Liam Duckstein
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Estonia host Iceland in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 6 October 2026, and these predicted lineups lean on how both coaches have actually used their squads lately rather than on name recognition alone. The sharpest contrast here is in rotation: Estonia’s group has barely changed across its recent matches, while Iceland’s back line in particular has been shuffled more freely. Neither side’s selection should be read as confirmed until the official team news lands closer to kick-off.
Estonia Predicted XI
Jürgen Henn’s projected XI lines up in a 4-2-3-1, which matches his own preferred shape, and the group looks largely settled, with 9 of the projected XI starting their last match. Maksim Paskotsi and Karol Mets both stand out for consistency, each having started all three of the matches used to build this projection. That level of repetition across the back four and midfield suggests Henn has settled on a core group heading into this fixture, even if nothing is officially confirmed yet.
Estonia predicted XI: Karl Hein; Maksim Paskotsi, Karol Mets, Michael Schjonning-Larsen, Märten Kuusk; Mattias Käit, Markus Poom, Patrik Kristal, Rasmus Peetson, Kevor Palumets; karel mustmaa
| Line | # | Player | Starts in last 3 | Last 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | Karl Hein | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| D | 3 | Maksim Paskotsi | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| D | 18 | Karol Mets | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| D | 19 | Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| D | 2 | Märten Kuusk | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| M | 4 | Mattias Käit | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| M | 20 | Markus Poom | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| M | 14 | Patrik Kristal | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| M | 6 | Rasmus Peetson | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| M | 10 | Kevor Palumets | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| F | 11 | karel mustmaa | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Iceland Predicted XI
Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s expected XI sits in a 4-4-2, his own preferred setup, and it too reads as largely settled, with 7 of the projected XI starting their last match. Hakon Valdimarsson and Mikael Ellertsson are the clearest fixtures in this group, both starting all three of the matches used here. Further forward there is slightly more churn, which fits with a side that has rotated more than its opponents across the same recent stretch.
Iceland predicted XI: Hakon Valdimarsson; Mikael Ellertsson, Daniel Leo Gretarsson, Victor Pálsson, Stefán Teitur Thórdarson; Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson, Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson, Andri Fannar Baldursson; Orri Steinn Óskarsson, Andri Guðjohnsen
| Line | # | Player | Starts in last 3 | Last 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 12 | Hakon Valdimarsson | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| D | 19 | Mikael Ellertsson | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| D | 3 | Daniel Leo Gretarsson | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| D | 4 | Victor Pálsson | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| D | 16 | Stefán Teitur Thórdarson | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| M | 7 | Hákon Arnar Haraldsson | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| M | 8 | Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| M | 11 | Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| M | 6 | Andri Fannar Baldursson | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| F | 9 | Orri Steinn Óskarsson | 3/3 | 3/3 |
| F | 22 | Andri Guðjohnsen | 2/3 | 2/3 |
Team News and Confirmed Absentees
For Estonia, no absentees are recorded in the data, so Henn’s selection line is not being thinned by injury or suspension in any department. On the bench, several players carry just one start apiece in this stretch, with Matvei Igonen and Mattias Männilaan among those best placed to come into contention if Henn opts to freshen things up.
| Player | Pos | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Anders Lepik | injured | Cruciate Ligament Rupture | |
| Vlasiy Sinyavskiy | injured | Cruciate ligament stretch |
Iceland’s team news is more pointed: Sverrir Ingi Ingason and Elías Rafn Ólafsson are out injured, thinning Gunnlaugsson’s options at centre-back and in goal respectively. Among the reserves, Hörður Magnússon is one of several bench players with a single start to his name who could be asked to step into the back four if needed.
| Player | Pos | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sverrir Ingi Ingason | D | injured | Cruciate Ligament Rupture |
| Elías Rafn Ólafsson | G | injured | Kidney problems |
How These Line-ups Were Picked
Each predicted lineup was built from that side’s last three line-ups, with more recent matches weighted more heavily than older ones so current form shapes the projection more than results from weeks ago. Any player confirmed injured or suspended was removed before the XI was assembled. This remains a projection rather than an announcement, and it can and will change once the official team is named.
Read Also: Estonia vs Iceland Prediction: 06.10.2026 UEFA Nations League
FAQ
Who is predicted to start in goal for Estonia vs Iceland?
Karl Hein is projected to start in goal for Estonia, while Hakon Valdimarsson, who started all three matches used in this projection, is expected to start for Iceland.
What formation will Estonia and Iceland use?
Estonia’s predicted line-up is set up in a 4-2-3-1, matching Jürgen Henn’s preferred formation, while Iceland’s expected XI lines up in a 4-4-2 under Arnar Gunnlaugsson.
Who is unavailable for Iceland against Estonia?
Iceland are without Sverrir Ingi Ingason and Elías Rafn Ólafsson, both out injured; no absentees are recorded for Estonia in this data set.
When do Estonia and Iceland play?
The match kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.