Alex MacQuoid
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Estonia host Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 3 October 2026, and the predicted lineups for both sides tell very different stories about squad rotation. Jürgen Henn’s Estonia have shuffled personnel more than their visitors, while Jeff Strasser’s Luxembourg have barely changed a thing across their last two outings. That contrast, rather than any single standout name, is the main talking point before kick-off.
Estonia Predicted Lineup
Estonia are projected to line up in a 4-2-3-1, which matches Jürgen Henn’s preferred formation. The side is largely settled, with 9 of the projected XI starting their last match, though a couple of places remain less certain than the rest. Robi Saarma has only one start in the two matches used for this projection, and Maximilian skvortsov has yet to start at all, making the wide midfield areas the likeliest spots for change if Henn freshens things up. Everywhere else the same faces have started in both of the matches this projection is built on.
Estonia predicted XI: Karl Hein; Maksim Paskotsi, Karol Mets, Michael Schjonning-Larsen, Robi Saarma; Mattias Käit, Markus Poom, Markus Soomets, Kevor Palumets, Maximilian skvortsov; karel mustmaa
| Line | # | Player | Starts in last 2 | Last 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | Karl Hein | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 3 | Maksim Paskotsi | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 18 | Karol Mets | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 19 | Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 7 | Robi Saarma | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| M | 4 | Mattias Käit | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| M | 20 | Markus Poom | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| M | 8 | Markus Soomets | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| M | 10 | Kevor Palumets | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| M | 15 | Maximilian skvortsov | 0/2 | 0/2 |
| F | 11 | karel mustmaa | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Luxembourg Predicted XI
Luxembourg’s expected XI is built around a 4-1-4-1, again reflecting Jeff Strasser’s own stated preference for the shape. This is a settled side – 11 of the projected XI started their last match, underlining how little rotation Strasser has used recently. Mathias Olesen is the only player in the group with just one start of the two matches considered, while every other name in the XI has started both; Leandro Barreiro’s continued presence in midfield is as close to a certainty as this data offers.
Luxembourg predicted XI: Anthony Moris; Enes Mahmutovic, Florian Bohnert, Dirk Carlson, Laurent Jans; J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz, Vincent Thill, Hamza Kadamani, Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen; Aiman Dardari
| Line | # | Player | Starts in last 2 | Last 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | Anthony Moris | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 3 | Enes Mahmutovic | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 4 | Florian Bohnert | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 13 | Dirk Carlson | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| D | 18 | Laurent Jans | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| M | 6 | J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| M | 15 | Vincent Thill | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| M | 20 | Hamza Kadamani | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| M | 16 | Leandro Barreiro | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| M | 19 | Mathias Olesen | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| F | 7 | Aiman Dardari | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Team News and Confirmed Absentees
For Estonia, no absentees are recorded in the data, so Henn’s team news heading into this one is clean across every line, from goalkeeper through to attack. Should a late change be needed, Patrik Kristal is the bench option who has started most often among the recent squads and would be the obvious first call if cover is required.
Luxembourg’s picture is the same: no absentees are recorded in the data, leaving Strasser with his full group of recent starters available. On the bench, Danel Sinani stands out as the player with the most recent starts, making him the likeliest option to be introduced if Strasser opts to change personnel.
How These Line-ups Were Picked
Both projections were built from each team’s last two available line-ups, which is all the data currently allows, with the more recent of those two matches weighted more heavily than the older one. Any player confirmed as injured or suspended was removed from selection before the projected XI was assembled. With only two matches feeding each side’s projection, this remains a tentative predicted line-up for both teams and will be updated once the official team news is confirmed.
Read Also: Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction: 03.10.2026 UEFA Nations League 2026/27 Preview
FAQ
What formation are Estonia and Luxembourg expected to play?
Estonia are projected in a 4-2-3-1, Jürgen Henn’s preferred shape, while Luxembourg are expected to set up in Jeff Strasser’s favoured 4-1-4-1.
Who is predicted to start in goal for Estonia vs Luxembourg?
Karl Hein is projected to start in goal for Estonia, with Anthony Moris expected to keep his place between the posts for Luxembourg.
Is anyone unavailable for Estonia vs Luxembourg?
No absentees are recorded in the data for either Estonia or Luxembourg ahead of this match.
When do Estonia play Luxembourg?
The UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026.