Liam Duckstein
Set to be played against the backdrop of Bergen’s Brann Stadion, Estonia (w) and Kosovo (w) meet in a June-phase highlight of the International Friendly 2025. While both sides sit far apart in recent form and international ranking, the intrigue lies in their last head-to-head: a razor-tight 1-0 win for Kosovo (w) from which Estonia (w) will be eager to rebound, seeking not just pride but tangible improvement.
For Estonia (w), much will rest on the creative spark of Liisa Merisalu up front she’s the player most likely to trouble Kosovo’s defensive line with her movement and shot selection. On the Kosovo (w) side, Ereleta Memeti has proven to be a midfield force, with her goal contribution and dictation of the game’s tempo crucial in their recent run.
Perhaps the most telling ‘hot stat’? Kosovo (w) come into this match unbeaten in their last three, boasting a 50% win rate over their past two games, starkly contrasting Estonia (w)’s recent struggles.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2025 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.07.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
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Estonia (w) vs Kosovo (w) prediction
The best value lies in choosing Kosovo (w) to win. They come into this tie with greater momentum and consistency, both in result and performance metrics. Whereas Estonia (w) are striving to find their footing (one win in their last seven), Kosovo (w) have a stronger attacking record and recent confidence, shown in disciplined performances against better-ranked opposition.
Tactically, both sides favour the 3-4-3 formation, but their execution couldn’t be more different. Estonia (w) average just one goal per game in their last five but have struggled for off-the-ball movement, reflected in lowered shot and interception numbers. Kosovo (w) meanwhile combine quick midfield transitions spearheaded by Memeti and Ramadani with an ability to win set pieces (10 corners in five matches) and maintain pressure. Estonia’s defensive frailties, including frequent yellow cards and low interception stats, could well see them pinned back for spells.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Kosovo (w) Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Estonia (w): Their most recent fixture a 0-1 defeat to Kosovo was emblematic of their wider issues: lack of creative midfield impetus and an inability to translate possession to clear chances. Prior to that, a solitary 1-0 win over Bulgaria (w) offered some respite, but heavy losses (0-3 to Israel (w)) and draws reveal a team struggling to establish any real rhythm. Passing accuracy remains low, and shots on target are at a premium even set pieces haven’t been a reliable source of threat.
Kosovo (w): The key storyline is upward progress. In their last three, they bested Estonia 1-0 away, showing tactical discipline and capacity to grind out results. A 2-2 draw with Latvia (w) highlighted resilience after briefly losing control. Notably, their 3-0 win over North Macedonia (w) and 4-0 win in the reverse fixture earlier this year demonstrate the attacking heights this squad can hit when in stride, with Blerta Smaili and Ereleta Memeti responsible for pivotal moments.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Estonia (w) | Kosovo (w) |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 9 | 7 |
| Corner kicks | 5 | 10 |
🚨Read our full Estonia (w) vs Kosovo (w) stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Kosovo (w) the favourite
- Moneyline Estonia (w) 3.65 | Kosovo (w) 1.91
- Draw 3.37
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.40 | Under 2.5 1.58
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.35 | No 1.60
Bookies strongly favour Kosovo (w) and you can see why: their win rate, current run, and solid recent head-to-head all mark them as the team more likely to secure victory. The short odds for under 2.5 goals and ‘No’ for both teams to score reflect the expectation of a close, maybe even scrappy, contest, with goals at a premium considering Estonia (w)’s offensive woes.
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With Repkin set to marshal the defence, the back line will need both Saulus and her defensive colleagues to maintain shape a struggle in recent matches. Merisalu leads the line, likely supported by two pacey options in the 3-4-3. Creativity in midfield comes at a premium, so expect compactness and an emphasis on second-ball retention. This formation gives them defensive width but may leave them exposed in transitions.
Kosovo (w) possible starting eleven
Demiri returns in goal after solid showings; the defensive duo of Misini and Fejza offer reliability, while the midfield four are led by the impactful Memeti. Up top, Smaili provides the main threat, ably flanked by Biqkaj and Metaj. Their 3-4-3 is more fluid, based on quick, direct passing and high pressing, making them likely to control the tempo and test Estonia’s endurance.
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Estonia (w). Source: Official Website
The Verdict
Kosovo (w) hold a clear edge, not just in bookmaker odds but in on-pitch performance. Expect them to use the flanks to break down Estonia (w)’s compact formation, and for set pieces, particularly corners, to offer them scoring opportunities. Estonia (w) must rely on defensive structure and hope for a moment of individual brilliance from Merisalu. Our main pick? Kosovo (w) to win or, for those seeking added safety, Kosovo (w) Draw No Bet. The likely scenario is a low-scoring but tactically interesting contest which will further underline the contrasting season trajectories of these two teams.
