Entella vs Sampdoria Prediction: 17.10.2025 Serie B 2025/26 Preview

This Serie B clash between Entella and Sampdoria at the Stadio Comunale, Chiavari, on 17 October 2025, may seem on paper like a mid-table scrap but is, in fact, packed with tactical intrigue. Both sides sit lower in the standings than their ambitions demand, yet given their contrasting forms and strategic set-ups, this duel offers far more than the table suggests. Entella and Sampdoria both operate in a 3-4-2-1, but Andrea Chiappella and Massimo Donati have instilled noticeably different footballing convictions in their respective squads. On a deeper level, this tie is a litmus test: can Entella’s controlled build-up finally break their goal drought, or will Sampdoria’s flashes of attacking intent puncture their inconsistency?

Keep your eyes on Sampdoria’s Fabio Depaoli, who brings dynamism down the right with two goals in his last four, and Entella’s Tommaso Fumagalli, whose ability to find space between the lines has been one of the hosts’ rare attacking sparks. The midfield battles and how these two influence the tempo could prove pivotal. Not to be overlooked, goalkeepers Simone Colombi (Entella) and Simone Ghidotti (Sampdoria) will have their say, given both sides’ proclivity for allowing shots on target.

For those chasing the stats: Sampdoria’s 4-1 thrashing of Pescara in their last five matches stands as the ‘hot stat’ — their most convincing display of the season, and a true indicator that this Samp outfit still possesses menace on their day.

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Entella vs Sampdoria prediction

The bookmakers slightly favour Entella, with win probability around 38%, but these margins speak volumes about the unpredictable nature of this contest. Entella may have home advantage and steadier possession numbers, but Sampdoria have shown bursts of attacking potency, as seen in their rout over Pescara. The form guide for both over the last five matches reads erratic: one win apiece, several draws, and the odd defeat. However, Entella’s main concern is firepower—just three goals in their recent five raises eyebrows, while Sampdoria’s five hint at a potential edge.

Tactically, both teams tend to build from the back with similar 3-4-2-1 formations, but stylistic quirks set them apart. Entella average 76% pass accuracy and have shown they can grind out results, yet their tendency to concede (ten goals in their last seven league games) combined with frequent yellow cards (12 in five) points to frailty under pressure. Sampdoria, though less precise in passing (just 64% completion over five matches), have been slightly more clinical in front of goal, and their eight yellow cards in recent games suggest a side willing to take risks—but not recklessly so.

With both teams regularly conceding and little between them statistically, a ‘Both Teams To Score’ wager is tempting. But Entella’s leaky home defence, coupled with Sampdoria’s ability for one-off strong attacking displays, tilts the value towards an Asian Handicap +0 (Draw No Bet) in Sampdoria’s favour. Expect a tense, occasionally fractious game with both sides likely finding the back of the net—a draw could well be on the cards, but I lean slightly towards Sampdoria showing a bit more incision in attack.

Team Analysis

Entella: The Chiavari side’s recent run has been harsh: one win in their last five (a gritty 1-0 over Mantova), one draw, and three defeats (most notably, back-to-back 0-2 home losses to Modena and Avellino). Their last outing against Modena showcased tenacity but ultimately saw them struggle to create clear opportunities in the box, a pattern echoing throughout October. While Chiappella’s back-three system can shackle inferior sides, Entella have faltered when asked to play on the front foot and their goal return reflects a side lacking a genuine talisman up top.

Sampdoria: Massimo Donati’s men nearly mirror Entella’s record, collecting one win (that 4-1 demolition of Pescara), two draws, and two losses across their last five. Their most recent display—a disciplined 0-0 draw against Catanzaro—demonstrated improved defensive rigour, yet earlier defeats (not least to Monza and Cesena) highlight an ongoing struggle for consistency. At their best, the Blucerchiati unleash fast transitions and rely on the creative output of Depaoli and Simone Pafundi, but lapses in focus at the back remain.

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🚨Read our full Entella vs Sampdoria stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Entella the favourite

• Moneyline Entella 2.55 | Sampdoria 3.10
• Draw 2.90
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.15 | Under 2.5 1.67
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.83 | No 1.93

The odds marginally favour Entella, mainly for home advantage and steadier defence, yet the pricing suggests the bookies see this as a finely-balanced affair – neither side has truly convinced this season. Sampdoria’s longer odds imply risk based on their inconsistency, but their higher attacking output in recent matches gives them real upset potential if they capitalise on defensive lapses. For punters, the ‘Draw’ and ‘Both Teams to Score’ markets are awash with value, given both sides’ penchant for conceding and trading goals in scrappy affairs.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Entella possible starting eleven

• GK: Simone Colombi
• DF: Luca Parodi, Stefano Di Mario, Ivan Marconi
• MF: Andrea Franzoni, Ahmad Benali, Marco Dalla Vecchia, Francesco Mezzoni
• FW: Alessandro Debenedetti, Tommaso Fumagalli, Davide Bariti

Chiappella will likely stick with his preferred 3-4-2-1, with Colombi as the reliable option between the sticks. Parodi, Di Mario, and Marconi should anchor the backline given their heavy involvement this season, while Franzoni, Benali, Dalla Vecchia, and Mezzoni provide energy in central and wide areas. Up front, Fumagalli’s recent goal, alongside Debenedetti and Bariti’s off-the-ball movement, should give Entella some tactical flexibility, though goals remain at a premium. Watch for Benali’s orchestration from deep – he could be the hinge for transitions.

Sampdoria possible starting eleven

• GK: Simone Ghidotti
• DF: Fabio Depaoli, Alessandro Riccio, Stipe Vulikic
• MF: Leonardo Benedetti, Oliver Abildgaard, Alessandro Bellemo, Lorenzo Venuti
• FW: Marvin Cuni, Massimo Coda, Simone Pafundi

Donati is also likely to persist with the 3-4-2-1, leveraging Depaoli’s surging runs from the backline, while Riccio and Vulikic shore up the centre. The midfield boasts grit with Benedetti and versatility with Abildgaard’s forward thrusts. In attack, Massimo Coda’s experience is complemented by Cuni’s bustling energy and Pafundi’s guile. Sampdoria’s formation is designed to transition quickly from midfield, and Depaoli’s recent scoring bursts mark him out as a player to watch. Expect Ghidotti under the bar, given his strong recent outings.

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My take on the Match

All signs point to a fiercely competitive encounter, one that’s just as likely to be decided on a fine margin as by a moment of magic. For value, I’m leaning towards Sampdoria on the Draw No Bet – their greater attacking spread and recent 4-1 win suggest they have a touch more edge in the final third. However, both teams’ defensive weaknesses and similar tactical blueprints mean a high-scoring draw can’t be ruled out! For the romantics, a pulsating 2-2 would suit the story of both sides’ campaigns so far. As the season develops, whichever side seizes momentum here could springboard towards mid-table security—and possibly more if consistency is found. What a journey awaits!

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