Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Prediction: 1. HNL 14.03.2026

It’s business as usual at Stadion Maksimir as Dinamo Zagreb, the dominant force atop the 1. HNL table, prepare to host Slaven Belupo one of this season’s quietly persistent mid-table sides. With both teams showing flashes of brilliance in recent matches, this encounter throws up one particularly intriguing question: can Slaven Belupo’s sturdy away record frustrate the league leaders, or will Dinamo’s relentless attack simply prove too much? For neutrals and die-hard fans alike, expect sharp tactical wits to be tested from the dugout, with Mario Kovacevic and Mario Gregurina both keen to reinforce their respective credentials.

Keep your eyes on Dinamo’s Luka Stojkovic, a fleet-footed forward with three goals and three assists in his last four games, and Slaven Belupo’s ever-industrious Josip Mitrović up top, who has become a linchpin for his side with two goals from the last four appearances. The duel out wide could be every bit as decisive as anything that happens in the middle of the park.

Hot stat: Dinamo Zagreb have smashed home 16 goals in their last five matches, twice the tally their visitors have managed demonstrating a ruthlessly clinical frontline.

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Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo prediction

This match has the hallmarks of a confident Dinamo Zagreb triumph, yet it is by no means a foregone conclusion given Slaven Belupo’s knack for finding joy on the counter. Dinamo boast a formidable home record, a +39 goal difference, and an attacking line that’s both in form and stacked with quality finishers. Recent wins over rivals Hajduk Split and comprehensive scorelines against the likes of Gorica and Varazdin reflect a side brimming with cutting edge.

However, Slaven Belupo arrive off a rollercoaster 6-4 win over Lokomotiva Zagreb and demonstrate an ability to take their chances especially late in matches. Their goal output has improved, but they remain leaky at the back, conceding 38 in 25 league games and averaging over 1.5 goals against per game.

Expect Dinamo to control the ball (average 83% pass accuracy in the last five matches versus Slaven’s 76%), construct chances methodically, and press high. Slaven Belupo will likely soak up pressure, hope to nick something on the break, and try to exploit set pieces where Josip Mitrović and Leonard Žuta offer real threat. Yellow cards could also be a subplot, with both teams collecting 8+ across their last five games, signaling a feisty affair.

Team Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb: The reigning leaders come in after a dominating 3-1 win over Hajduk Split, where their attacking trident looked untouchable and the midfield dictated tempo. They’ve notched up five wins from their last eight, outscoring opponents by a whopping 16-8 margin in their last five alone. The return of Monsef Bakrar and Luka Stojkovic’s purple patch up front has given them an extra edge they’re flowing, dynamic, and clicking in the final third like a well-rehearsed orchestra.

Slaven Belupo: If anything, Slaven’s 6-4 barnstormer against Lokomotiva Zagreb proved their propensity for chaos both scoring and conceding at will. Their defensive frailties are a worry, but they’re unbeaten in five, with form lines suggesting resilience. The midfield duo of Ljuban Crepulja and Josip Mitrović link play well, and while their away record lacks consistency, their ability to grind out draws gives hope to any traveling support.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite

• Moneyline Dinamo Zagreb 1.27 | Slaven Belupo 9.00
• Draw 5.10
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.69 | Under 2.5 2.17
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.04 | No 1.76

With odds heavily stacked in Dinamo Zagreb’s favour, bookmakers are clearly expecting a home win a sentiment that’s hard to argue with given their home record, goal output, and recent form. The generous price on Over 2.5 goals also reflects the likelihood of a high-scoring affair, especially with Slaven Belupo’s tendency to get involved in wild, open games. BTTS remains tempting given Dinamo sometimes concede even when dominant, and Slaven thrive in late, scrappy situations.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven

No real surprises in Mario Kovacevic’s setup. Livaković in goal brings security; the backline features Galesic and Goda offering both steel and surprising technical ability. In midfield, Mišić and Zajc provide the metronome, with Vidović’s creativity crucial between the lines. Up top, expect Stojkovic and Bakrar to swap flanks and Beljo to offer a constant goal threat. Most likely a 4-2-3-1, a shape that’s reaped dividends all campaign fluid, quick in transition, and with wingers who can both create and finish.

Slaven Belupo possible starting eleven

Slaven are likely to mirror the 4-2-3-1, with Čović steering the ship from between the sticks and fullbacks Božić and Žuta offering rare but meaningful raids forward. Crepulja and Cubelic hold shape centrally while Kruselj and Mitrović pull wide into the channels, hoping to exploit space on the break. Dabro and Nestorovski can both poach a goal, but how well the midfield supports transitions will be key. If Slaven can keep it compact and seize those rare gaps, they’ll fancy breaking through.

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The Verdict

All signs point to Dinamo Zagreb stamping their authority with a comfortable, high-scoring win expect a 3-1 or even 4-1, the only caveat being Belupo’s faint promise on the counter and at set pieces. We’ve seen Dinamo, under Mario Kovacevic, mastering the art of balancing patient build-up with lethal bursts in the final third. For Slaven, it’s about weathering early pressure and hoping their front line can pounce if Dinamo momentarily lapse. Ultimately, the home side should run out deserved winners marking another stride in a title-bound campaign.

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