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Excelsior vs Volendam Prediction: 10.05.2026 Eredivisie Preview

08.05.2026, 16:13

Excelsior hosts Volendam in a decisive Eredivisie clash on 10 May 2026 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam. Both teams are fighting at the lower end of the table, with Excelsior holding a narrow advantage in the standings and momentum. This fixture stands out for its high stakes, with both teams still vulnerable to the drop. The managers, Ruben den Uil and Rick Kruys, have each rotated their squads in recent weeks, but key players are set to feature. Derensili Sanches Fernandes, in blistering form for Excelsior, and Volendam’s forward Anthony Descotte, whose movement has unsettled defences, are the ones to keep an eye on.

Hot stat: Excelsior scored 10 goals in their last 5 games, more than triple Volendam’s tally in the same period. This attacking sharpness could prove decisive.

10:45Finished10.05.2026
1ExcelsiorNetherlands
1VolendamNetherlands
🏆 Tournament: Eredivisie 2025/26 Regular Season (Netherlands)
🏟 Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
🗓️ Date: 10.05.2026
⏰ Time: 16:45 CEST

Excelsior vs Volendam prediction

We predict Excelsior will win. The hosts enter this match with a far better recent scoring record and home advantage. Their front line, led by Fernandes, has found rhythm at the perfect time. Volendam’s away record remains weak, and their 3 goals from the last 5 matches show a lack of bite up front. Bookmaker odds heavily favor Excelsior, and we agree.

Looking at playing styles, Excelsior commit more fouls and press more aggressively (35 fouls, 1 yellow card in last 5 games), suggesting a proactive approach. Their ball retention is also superior: 79% pass accuracy compared to Volendam’s 74%. Volendam have racked up more yellow cards (4 in 5 games) but fewer fouls, which hints at poor defensive timing. Excelsior’s higher shot count and set-piece threat (13 corners) are likely to tip the balance their way.

🔥Hot Tip: Excelsior to score in both halves
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Excelsior’s last match produced a 3-2 win over Groningen, highlighting their ability to edge high-pressure games at home. Their previous fixtures also show a strong attack, with a 5-0 hammering of Utrecht and a tight 2-2 draw against PEC Zwolle. The consistency in scoring, despite some defensive lapses, suggests they will keep pushing forward in this clash.

12:45Finished02.05.2026
2GroningenNetherlands
3ExcelsiorNetherlands

Volendam lost 0-2 at home to Heerenveen in their last outing. Their attack struggled to create clear chances, and defensive lapses were costly. Earlier, they managed a 2-0 win over Heracles, but generally, results have been inconsistent: a 1-2 loss to Twente and goalless draw with Feyenoord. Their inability to maintain defensive focus and low scoring output remain key issues.

06:15Finished03.05.2026
0VolendamNetherlands
2HeerenveenNetherlands

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Excelsior Volendam
Goals 10 3
Total shots 52 41
Free kicks 6 2
Corner kicks 13 17
Total fouls 35 25
Pass accuracy (%) 79 74
Interceptions 27 20
Offsides 6 1

🚨Check out our dedicated Excelsior vs Volendam stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Excelsior the favourite

  • Moneyline Excelsior 1.79 | Volendam 4.28
  • Draw 4.09
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.65 | Under 2.5 2.30
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.60 | No 2.20

Excelsior’s win odds are quite short, reflecting their home advantage and recent form. Volendam are priced as clear underdogs, which lines up with their away struggles and low goal tally. The market expects goals, with Over 2.5 heavily favored, and both teams to score looks likely given both sides’ defensive issues. We find value in Excelsior to score more than once, given their recent output.

Possible Starting Lineups

Excelsior possible starting eleven

  • GK: Stijn van Gassel
  • DF: Arthur Zagre, Casper Widell, Lewis Schouten, Rick Meissen
  • MF: Lennard Hartjes, Noah Naujoks, Irakli Yegoian, Adam Carlen
  • FW: Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Gyan de Regt

Van Gassel retains his spot in goal. Defensively, Widell and Zagre have been mainstays, bringing solidity. Hartjes and Naujoks offer control and distribution in midfield. Fernandes spearheads the attack—his recent goal haul makes him a threat Volendam can’t ignore. The 4-2-3-1 setup maximizes their width and pressing ability.


Volendam possible starting eleven

  • GK: Kayne Van Oevelen
  • DF: Mawouna Amevor, Yannick Leliendal, Precious Ugwu, Luca Blondeau
  • MF: Juninho Bacuna, Gibson Osahumen Yah, Nordin Bukala, Alex Plat
  • FW: Anthony Descotte, Robert Muhren

Van Oevelen gets the nod as first-choice keeper. Amevor anchors a defence that’s struggled but offers physicality. Bacuna’s work rate in midfield stands out, while Descotte and Muhren combine for Volendam’s main attacking hope. Volendam also use a 4-2-3-1, but less effectively than their hosts.

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Volendam. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Volendam. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Excelsior to edge this one. Their recent attacking output is impressive, and at home they look hungry for points. Volendam’s patchy form and defensive lapses continue to cost them. Fernandes’ form, plus the home crowd, should see Excelsior take three points. Expect goals at both ends, but the hosts should have too much in the final third.

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