Figueirense vs Azuriz Prediction: 04.03.2026 Copa do Brasil

The Copa do Brasil Round 2 clash between Figueirense and Azuriz on March 4th, 2026 at Orlando Scarpelli promises a tactical contest, as both sides look to capitalize on evolving form patterns and a berth in the next round. Figueirense, led by Waguinho Dias, have recently found renewed attacking fire, while Azuriz under Jeff Strasser favor structure and resilience, seeking to frustrate bigger sides. Intriguingly, the matchup puts contrasting recent fortunes under the spotlight Figueirense’s aggressive approach is pitted against Azuriz’s disciplined, yet occasionally blunt, offensive efforts.

Key players to watch for the hosts include Léo Artur, whose creativity in midfield often unlocks defenses, and forward Alisson, who is carving out a reputation for decisive runs behind defensive lines. For Azuriz, centre-back Renan Dutra marshals the backline with authority, and attacking midfielder Matheus Santos offers rare sparks of attacking quality. Both sets of supporters have noted that consistency and focus from these players could determine the game’s momentum.
A “hot stat” from prior encounters: Figueirense have generated 29 corners and scored four goals in their last five matches, a clear sign of their offensive urgency in the final third an element Azuriz will need to contend with.

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Figueirense vs Azuriz prediction

Based on form, squad dynamics, and recent results, the best value prediction is a narrow Figueirense victory, potentially with a clean sheet. Figueirense’s home advantage and recent enhancement in attacking threat (four goals and 29 corners in the last five matches) are difficult to overlook. Azuriz, on the other hand, have struggled up front, failing to score in their last five outings while conceding crucial goals.

Figueirense’s high shot volume (57) and set piece output suggest they are likely to press Azuriz from the outset. The yellow card count (17 in five matches) indicates an aggressive edge that could both disrupt Azuriz and expose Figueirense to set-piece threats. Azuriz, recording just four yellow cards and only 24 shots in their last five matches, have leaned on defensive discipline but lacked punch in attack.

Expect Figueirense to control possession for extended stretches, with Azuriz seeking to absorb pressure and capitalize on set pieces. Given Figueirense’s ball progression and Azuriz’s lower foul and card counts, the likely outcome is a match dictated by Figueirense’s tempo, potentially offering value in the Asian Handicap and Under goals markets.

Team Analysis

Figueirense enter this game after a morale-boosting 3-0 triumph over Joinville. This win snapped their two-game losing streak and vividly demonstrated their attacking intent, as seen through relentless targeting of the flanks and a surge in corner wins. Prior to that, however, offensive staleness was evident in back-to-back 0-1 defeats to Marcilio Dias, exposing both variability in chance creation and occasional lapses in concentration at the back. Coach Waguinho Dias’s recent shift towards a 5-4-1 formation has tightened defensive lines, though the team still relies on thrust from advanced wingbacks.

Azuriz come into this match on shakier ground, with a lack of goals in their last five matches. Their most recent clash resulted in a 0-2 reverse to Operario PR, marking the second such scoreline in a row. Notably, Azuriz have failed to convert limited opportunities, with just 24 total shots across those matches. All the while, coach Jeff Strasser’s reliance on a 4-4-2 shape underscores a defensive priority, as does the low card count, but questions remain around their ability to penetrate well-organized defenses like Figueirense’s.

🚨Read our full Figueirense vs Azuriz stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Figueirense the favourite

• Moneyline Figueirense 1.80 | Azuriz 4.60
• Draw 3.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.65
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.40 | No 1.55

The market heavily favors Figueirense, reflecting their improved home form, higher shot and corner numbers, and Azuriz’s pronounced goal drought. Odds on Figueirense are short, with the bookmakers anticipating a likely home win and minimal threat from Azuriz up front. Under 2.5 goals and ‘No’ on BTTS emerge as logical choices given Azuriz’s limited offensive displays and Figueirense’s defensive shape in recent matches.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Figueirense possible starting eleven

With a consistent 5-4-1 structure, Figueirense rely on their wingbacks Railan and Zé Mário to provide attacking support, while Léo Artur anchors creative duties in midfield. Alisson, their lone forward, remains the focal point and poaching threat. This formation boosts defensive solidity, evidenced by the clean sheet against Joinville, while maximizing transitional play. Keep an eye on Léo Artur, whose set-piece prowess and vision can break stagnant spells.

Azuriz possible starting eleven

Azuriz are expected to stick with a pragmatic 4-4-2 that prioritizes defensive shape. Renan Dutra organizes a disciplined back line, but attacking transitions often stagnate with Matheus Santos responsible for injecting much-needed flair. Up front, Laércio and Juninho provide aggressive press but require midfield support to threaten Figueirense’s deeper defensive line. Watch for Azuriz’s tight structure and attempt to threaten on set-pieces.

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The Verdict

In summary, Figueirense appear primed to impose their game and capitalize on Azuriz’s attacking inertia. The home side’s robust corner and shot output forecast a siege that could ultimately force defensive errors in Azuriz’s ranks. My main pick is Figueirense to win, with a potential clean sheet and a tactical display that underlines their recent improvements. For punters, the Figueirense -1 Asian Handicap and Under 2.5 goals offer standout value in what should be a contest tightly shaped by defensive organization and set plays.

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