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Estudiantes LP welcome Barracas Central to Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi for a Copa Argentina 2026 Round of 16 clash. Alexander Medina’s side enter as clear favourites at home, backed by a significantly stronger year-long record, though the last two head-to-head meetings between these clubs produced just one win for Estudiantes in three attempts, including a defeat at home in 2025.
Two players to watch: Guido Carrillo has been sharp for Estudiantes, contributing 2 goals in 4 appearances with consistent shot volume, while Tomás Porra brings genuine threat from midfield for Barracas Central, scoring once and assisting once across the last five matches with 10 total shots.
The standout stat from recent form: Estudiantes scored 8 goals across their last 5 matches, including a 4-0 dismantling of Gimnasia LP, making them by far the more prolific side heading into this tie.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Argentina 2026 – Round of 16 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Estudiantes LP vs Barracas Central Prediction
Estudiantes are the stronger side on paper and at home, but their recent domestic form has been inconsistent, picking up just 3 wins from 8 matches in the last 30 days with 4 losses. Barracas Central, despite sitting lower in the global rankings, have gone 3 wins from 6 in the same period with zero draws, meaning they play to a result every time. Their recent form shows a sharp split: four straight wins followed by three straight losses, suggesting a team that runs in streaks rather than one building momentum.
The most valuable bet here is an Estudiantes win. At home, with superior firepower and a 54% implied probability from bookmakers, the value sits in backing the hosts to get the job done, particularly given Barracas Central’s attacking output of just 3 goals across 5 recent games. We predict Estudiantes to control possession and convert enough of their chances.
Estudiantes average significantly more passes per game, with better pass accuracy, and generate 78 total shots across 5 matches compared to Barracas’ 60. Barracas Central do commit more fouls (73 vs 58 for Estudiantes) and pick up yellow cards at a comparable rate (12 vs 15), which means set-piece situations will be frequent. Estudiantes’ 24 corners to Barracas’ 16 further underlines the expected territorial dominance.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Estudiantes LP to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 1.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Estudiantes LP have been inconsistent in their last five matches, but the quality in their squad shows clearly in spells. They beat Universidad Católica 3-0 and Gimnasia LP 4-0 in consecutive home fixtures, demonstrating the kind of attacking depth that can punish lower-ranked opposition. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 loss to Sarmiento Junín, a team ranked 356 in the world, which is a concern, though Sarmiento were in reasonable form at the time. The 5-3-2 formation Medina favors gives them defensive solidity while relying on the front two, with Carrillo and Joaquín Tobio Burgos (2 goals, 1 assist across 5 games) as the primary outlets.
Barracas Central arrive in mixed form, having lost their last two matches: 1-2 to Platense and 0-1 to Rosario Central, the latter ranked 93rd in the world. Before that, they beat Deportivo Riestra and Aldosivi, but neither was a high-quality opponent. Their 4-2-3-1 setup under Damián Ayude relies heavily on midfield work rate, with Ivan Tapia (1 goal, 1 assist, 9 shots) and Tomás Porra (1 goal, 1 assist, 10 shots) as the main creative threats. Barracas’ 3 goals in 5 games is a clear indicator of their limited attacking output, and they struggle to create volume against organized defenses.
🚨Check out our dedicated Estudiantes LP vs Barracas Central stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Estudiantes LP the Favourite
- Moneyline Estudiantes LP 1.70 | Barracas Central 5.40
- Draw 3.15
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The moneyline odds on Estudiantes at around 1.70 reflect their home advantage and year-long dominance (48% win rate from 33 matches vs Barracas’ 30% from 30). The draw at 3.15 is reasonable given the head-to-head history, where two of three recent meetings ended level, but the quality gap is more pronounced in a cup knockout context where Estudiantes will push for a result at home. Barracas at 5.40 is a long price that matches the 17% implied probability from bookmakers, and to be honest, it is hard to make a case for the away side given their recent scoring drought.
Possible Starting Lineups
Estudiantes LP Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Fernando Muslera
- DF: Santiago Núñez, Ramiro Funes Mori, Tiago Tomas Palacios, Eros Nazareno Mancuso, Eric Meza
- MF: Lucas Piovi, Gabriel Neves, Alexis Castro
- FW: Guido Carrillo, Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Medina’s preferred 5-3-2 shapes around a back five anchored by Tiago Tomas Palacios and Funes Mori, with Núñez providing strong defensive cover (9 interceptions in 5 games). In midfield, Piovi and Neves provide the engine, while Alexis Castro (1 goal, 11 shots) adds the creative spark. Up front, Carrillo and Tobio Burgos have combined for 4 goals across the last 5 matches and are the main source of danger.
Barracas Central Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Marcelo Miño
- DF: Kevin Jappert, Nicolás Demartini, Rodrigo Insua, Rafael Barrios
- MF: Dardo Miloc, Ivan Tapia
- MF: Tomás Porra, Gonzalo Maroni, Jhonatan Candia
- FW: Facundo Bruera
Ayude’s 4-2-3-1 relies on a double pivot of Miloc and Tapia to shield the back four, with Porra and Maroni (1 goal, 2 yellow cards) operating in the attacking midfield zone. Jappert and Barrios are the most active defenders in terms of interceptions, with 10 and 6 respectively. Bruera leads the line but has gone scoreless in 4 appearances, which sums up Barracas’ attacking struggles.
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Barracas Central. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Estudiantes LP are the right side to back in this Copa Argentina tie. Their attacking output across the last five matches (8 goals, 78 shots, 24 corners) dwarfs what Barracas Central have produced, and the home setting at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi adds further weight to the case. Barracas have scored just 3 goals in 5 games and arrive off back-to-back losses, with their front line showing no sign of breaking through organized defenses.
The head-to-head record introduces some caution, with two draws in three recent meetings, but both of those came in the league format. In a knockout cup match, Estudiantes’ superior depth and home crowd support should be decisive. We predict an Estudiantes LP win, with the hosts keeping a clean sheet a genuine possibility given Barracas’ attacking limitations.
- Primary tip: Estudiantes LP to win
- Hot tip: Estudiantes LP to win to nil
- Goals: Over 1.5
- BTTS: No
- Corners: Over 8.5
