Rafael Nogueira
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Flamengo welcome Corinthians to the Maracanã sitting top of the Série A table with a six point cushion, while their guests arrive in mid-table limbo, winless in four of their last five outings. The gap in form is stark: Flamengo have won six of their last eight games, Corinthians just one of seven. Leonardo Jardim’s side has also outscored Corinthians by a two-to-one margin in shots and passing accuracy across the last five matches, a gap that tends to widen further at home in front of a packed Rio crowd.
Samuel Lino has been Flamengo’s sharpest attacking weapon lately, scoring three goals in his last five appearances while also chipping in an assist, and his direct running down the left channel should stretch a Corinthians back line that has struggled defensively. Giorgian de Arrascaeta continues to dictate tempo through the middle third, with two assists in the same span. On the other side, Rodrigo Garro remains Corinthians’ main creative outlet, though he has produced only one assist recently and will need a much sharper night to keep his side competitive.
Hot stat: Corinthians have picked up 11 yellow cards across their last five matches, almost three times Flamengo’s tally of 4, a sign of a side chasing games and fouling under pressure rather than dictating play.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:30 CEST |
Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians Paulista prediction
We predict a comfortable Flamengo win, most likely by a two goal margin. The hosts have scored 51 goals in 26 league matches this season, the best tally in the division, and their defense has conceded just 21, the joint-best mark alongside Palmeiras. Corinthians, by contrast, have managed only 27 goals all season and have lost 10 of their 26 league fixtures. The gulf in quality, squad depth and current form all point one way, and the home advantage at a full Maracanã only strengthens that case.
Flamengo’s passing accuracy sits well clear of Corinthians in recent match data, and they commit far fewer fouls, 43 against 60 over the last five games, which keeps their shape intact and limits set-piece opportunities for the opposition. Corinthians’ higher foul count and card total suggest a team playing catch-up defensively, something that plays directly into Flamengo’s attacking hands, particularly through wide combinations and quick transitions.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Flamengo to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Flamengo’s last outing produced a 2-0 win over Independiente del Valle, extending a run that now reads four straight victories after a lone loss to Cruzeiro five games back. Before that they beat Remo 1-0, thrashed Mirassol 2-0 and put three past Botafogo without conceding. The pattern is clear: tight defensively, clinical up top, and increasingly hard to break down as the season progresses.
Corinthians head into this one off a 1-1 draw with Estudiantes LP, their only unbeaten result in the last four matches. Before that they lost 1-2 to Chapecoense, fell 0-1 to Santos and dropped another 1-2 defeat to Coritiba. Fernando Diniz’s side has won only once in seven matches this stretch, and the underlying numbers, fewer shots, lower pass accuracy, more fouls conceded, back up the eye test that this is a team short on confidence heading into a hostile away fixture.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Flamengo RJ | Corinthians Paulista |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
The two sides drew 1-1 in their last Série A meeting, before that Corinthians won the Supercopa do Brasil final 2-0. Results have swung both ways historically, but Flamengo have won three of the last five overall.
🚨Check out our dedicated Flamengo RJ vs Corinthians Paulista stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Flamengo RJ the favourite
- Moneyline Flamengo RJ 1.37 | Corinthians Paulista 8.00
- Draw 4.20
Bookmakers make Flamengo overwhelming favourites at odds around 1.37, with an implied win probability near 67%. Corinthians sit near 8.00, reflecting their poor away form and the wide gap in current league standing. The draw at roughly 4.20 offers little value given how one-sided this fixture looks on paper, though a cautious Corinthians approach could keep the scoreline tighter than the market suggests early on.
Possible Starting Lineups
Flamengo RJ possible starting eleven
- GK: Agustín Rossi
- DF: Guillermo Varela, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Ayrton Lucas
- MF: Erick Pulgar, Jorginho, Giorgian de Arrascaeta, Jorge Carrascal, Samuel Lino
- FW: Pedro
Jardim sticks with his usual 4-2-3-1, built around the Pulgar-Jorginho double pivot that has controlled midfield in recent weeks. Samuel Lino and Arrascaeta carry most of the creative burden, and Pedro leads the line after contributing directly in his last five appearances.
Corinthians Paulista possible starting eleven
- GK: Kauê
- DF: Matheuzinho, Gustavo Henrique, Gabriel Paulista, Fabrizio Angileri
- MF: Raniele, Allan, Rodrigo Garro, André Carrillo, Breno Bidon
- FW: Pedro Raul
Diniz mirrors the 4-2-3-1 setup, leaning on Allan and Raniele to shield a defense that has looked shaky recently. Garro remains the player Corinthians need most going forward, with Pedro Raul isolated up top and likely to see limited service against a well-organized Flamengo back line.
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Flamengo RJ. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We back Flamengo to win comfortably, perhaps by two clear goals, given their attacking output at home and Corinthians’ struggles on the road. Our punters team leans toward Flamengo win and over 2.5 goals as the core play, with the clean sheet angle worth a small side stake given how porous Corinthians have looked defensively this stretch. To be honest, the only real question is the margin, not the winner.
