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Estonia (w) vs Kosovo (w) Prediction: 28.06.2025 International Friendly 2025 Preview

27.06.2025, 12:00

In the heart of Bergen, Brann Stadion sets the stage for an intriguing International Friendly on 28 June 2025 as Estonia (w) take on Kosovo (w). While it’s classified as a friendly, there’s genuine subtext here: Estonia, still rebuilding after a rocky season, face a Kosovo side rapidly asserting their identity and looking to make a statement on the international stage. The presence of Jeff Strasser as head coach for both teams adds an unusual twist, promising tactical symmetry and a battle of adaptability. Among key players, Estonia’s emerging forward Liisa Merisalu is tipped to make an impact up front, while Kosovo’s dynamic midfielder Ereleta Memeti, fresh off a recent goal, comes into this match with growing confidence. Hot off the stats sheet: Kosovo (w) have hit the back of the net twice as many times as Estonia in their last five matches – a clear sign of their attacking intent and a potential game-changer for this encounter.

10:00Finished28.06.2025
0Estonia (w)Estonia
1Kosovo (w)Kosovo
🏆 Tournament: International Friendly 2025 – June Phase
🏟 Venue: Brann Stadion, Bergen
🗓️ Date: 28.06.2025
⏰ Time: 17:00 CEST

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Estonia (w) vs Kosovo (w) prediction

Backing Kosovo (w) to win is the standout value given both their recent scoring form and Estonia’s ongoing struggle for consistency. Kosovo’s last five matches have seen them net more frequently (2 goals per match) whilst Estonia’s front line has floundered, scoring just once in the same span. With both squads typically adopting open, attack-minded formations — Estonia leaning 3-4-3, Kosovo a flowing 4-3-3 — we could be looking at a match where Kosovo’s superior finishing and more disciplined midfield prove decisive.

Both teams, however, have disciplinary and organisation issues to address: Estonia’s heavy yellow card count (4 per match, recent five-game average) suggests a risk of disruption and perhaps vulnerability to set-pieces, while Kosovo’s tendency to concede corners (10 on average) indicates they can be susceptible to aerial pressure. Possession-wise, Kosovo’s recent matches suggest patience in build-up, but the team has also given away more fouls in midfield battles — an area Estonia may seek to exploit if they’re to pull off a surprise.

🔥Hot Tip: Kosovo (w) -1 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Estonia (w) come off a narrow 1-0 win against Bulgaria (w) but have struggled for genuine attacking fluency across recent fixtures. Prior to this, they fell 0-3 to Israel (w) and drew 1-1 with Latvia (w), the latter a creditable result given Latvia’s relative strength. Estonia’s limitations are apparent in their lack of shot volume (14 in last five matches), little midfield creativity, and an all-too-frequent reliance on rugged defending — highlighted by those 4 yellow cards per game and a sparse passing game. Liisa Merisalu has shown flashes, but support has been thin on the ground, particularly in central areas. Their form (llwllddlwllddlw) hints at fragility when pressured by technically sharper opponents.

13:00Finished03.06.2025
0Bulgaria (w)Bulgaria
1Estonia (w)Estonia

In contrast, Kosovo (w) arrive unbeaten in their last two (notably drawing 2-2 with Latvia, a side that recently held Estonia as well, and beating North Macedonia 3-0). These results show Kosovo’s improvement in offensive construction — 2 goals and 7 total shots per five-game slice — and a willingness to deploy width and pace on the counter. Ereleta Memeti and Blerta Smaili have both netted recently, boosting confidence up front. Kosovo’s biggest risk is lapses in defensive concentration, seen in previous heavy defeats (e.g., 0-1 to Latvia earlier) but their recovery since then, including a comprehensive 4-0 dispatch of North Macedonia, underlines the squad’s positive direction mid-2025.

13:00Finished03.06.2025
2Latvia (w)Latvia
2Kosovo (w)Kosovo
Estonia (w). Source: Official Website

Estonia (w). Source: Official Website

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Estonia (w) Kosovo (w)
Goals 2 1
Total shots 14 7
Free kicks 8 10
Corner kicks 8 10
Total fouls 4 1
Pass accuracy (%) 75 84

🚨Read our full Estonia (w) vs Kosovo (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Kosovo (w) the favourite

  • Moneyline Estonia (w) 10.00 | Kosovo (w) 1.25
  • Draw 5.40 – 5.70
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 2.05
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.20 | No 1.65

The odds paint a clear picture. Kosovo (w), at a slim 1.25, are resounding favourites — and justifiably so given their form, squad momentum, and recent results. Estonia (w) are priced as long as 10.00 across bookmakers, reflecting their challenges in both attack and defence. The draw offers some mid-value at just over 5.5, suggesting a scenario where Estonia could frustrate if they defend deep. Over 2.5 goals at almost evens hints at an expected open contest, whilst bookies see both teams to score as unlikely unless Estonia markedly improve in attack.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Kosovo (w). Source: Official Website

Kosovo (w). Source: Official Website

My take on the Match

From an analytical and fan’s eye view, Kosovo (w) should have too much firepower and organisation for an Estonia (w) side still searching for identity and a consistent attacking threat. The double role for Jeff Strasser as coach is curious and could neutralise some tactical nuances. However, Kosovo look dynamic and are building chemistry, so I’m tipping a 3-0 win for Kosovo: their aggressive front three and improved midfield should break down Estonia’s resistant, if sometimes reckless, defence. For Estonia to turn the tide, they must stay disciplined and hope Merisalu or a set piece can manufacture a goal — but the evidence suggests a tough evening awaits in Bergen.

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