Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa Prediction: 20.10.2025 Süper Lig

Istanbul readies itself for a compelling Süper Lig encounter as Eyupspor play host to Kasimpasa at Eyüp Stadium on 20 October 2025. Both sides find themselves with plenty to prove Eyupspor desperate for a turnaround amid a grim spell, and Kasimpasa seeking to maintain upward momentum after a mixed start. A fascinating subplot emerges when considering these teams’ contrasting form: Eyupspor languish near the bottom, but home pride could well be a catalyst, while Kasimpasa, unbeaten in their last five, appear primed for a robust away challenge. Two players to keep an eye on? Kerem Demirbay for Eyupspor capable of dictating tempo when on-song and Mortadha Ben Ouanes for Kasimpasa, whose attacking forays have proved pivotal recently. From recent stats, the standout “hot stat” is Eyupspor’s struggle up front: zero goals scored in their last five outings, signalling a concerning lack of cutting edge.

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Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa prediction

Taking stock of recent form, Eyupspor face glaring issues most pressingly, their goalless run in the last five matches, coupled with significant defensive frailties. Kasimpasa, by contrast, have shown resilience and attacking industry, notching four goals in their previous five, and keeping defeat at bay. The balance of play and momentum, alongside the noticeable gulf in confidence, makes Kasimpasa Double Chance (Draw or Away Win) the best value pick here.

Discipline and style might further shift this tie: both sides recorded seven yellow cards in five matches, but Kasimpasa have a marginally greater foul count (42 vs Eyupspor’s 37), hinting at a more combative approach. Eyupspor hold a slim edge in pass accuracy (79.7 percent vs 76.4 percent) yet have struggled to convert possession into meaningful threats, as their shot count and goal tally reinforce. Meanwhile, with twenty-five combined interceptions and a solitary red card, Kasimpasa display risk-taking at the back but also enough bite to disrupt Eyupspor’s rhythm. Expect a tight, physical contest likely to grind its way into the second half, with Kasimpasa’s better form proving telling.

Team Analysis

Eyupspor come into this clash under real pressure. Their last match, a narrow 0-1 loss to Kocaelispor, showcased their chief issues sterility in attack, despite intermittent promise in midfield. Eyupspor did see more of the ball, with higher pass accuracy compared to most in the lower half, but their attacking unit lacked movement and conviction, resulting in just 38 shots over five matches without return. The inability to test opposition goalkeepers consistently is haunting Orhan Ak’s men, and unless their creative axes such as Demirbay find form, they might once again struggle to find a route through a solid Kasimpasa defence.

Kasimpasa by contrast, have demonstrated greater fluency. Their last outing, a gritty 1-1 draw at Konyaspor, saw them showcase resilience clawing back from a deficit. Across their last five, the likes of Ben Ouanes and Pape Habib Gueye have been dangerous on the break, backed up by notable width provided by the wingbacks. Defensively, Andreas Gianniotis in goal and Nicholas Opoku in the back three have marshalled the line well, limiting clear chances for opponents and providing a platform for forward surges. The midfield looks dynamic and able to transition swiftly, which could expose Eyupspor if they overcommit.

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🚨Read our full Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Eyupspor the favourite

• Moneyline Eyupspor 2.35 | Kasimpasa 3.10
• Draw 3.20
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.85

Despite Eyupspor’s home advantage and the bookmakers placing them as slight favourites mostly due to home factor the win probability (41 percent for Eyupspor) seems optimistic considering current form. Kasimpasa’s attacking output and defensive solidity have been vastly superior, and the value truly sits with them avoiding defeat. The odds suggest a close contest, but those brave enough might look towards the draw or away win markets for value, with Under 2.5 goals priced attractively due to Eyupspor’s recent drought.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Eyupspor possible starting eleven

This predicted Eyupspor lineup stays close to their customary 4-2-3-1 formation, offering both width and stability. Marcos Felipe remains first-choice in goal, with defenders like Luccas Claro and Robin Yalçın carrying experience and composure at the back. Demirbay remains the fulcrum in midfield his ability to dictate tempo and create opportunities will be vital if Eyupspor are to break their scoring duck. Serdar Gürler and Drăguş provide the pace and potential spark up front, while Thiam’s clever movement will test the Kasimpasa defence. Keep an eye on Demirbay and Thiam as the chief architects for any Eyupspor joy.

Kasimpasa possible starting eleven

Kasimpasa will likely maintain a 3-4-2-1, a formation that has offered them balance. Gianniotis commands his area well and brings security between the sticks. Opoku, Winck, and Frimpong form a physically robust back three, while Ben Ouanes and Hajradinović inject creativity from midfield. Gueye leads the line and remains a potent aerial threat, supported by Kanatsızkuş and Kol who can both drop deep and stretch play. Mortadha Ben Ouanes’ marauding out wide and Gueye’s presence in the box look especially critical to breaking Eyupspor down.

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The Verdict

Given the glaring contrast in momentum and recent fortunes, we’re tipping Kasimpasa to avoid defeat making the Asian handicap or double chance market most appealing. Neither side is especially prolific, so a low-scoring affair is expected, and if a single moment of quality is to decide it, expect Kasimpasa’s greater sharpness and tactical discipline to finally be the difference. Our main pick: Kasimpasa +0.25 Asian handicap. Will Eyupspor surprise us by snapping that goal drought? Or will Kasimpasa’s solidity and confidence away from home take the spoils? One thing’s for certain this could be a pivotal night for both in their fight for Süper Lig mid-table security.

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