, with steadily improving fluidity in their 4-2-3-1 setup. Standouts like Kevin Serna and midfield engine Matheus Martinelli have provided attacking thrust, while Fábio in goal anchors a disciplined back line. Their ability to control tempo and press intelligently has allowed them to create multiple opportunities—49 total shots in five games underscore their proactivity.

Ulsan Hyundai: Ulsan lost narrowly to Mamelodi Sundowns (0-1) despite a strong finish that nearly produced a late equalizer. Their attack, frequently led by Erick Farias and Um Won-Sang, produced five goals in the last five games but has lacked consistency against higher-quality opposition. Notably, Ulsan’s 4-3-3 formation amplifies their width and crossing game, yet they can be vulnerable to rapid midfield turnovers. Their prior results include a 1-3 defeat to Jeonbuk and a 1-1 draw with Gwangju, reflecting fluctuating defensive solidity—yet their 51 shots paint a picture of creativity and risk-taking.

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🚨Read our full Fluminense RJ vs Ulsan Hyundai stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fluminense RJ the favourite

• Moneyline Fluminense RJ 1.55 | Ulsan Hyundai 6.20
• Draw 4.10
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.66

The market is clear: Fluminense are deserved favorites with odds drifting between 1.51 and 1.60, reflecting superior recent form and squad depth. Ulsan’s price at 6.20 hints at their underdog status, yet their attacking numbers keep them a potential risk. The relatively low odds for under 2.5 goals suggest a cagey affair, driven by Fluminense’s sturdy defense and Ulsan’s lack of finishing against top-class opponents. Bookmaker consensus aligns with the tournament’s tactical pattern – expect Fluminense to control and edge it.

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The Verdict

My main pick is Fluminense RJ to win, likely by two clear goals. Their organization, recent unbeaten run, and tactical balance put them in pole position to claim all three points. Ulsan Hyundai’s spirited offense could threaten on the counter, but Fluminense’s shape and midfield discipline should control the narrative. An early goal would tilt things dramatically in the Brazilians’ favor, while a slow start could invite edginess. Still, expect Fluminense’s pedigree and star quality to shine in a match that may define Group F.

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