Rafael Nogueira
Two of the most troubled sides in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série C 2026 meet at Orlando Scarpelli on Tuesday morning. Figueirense and Volta Redonda both sit on 8 points from 9 games, joint 17th and 18th respectively, separated only by goal difference. With the bottom four facing real relegation pressure, this is a direct six-pointer between sides that have collectively conceded 28 goals in 18 league outings. Figueirense’s home crowd will be the only meaningful edge here: coach Raul Cabral’s side has not been convincing anywhere this season, but Volta Redonda under Neto Colucci has shipped three or more goals in back-to-back away fixtures.
Keep an eye on Figueirense’s attacking options against a Volta Redonda backline that conceded four to Maringa FC just days ago. On the other side, any Volta Redonda forward who can exploit Figueirense’s leaky defence — the hosts have already conceded 15 in 9 games — becomes an immediate threat to the home side’s confidence.
Hot stat: Volta Redonda have conceded 13 goals in 9 league matches, and their last two away games produced a combined 0-7 scoreline against them, signalling a defence in freefall on the road.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série C 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Orlando Scarpelli, Florianopolis |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:30 CEST |
Figueirense vs Volta Redonda Prediction
Figueirense at home is the logical lean here. The bookmakers price them as favourites at roughly 42%, and the context supports that: they play at Orlando Scarpelli, Volta Redonda’s away form is catastrophic (0-3 vs Avai, 0-4 vs Maringa FC in recent trips), and even a modest home performance should be enough to take three points. Figueirense’s own results are inconsistent, but their 1-0 win over Amazonas FC shows they can grind out results when the occasion demands it.
Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets. Figueirense conceded three times to Brusque and Barra in separate fixtures, while Volta Redonda have shipped seven goals across their last two away games alone. That pattern points firmly toward goals. Figueirense commit fouls at a rate that generates set-piece danger for the opponent, and Volta Redonda’s travel record suggests they will sit deep but leak anyway. A low-to-moderate scoring game with a home win is the most defensible outcome, though we predict at least one goal from each side given how exposed both defences have been.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Figueirense to Win & Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Figueirense’s recent form shows a side that wins just enough to stay relevant but collapses against better opponents. Their last five league games include a 1-0 win over Amazonas FC, a damaging 0-3 defeat to Barra, and a 0-1 loss to Itabaiana before that. The 1-3 home defeat to Brusque — their most recent outing — was a damaging result that dropped them to 17th. Brusque entered that game ranked among the top three in the league, so the context is softer than the scoreline suggests, but conceding three at home is still alarming. The 0-0 draw with Confianca sandwiched in between shows Figueirense can defend when motivated, though they offer little going forward in those performances.
Volta Redonda’s last five fixtures tell a story of a team that occasionally produces a result at home — their 2-1 win over Ypiranga stands out — but falls apart on the road. The 0-3 loss at Avai (played twice in that window, drawing 2-2 in one fixture and losing 0-3 in another) and the 0-4 hammering by Maringa FC away are deeply concerning. Their only win in the last five came against Ypiranga, who sit just above the drop zone themselves. Neto Colucci’s side has conceded 13 goals in 9 league games and shows no sign of fixing that on the road.
🚨Check out our dedicated Figueirense vs Volta Redonda stats page for more info.
Volta Redonda. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Figueirense the Favourite
- Moneyline Figueirense 2.10 | Volta Redonda 3.25
- Draw 3.05
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Figueirense at 2.10 reflects a modest but fair home advantage. Given Volta Redonda’s away record and the defensive frailty both sides carry, the draw at 3.05 is overpriced. The away win at 3.25 looks too generous to ignore as a small-stake option if you believe Figueirense’s home form is overstated, but we lean toward the hosts. The 2.10 on Figueirense is not spectacular value, which is why pairing it with both teams to score improves the return while staying grounded in what the data shows.
Possible Starting Lineups
No confirmed player data is available for either squad ahead of this fixture, so projected lineups cannot be provided with sufficient accuracy. Check team news closer to kick-off for confirmed selections from both Raul Cabral and Neto Colucci.
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Figueirense. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
This is a relegation battle between two sides that have each won just twice in nine league games. Figueirense carry the home advantage and face a Volta Redonda team that has been dismantled on the road in every recent away trip. The hosts’ 33% win rate this year is uninspiring, but it still edges Volta Redonda’s 31%, and the venue factor is real at this level of Brazilian football.
We predict a Figueirense win with both teams scoring. The hosts should find the net at least once against a defence that has conceded 13 in 9, and Volta Redonda will likely grab a consolation given Figueirense’s own leaky backline. Over 2.5 goals is supported by the combined defensive records of both clubs, and the corner count should be high given the open nature of the game both teams tend to produce when under pressure.
- Best Bet: Figueirense to Win
- Value Add: Both Teams to Score — Yes
- Goals: Over 2.5
- Corners: Over 7.5
