FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction: 06.12.2025 Bundesliga Preview

As the Bundesliga regular season unfolds, FC Augsburg welcomes a formidable Bayer Leverkusen side to the WWK Arena. While the hosts battle to pull away from the lower end of the table, Leverkusen arrive with their sights on consolidating a top-four position. Beneath the obvious gap in league standings, the match offers intriguing subplots—among them, Augsburg’s determination to find stability under Manuel Baum, and Leverkusen’s tactical evolution under Kasper Hjulmand.

Look out for Augsburg’s dynamic midfielder Fabian Rieder, whose ability to break between lines and clinical presence from midfield has been one of few bright spots for the Fuggerstädter this season. For Leverkusen, the spotlight falls squarely on Patrik Schick, whose recent run of form—three goals in five games—marks him as Hjulmand’s most potent weapon up front.

Leverkusen’s “hot stat”: They have scored a remarkable 13 goals in their last five matches, dwarfing Augsburg’s tally and underlining their attacking intent and efficiency in the final third.

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FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Given the gulf in recent form and underlying numbers, Leverkusen emerge as clear favorites. Their dynamic attacking trio—headlined by Schick, Ibrahim Maza, and Jonas Hofmann—has produced a torrent of chances, with 59 total shots and 13 goals in just five games. Contrast this to Augsburg, who have labored for goals and look shaky at the back, conceding 27 across 12 league matches.

Augsburg’s discipline, however, could influence the contest. Both sides hover around similar foul and offside counts, with Leverkusen displaying more aggression (eight yellows in five matches) but generally superior ball retention thanks to an aggregate pass accuracy of over 89 percent. Augsburg, at 77 percent, are less secure and have struggled to maintain consistent midfield control.

Expect Leverkusen to dictate tempo and exploit spaces wide, especially with Grimaldo and Hofmann capable of overloading flanks. Augsburg, for their part, must lean on quick transitions and capitalize on set-pieces, given their lack of open play threat. All the context and data point towards a high-scoring affair with Leverkusen’s superior quality the deciding factor.

Team Analysis

FC Augsburg Recent Games:
Augsburg have struggled to generate positive momentum, losing three of their last four Bundesliga outings. Their only highlight, a 1-0 win over Hamburger SV, was sandwiched between heavy defeats to Hoffenheim (0-3) and Stuttgart (2-3). Defensive lapses have been frequent and, crucially, they’ve only managed three goals in their last five games. The backline, often reshuffled, offers little stability—Baum’s typical 3-4-3 is still searching for midfield fluency and attacking punch.

Bayer Leverkusen Recent Games:
Leverkusen’s recent run is the definition of clinical form—five wins from six, including a statement 2-0 victory vs. Manchester City and back-to-back triumphs over Wolfsburg and Heidenheim (3-1, 6-0). Their attack is humming, led by Schick (three in five) and ably supported by Maza and Hofmann. Hjulmand’s 3-4-2-1 utilizes wide overloads and vertical passing, breaking opposition lines and generating a league-leading 13 goals in five matches. Their only blemish, a narrow 1-2 loss to Dortmund, hardly disrupts their momentum.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayer Leverkusen the favourite

• Moneyline FC Augsburg 3.82 | Bayer Leverkusen 1.89
• Draw 3.84
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.75 | Under 2.5 2.05
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.68 | No 2.20

Leverkusen’s odds reflect their superb recent form, offensive depth, and strong defensive record compared to Augsburg’s more fragile standing. The bookies’ 50 percent win probability for the visitors versus just 25 percent for Augsburg mirrors both current trajectory and historical head-to-head data. With both teams prone to conceding, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are smart value picks. The draw is improbable given Augsburg’s lack of firepower and Leverkusen’s ability to press home an advantage, especially away from home.

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Possible Starting Lineups

FC Augsburg possible starting eleven

Augsburg’s expected 3-4-3 offers a mix of youth and experience in defense, with Matsima and Schlotterbeck providing aerial strength and composure. Fellhauer and Massengo aim to protect the backline, while Rieder’s creativity will be vital in linking play. Up top, Tietz and Essende look to stretch Leverkusen’s defense, but much depends on service from wide areas and set-pieces. Key player: Fabian Rieder, who headlines Augsburg’s midfield and is their best bet for chance creation.

Bayer Leverkusen possible starting eleven

Leverkusen’s 3-4-2-1 maximizes their wide threats—Grimaldo and Hofmann—while García orchestrates central progression. Belocian and Tapsoba anchor the back three, with Flekken marshalling from behind. Up front, Schick’s recent goal glut is complemented by the pace and movement of Maza and Poku, giving Hjulmand’s side several attacking outlets. Keep an eye on Schick and Grimaldo for both goals and assists.

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My take on the Match

Given both underlying numbers and tactical setups, Bayer Leverkusen have all the tools to overpower Augsburg. Their superior goal-scoring output, defensive solidity, and deeper squad make them rightful favorites. Augsburg’s main chance rests on keeping the game tight early and nicking a set-piece goal, but Leverkusen’s relentless attack and ability to control matches through possession suggest the visitors will find enough breakthroughs—especially as Augsburg’s defensive frailties reappear under sustained pressure. My main pick: Bayer Leverkusen to win by at least two goals, with plenty of attacking action expected at both ends.

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