Sofia Quijada
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Faroe Islands host Moldova at Torsvollur in Tórshavn in a League C Group 3 fixture that carries real weight for both sides. Both teams have collected five points or fewer from five matches, and neither has won a game in the group stage that has delivered a clear result. The Faroes have drawn all five of their matches, while Moldova sit second on seven points after taking two wins. The first meeting ended 1-1 in September, and that stalemate sets the tone for this rematch.
Players to watch
Áki Samuelsen gives the Faroes their most direct threat. He scored in the previous match and produced two shots and one interception, which makes him the likeliest source of a home breakthrough. Petru Popescu carries the Moldovan attack. He scored twice in the last five matches and took seven shots, so he will test the Faroese defence whenever Moldova push forward.
Hot stat: The Faroe Islands have drawn every one of their last five matches, scoring seven and conceding seven across that run.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League C Group 3 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Torsvollur, Tórshavn |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
Faroe Islands vs Moldova prediction
We predict a draw in this fixture, and our pick is the draw at odds between 3.30 and 3.60. Bookmakers price the Faroes at 53 percent, yet the home side have not converted a single win from five group games and have shared the points in every match. Moldova are not a side that dominates possession to win by a margin, so a stalemate sits comfortably within the data. The 1-1 result from September reinforces that picture.
Faroe Islands average 148 fouls and 3 yellow cards across their latest five matches, which points to a side that competes hard in midfield but leaves little room for control. Their passing volume of 228 and pass accuracy of 65 percent show a direct approach that relies on quick transitions. Moldova complete 489 passes at 83 percent accuracy and commit 406 fouls over the same period, so they control the ball and break up play at a high rate. That profile favours a tight, cagey match where Moldova hold possession and the Faroes look to counter, and it supports a low-scoring outcome.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | Draw |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Faroe Islands. The Faroes last played Slovakia and drew 2-2, a result that kept their unbeaten run alive. They have scored in every match of this group stage, yet they have also conceded in each one, which explains the constant draws. In our preview of Slovakia vs Faroe Islands we called a Slovakia win to nil, and the 2-2 result went against us. We expected a clean sheet for the visitors, and the home side refused to fold. To be honest, that match showed the Faroes can stay in games, but they still lack a finishing edge.
Moldova. Moldova beat Kazakhstan 2-1 in their most recent outing, a win that moved them into second place in the table. Their defensive numbers are weaker than their midfield control, as they conceded heavily to Slovakia with a 0-4 defeat earlier in the campaign. In our preview of Moldova vs Kazakhstan we called a draw, and the 2-1 result went against us. Kazakhstan pushed harder than expected, and Moldova found the winner late. We believe that they can grind out results, yet they must tighten their defence in open play.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Faroe Islands | Moldova |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
🚨 Check out our dedicated Faroe Islands vs Moldova stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Faroe Islands the favourite
- Moneyline Faroe Islands 1.69 to 1.79 | Moldova 4.40 to 5.02
- Draw 3.30 to 3.60
The market prices the Faroes as favourites, and the moneyline range is narrow across bookmakers, which signals agreement on the home side’s edge. The draw price sits near 3.50 on average, and that offers the best return for a side that has drawn every recent match. We see the draw as the stronger value than backing either team outright.
Possible Starting Lineups
Faroe Islands possible starting eleven
- GK: Mattias Lamhauge
- DF: Viljormur Davidsen, Andrias Edmundsson, Jóannes Danielsen, Odmar Faero
- MF: Géza Dávid Turi, Meinhard Olsen, hanus Sorensen, Mattias Hellisdal
- FW: Áki Samuelsen, Petur Knudsen
We expect the Faroes to line up in a 4-4-2 with Lamhauge in goal, as he played the full 90 minutes in the last match. Davidsen and Edmundsson form the most reliable pairing at centre-back, and Samuelsen leads the line with Knudsen alongside him. Turi should run the midfield, since he logged the most minutes among the central options. Watch Samuelsen, who offers the most direct route to goal for the home side.
Moldova possible starting eleven
- GK: Dumitru Celeadnic
- DF: Vladyslav Baboglo, Ioan-Calin Revenco, Iurie Iovu, M. Gherasimencov, Oleg Reabciuk
- MF: Sergiu Perciun, Vadim Rață, Nikita Motpan, Danila Forov
- FW: Petru Popescu
Moldova should set up in a 5-4-1, the shape they used in recent matches. Celeadnic keeps goal after playing all 90 minutes, and Iovu and Gherasimencov provide the stability at the back. Perciun and Rață control the centre of the pitch, and Popescu operates as the lone striker. Watch Popescu, because his shot volume gives Moldova a consistent attacking outlet.
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Moldova. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a 1-1 draw in Tórshavn. The Faroes have matched every opponent in this group without winning, and Moldova have shown they can break down the opposition but also concede. Our pick is the draw, with Under 2.5 goals and both teams to score as the supporting selections. The stats point to a tight contest where neither side dominates for the full 90 minutes.
Read Also: Faroe Islands vs Moldova Head-to-Head: Record, Stats & Form (Updated November 2026)
Read Also: Faroe Islands vs Moldova Predicted Line-ups and Team News: Both Expected XIs
