Sofia Quijada
Everton host Copiapo at Estadio Sausalito in Viña del Mar in a Group B clash that carries real urgency for both sides. Everton sit bottom of the group with just one point from two games, meaning anything less than a win here puts their Copa Chile ambitions in serious jeopardy. Copiapo, sitting second on four points, can secure their group position with a positive result. The intrigue lies in the fact that Everton’s only previous recorded head-to-head produced a 5-3 scoreline in Everton’s favour, but that was in a very different context. Julian Alfaro leads Everton’s attack with two goals and one assist in his last four appearances, and his ability to press and create in tight spaces makes him the player to watch up front. For Copiapo, Lautaro Palacios is the forward to monitor, having featured in their most recent match with a full 90 minutes played under coach Héctor Almandoz’s 4-1-4-1 setup.
Hot stat: Everton have scored in every one of their last five matches, netting seven goals across those games, and have not gone scoreless in that entire run despite their inconsistent form.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Chile 2026, Group B |
| 🏟 Venue: | Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Everton vs Copiapo Prediction
Everton are the clear bookmakers’ favourite at roughly 57% implied probability, and Walter Ribonetto’s side do have the home advantage at Sausalito. With their backs against the wall at the foot of the group, expect Everton to come out aggressive and direct. Their 4-3-3 shape suits attacking transitions, and with seven goals scored in five recent matches, the firepower is there. Copiapo, by contrast, managed just one goal across their last three Copa Chile group matches, losing 3-0 to Universidad Católica most recently. We predict Everton to win this match, and the pressure of the standings makes them dangerous at home.
Everton average 6.2 fouls per game across their last five, with nine yellow cards accumulated, which signals an aggressive, physical style. Copiapo’s data from their last Copa Chile group match shows a team that struggled to generate any meaningful threat, recording near-zero shots and passes in tracked data. Everton’s pass accuracy across five matches sits at 73%, reflecting a team that can control possession when needed. The combination of Everton’s territorial dominance and Copiapo’s recent attacking struggles points toward a controlled home win with goals likely coming from set pieces and direct play.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | Everton to score in both halves |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Everton arrive into this fixture off the back of a 1-3 loss to Universidad Católica, the group leaders ranked 152nd in the world. Before that, they drew 2-2 with San Luis Quillota despite the opponent ranking considerably lower. Their five-match run reads: W, D, W, L, L from most recent going back, showing a team that cannot string consistent results together. The bright spot is their goal threat: alan Medina and Nicolas Montiel each have two goals in recent outings, and Julian Alfaro adds two more. Everton’s 25 corner kicks across five matches also signals sustained attacking pressure, which should be a factor against a Copiapo side that has struggled defensively in this competition.
Copiapo’s most recent match was a 0-3 defeat to Universidad Católica, a result that exposed their limitations against quality opposition. Before that, they drew 1-1 with CD Santa Cruz, a side ranked outside the top 20,000 globally, which raises questions about their ceiling in this group. Their earlier wins came against U. Española (3-1) and San Felipe (2-1), both against lower-ranked opposition. Copiapo’s form over 30 days reads a 50% win rate, but context matters: their wins came against significantly weaker teams. The 0-3 loss to Universidad Católica, in which they generated almost no attacking output, is the most relevant data point heading into this fixture.
🚨 Check out our dedicated Everton vs Copiapo stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Everton the Favourite
- Moneyline Everton 1.57–1.62 | Copiapo 4.50–5.00
- Draw 3.72–4.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 ~1.85 | Under 2.5 ~1.95
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes ~2.10 | No ~1.70
Pinnacle’s line at 1.62 for Everton is the most accurate reflection of true probability here, and the spread across bookmakers is tight enough to confirm the market consensus. The draw at 3.90 with Pinnacle has some value if you believe Copiapo can frustrate, but their recent Copa Chile form makes that a stretch. Copiapo at 4.59 to 5.00 is a long shot we would not back given the context. We see the best value in Everton to win combined with over 2.5 goals, given their attacking output and Copiapo’s inability to shut games down when under pressure. BTTS No at around 1.70 also looks attractive given Copiapo’s blanks in recent group play.
Possible Starting Lineups
Everton Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Esteban Kirkman Porta
- DF: Valentin Vidal, Hugo Magallanes, Diego Oyarzun, Nicolás Baeza
- MF: Benjamín Berríos, Amaro Leon, Lucas Soto
- FW: Alan Medina, Julian Alfaro, Nicolas Montiel
Ribonetto is likely to stick with his 4-3-3 given the attacking return it has produced. Esteban Kirkman Porta takes the gloves as the most consistent goalkeeper across five starts. Valentin Vidal is a reliable presence at right back with one assist and strong passing numbers. Hugo Magallanes brings a goal threat from centre-back, scoring once in his last four appearances. Up front, the trio of Medina, Alfaro, and Montiel have combined for six goals and three assists in recent matches, making them the most dangerous attacking unit Everton can field. Alfaro’s two yellow cards in four games are worth monitoring given the physical nature of this fixture.
Copiapo Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Nicolás Temperini
- DF: Agustín Ortíz, Nicolás Suárez, Marcelo Filla, John Santander
- MF: Gaston Perez, Iván Ledezma, Axl Ríos, Enzo Fernández Pitto
- FW: Lautaro Palacios, Manuel López
Almandoz’s 4-1-4-1 gives Copiapo defensive compactness, with Gaston Perez likely operating as the holding midfielder to shield the back four. Nicolás Temperini starts in goal after appearing in the most recent Copa Chile fixture. Marcelo Filla picked up a yellow card in his last match, which could be a factor if Copiapo need to defend deep for long periods. Lautaro Palacios leads the line and will be tasked with holding up play on limited service. To be honest, the data available for Copiapo’s recent matches is thin, and Almandoz may rotate given the heavy defeat in their last outing.
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TipsGG Match Prediction
Everton need a win to stay alive in Group B, and that desperation combined with home advantage at Sausalito makes them the clear pick here. Their attacking unit has been the most productive in recent weeks, with seven goals scored in five matches, and they face a Copiapo side that was shut out 3-0 in their last group game and generated almost no attacking output in that fixture. We predict Everton to win this match, with over 2.5 goals as the supporting bet. Perhaps the most telling detail is Copiapo’s inability to score in their most recent Copa Chile outing against top opposition, and Everton, despite their inconsistency, carry enough firepower to punish that. BTTS No at around 1.70 rounds out the value play for this fixture.
