Sofia Quijada
Group B of the Copa Chile 2026 sets up an intriguing clash at Sausalito as Everton host Universidad Católica. Walter Ribonetto’s side sits fourth in the group with just one point from one match after drawing 2-2 with San Luis Quillota, while Daniel Garnero’s Católica leads the race with three points from a commanding 3-0 win over Copiapo. The visiting side arrives in Viña del Mar on a blistering run, having won six of their last seven matches, including a notable 1-0 victory over Boca Juniors. Striker Fernando Zampedri, who has scored four goals and contributed three assists across his last four outings, is the standout threat, while Everton’s Julian Alfaro carries the most creative punch with two goals and one assist in his last three games.
Hot stat: Universidad Católica scored 15 goals across their last five matches, averaging three goals per game, with no clean sheet conceded in their Copa Chile campaign so far.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Chile 2026, Group B |
| 🏟 Venue: | Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:30 CEST |
Everton vs Universidad Católica Prediction
The bookmakers’ lines tell a clear story: Católica are heavy favorites at 50% win probability against Everton’s 24%. With Rocketplay pricing Católica at 1.79, the value sits with backing the visitors to win, and the underlying data backs that up firmly. Católica’s 86% win rate over the last 30 days dwarfs Everton’s 40%, and the gap in squad depth shows in the shot counts: 60 attempts to Everton’s 49 across the last five games, with Católica also posting a significantly superior pass accuracy of 1,361 completed passes to Everton’s 731.
Everton play a 4-3-3 and average 1.2 goals per game across their last five matches. They foul often, committing 31 fouls in that span, and their 24 free kicks conceded could become a weapon for Católica’s set-piece threats. Católica’s 4-1-4-1 generates pressure in transition, and their 53 fouls in five games suggest they press hard and accept the physical cost. With Católica’s goal output and Everton’s leaky defensive record, goals are expected from both sides.
- We predict Universidad Católica to win this match.
- Both teams to score: Yes — Everton have scored in four of their last five matches, and Católica’s high-press system creates space in behind.
- We predict over 2.5 goals based on Católica’s scoring form and Everton’s defensive vulnerabilities.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Universidad Católica to Win & Over 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Everton’s recent run is mixed. They sit with a 33% win rate for the year across 24 matches, and their form string shows no consistent momentum: WLLDLDWDLWDWWLD. Their last Copa Chile outing ended 2-2 against San Luis Quillota, a side ranked 1344th in the world, which signals defensive frailty at the back. The match before that was a 1-2 home loss to Palestino, a team ranked 546th. Alan Medina leads the attack with one goal from nine shots, while Julian Alfaro has been their most productive player with two goals and one assist. The squad commits fouls regularly and loses the ball frequently, with Nicolas Montiel and Alan Medina among the highest in lost balls. Everton do have moments of quality, but they lack the consistency to trouble a side of Católica’s caliber.
Universidad Católica have been dominant. Their last five matches read: a 3-0 win over Copiapo in the Copa Chile, a 5-1 thrashing of Universidad de Concepción, a 5-1 win over Cobresal, a 3-0 defeat of Huachipato, and a 1-0 win over Boca Juniors. That is 17 goals scored and just two conceded across those five games. Zampedri leads the charge with four goals and three assists, while Justo Giani adds three goals and two assists from midfield-forward positions. Their passing volume is significantly higher than Everton’s, and their 1,676 total passes with 1,361 accurate completions reflects a team that controls matches rather than chasing them. The only concern is their yellow card discipline, with seven bookings across five matches, but that has not derailed results.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
The head-to-head record favors Católica heavily. Three of the last four meetings ended in Católica wins, including a 6-0 demolition in April 2025 and a 3-0 win in the same year. Everton’s only win in this fixture came in the Copa Chile 2025 Group D, a 2-1 result that the bookmakers had at near-even odds. The most recent encounter, a 2-2 draw in the Chilean Primera División in March 2026, was the only match where Everton avoided defeat in the last four head-to-heads.
| Statistic | Everton | Universidad Católica |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 12 |
| Total shots | 49 | 60 |
| Free kicks | 24 | 33 |
| Corner kicks | 22 | 22 |
| Total fouls | 31 | 53 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 73% | 81% |
| Interceptions | 36 | 37 |
| Offsides | 5 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Everton vs Universidad Católica stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Universidad Católica the Favourite
- Moneyline Everton 3.75 | Universidad Católica 1.79
- Draw 3.39
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
Católica at 1.79 reflects their dominant form but the price is perhaps a touch short given this is a derby-style fixture played at Everton’s ground. The draw at 3.39 is not without merit given the recent 2-2 head-to-head result, but Católica’s current form makes a draw unlikely. Everton at 3.75 carries long-shot value only if their home advantage triggers a strong defensive performance, which their 2026 stats do not support. The best angle remains Católica to win, ideally combined with over 2.5 goals to boost the return.
Everton. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Everton Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Esteban Kirkman Porta
- DF: Valentín Vidal, Diego Oyarzun, Nicolás Baeza, Hugo Magallanes
- MF: Benjamín Berríos, Lucas Soto, Amaro León
- FW: Julian Alfaro, Alan Medina, Cristian Palacios
Ribonetto is expected to line up in his favored 4-3-3. Kirkman Porta has the most appearances in goal across the last five matches with six saves. Valentín Vidal is the most active defender by passing volume with 95 passes and six interceptions. In attack, Alfaro is the primary threat with two goals from three appearances, and Medina provides the most shot volume from forward positions with nine attempts. Santiago Londono and Braian Martínez offer depth off the bench.
Universidad Católica Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Vicente Bernedo
- DF: Branco Ampuero, Bernardo Cerezo, Juan Ignacio Díaz, Daniel González
- MF: Jimmy Martínez, Jhojan Valencia, Alfred Canales, Agustín Farías
- FW: Fernando Zampedri, Justo Giani
Garnero’s 4-1-4-1 places Jhojan Valencia as the defensive midfielder anchor, with Jimmy Martínez as the most active presence across the pitch with 384 minutes played and 145 passes. Bernardo Cerezo and Branco Ampuero have each featured in all five recent matches and form a disciplined defensive base despite Cerezo’s three yellow cards. Up front, Zampedri and Giani make a potent pairing, combining for seven goals and five assists in five matches. Clemente Montes and Cristian Cuevas provide attacking versatility from the bench.
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Universidad Católica. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Universidad Católica are the clear pick here. Their 86% win rate over the past 30 days, a goal tally of 15 in five matches, and a superior pass accuracy of 81% compared to Everton’s 73% all point in one direction. Everton have shown they can score at home, netting in four of their last five games, so a clean sheet for Católica is not guaranteed. We predict a Católica win with goals at both ends. The Zampedri-Giani combination should cause Everton’s backline serious problems, and Alfaro or Medina could nick one at the other end. A scoreline in the region of 1-3 or 1-4 to Católica is the most likely outcome based on the data available.
