Eibar vs Elche Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Copa Del Rey - 16.12.2025

The storied Ipurua Municipal Stadium in Eibar prepares to host the Copa Del Rey 2025/26 Round of 32 clash between SD Eibar and Elche CF on 16 December 2025, with kick-off at 20:00 CEST. Both sides enter this knockout fixture seeking to rejuvenate their campaigns, bringing to the Basque Country a battle shaped by recent struggles, ambitions for a Cup run, and tactical intrigue from coaches Beñat San José and Eder Sarabia.

While both teams have endured inconsistent league form, the Copa is notorious for drama and unpredictability. Eibar’s home advantage at the compact, vibrant Ipurua could prove significant. Keep an eye on Eibar’s Jon Bautista, whose off-the-ball runs and high shot volume suggest he is primed for a breakthrough, while Elche’s versatile forward Rafa Mir remains a constant goalscoring threat and could be decisive if given space.

A standout stat entering the match: Eibar’s recent tally of 16 yellow cards in their past five games underscores a combative edge that could shape the contest’s rhythm and disciplinary tone.

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Eibar vs Elche predictions

My best bet: Under 2.5 goals. Recent matches involving both sides, including two consecutive head-to-head wins for Elche by 2-0 margins and the Cup tension at stake, strongly suggest a low-scoring encounter. Both teams prioritize structure and often struggle in front of goal Eibar netting just five in their last five matches, Elche seven, with much of their attack stalling against organized opposition. The physical, tight nature of Eibar’s home ground further favors a cautious tactical approach, and neither coach is likely to leave spaces in behind early on.

Stylistically, Eibar’s high foul and yellow card count reveals a side unafraid to disrupt opposition rhythm, often sacrificing fluidity for defensive solidity. Their ball progression is functional 2,042 passes in five matches with 81 shots but they surrender transitions, evidenced by 51 interceptions and a need for aggressive recoveries. Elche, in contrast, amass more total passes (2,708 in their last five), yet with 61 fouls and notably fewer yellows (4 yellow cards), Eder Sarabia’s side adopt a more balanced, possession-based style, but their end product is inconsistent.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Under 8.5

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Eibar vs Elche Most recent H2Hs

Elche have dominated recent head-to-heads, securing back-to-back 2-0 victories over Eibar in the 2024/25 La Liga 2 season. Those matches were characterized by Elche’s clinical finishing and effective game management; Eibar often pressed but lacked efficiency in the final third. The pattern suggests Elche are comfortable absorbing pressure before striking on the counter or exploiting defensive lapses.

🚨Read our full Eibar vs Elche stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Elche are unbeaten in five of their last six away matches in all competitions.
• Eibar have scored just one goal in their past three outings.
• Eibar have averaged 3.2 yellow cards per game across their last five matches.
• Rafa Mir (Elche) has scored twice in his last five appearances.
• Both clubs typically field a 4-2-3-1 formation, leading to midfield congestion and tactical battles.

Eibar vs Elche score prediction: 0-1

Elche’s superior discipline, recent form, and the presence of a reliable finisher in Rafa Mir sway the balance. Eibar’s inefficacy in attack and tendency to concede under pressure indicate Elche could edge this match narrowly. Expect a balanced contest with Elche striking late through Mir or Germán Valera and holding the fort thereafter, with Eibar pressing frantically but lacking the cutting edge to level.

Despite Eibar’s home advantage, bookmakers’ current odds reflect a finely balanced tie, with no clear favourite due to both sides’ modest win rates and recent form. The slim statistical gaps and the history of low-scoring, tightly-contested H2Hs suggest any outcome remains plausible. Still, the under markets and an Elche draw-or-win appear undervalued.

Eibar vs Elche Over/Under Analysis

• Four of the last five matches involving either team ended with under 2.5 total goals.
• Eibar failed to score in three of their last five games.
• Neither side has produced more than three goals in a match across their last 10 combined fixtures.
• Elche’s defensive focus away from home contributes significantly to under totals.

Eibar Preview

Eibar approach the tie on the back of a gritty goalless draw against Córdoba, a result that underscored their organisation but also highlighted their attacking woes. Prior to that, Eibar fell 1-2 to Cultural Leonesa and 0-4 against Racing Santander, with only a 3-0 win over Pontevedra standing out. While the team has shown flashes of attacking intent, they often lack coherence in the final third. Their high tally of yellow cards signals persistent tactical fouling a byproduct of their high pressing and occasionally desperate defending.

Eibar possible starting eleven

Elche Preview

Elche come into this fixture fresh from a hard-fought 1-3 defeat to Mallorca but recently produced a clinical 3-0 win over Girona and held Real Madrid to a 2-2 draw a testament to their defensive organisation and opportunism on the break. Sarabia’s team showcases greater collective control in possession, but inconsistency in finishing has seen points slip away. Their approach in the Ipurua cauldron will likely focus on compactness and using runners like Rafa Mir and German Valera to exploit transitions.

Elche possible starting eleven

The Verdict

As TipsGG analysts, our main pick is Elche to win or draw. Eibar’s unconvincing home performances, combined with Elche’s defensive superiority and quality in transitions, suggest the visitors have a clear path to at least force extra time, if not snatch victory in regulation. According to our AI prediction engine, Elche’s win probability stands at 41 percent, a slight edge attributable to recent H2H dominance and attacking versatility, while Eibar’s chance is calculated at 37 percent, with a 22 percent probability of a draw reflecting the match’s likely tactical stalemate.

How to watch Eibar vs Elche

When? 16 December 2025, 20:00 CEST
Where? Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar, Spain
How to watch: Streaming options to be confirmed; check with your local Copa Del Rey broadcasters and streaming packages.
Favorite: Eibar (slight, venue-based preference but odds nearly level)

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