Levi Rothermund
Explore Daniel Dubois’ chances of upsetting Oleksandr Usyk in their highly anticipated rematch and the likelihood of a knockout finish.
Oleksandr Usyk, the undisputed heavyweight champion, returns to the ring to face Britain’s Daniel Dubois in a heated rematch. After their first meeting ended in a dramatic stoppage win for Usyk, this second showdown could be Dubois’ final shot at redemption at the elite level.
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Dubois’ Betting Odds for the Usyk Rematch
The first bout saw Dubois land some heavy body shots, including a controversial moment that nearly turned the tide. Yet, Usyk stood firm and ultimately broke down the Brit. Now, bookmakers have weighed in with updated odds for the rematch:
- Oleksandr Usyk to win – 1.25
- Daniel Dubois to win – 4.10
- Draw – 21.00
These odds reflect just a 22-25% win probability for Dubois. But in the heavyweight division, one punch can flip the script—and Dubois has dynamite in his fists.
Also read: Usyk vs Dubois 2: Date, Time
Can Dubois Knock Usyk Out?
Despite the loss, Dubois made his presence felt with those heavy body blows, one of which had Usyk doubling over. In this rematch, a Dubois knockout win is listed at:
- Dubois to win by KO, TKO, or DQ – 6.50
This implies about a 15% chance. It’s not high, but with Dubois being one of the youngest and hardest hitters in the division, it’s a risk worth watching. If he connects clean, anything can happen.
Dubois by Decision – Realistic or a Long Shot?
Given Usyk’s supreme movement, ring IQ, and ability to outpoint opponents, betting on Dubois to win on the cards is a bold move. Here’s what the market says:
- Dubois to win by decision – 10.00
Just a 10% chance here. To beat Usyk on points, Dubois would need the performance of his life and a near-flawless strategy over 12 rounds. Can he outthink the master technician? Doubtful—but not impossible.
Also read: Usyk vs Dubois 2 Odds
Will Dubois Score a Knockdown?
Let’s not forget: in the first fight, Dubois was the one who nearly caused an upset with a body shot that folded Usyk—though it was controversially ruled low. Bookies are still giving him a fair shot at landing something big:
- Usyk to be knocked down – YES – 3.30
Roughly a 30% probability. If Dubois can find a clean angle again, a knockdown is well within reach. And if he does… the fight could take a very different turn.
Also read: Usyk vs. Dubois 2 Predictions
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