The 1. HNL regular season edges toward its climax as second-placed Dinamo Zagreb host fifth-placed Slaven Belupo at Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb. With just a point separating Dinamo from league leaders Rijeka and Slaven Belupo fighting to secure a top-half finish, the stage is set for a crucial encounter in Croatian football. Historically, Dinamo have dominated this fixture, but recent results – including a surprise 4-1 victory for Belupo last year – inject a hint of unpredictability. Wednesday’s match is more than just a formality: it’s a true test of resolve as both sides look to end the campaign on a high note.
Key players to watch include Dinamo’s dynamic midfielder Martin Baturina, whose creative engine has resulted in two assists and consistently high pass accuracy, and Slaven Belupo’s Ilija Nestorovski, a forward in form with two goals in his last four matches, always a danger on the break.
A standout statistic (“Hot stat”): Dinamo Zagreb have averaged 8.6 shots on target and an impressive 8.6 corner kicks per match over their last five home fixtures, showcasing their persistently attacking style under coach Sandro Perkovic.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2024/25 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.05.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
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Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo prediction
The bookmakers make Dinamo Zagreb heavy favourites—and with good reason. Dinamo’s superior offensive output (10 goals and 85 shots in their last five games) is matched by solid defensive work and a 67% win rate over the past month. Slaven Belupo, while competitive this season, have suffered from inconsistency, notably conceding four to Osijek in their most recent defeat.
The recommended value play here is Dinamo Zagreb -1.5 on the Asian Handicap: given Dinamo’s attacking rhythm, creative midfield, and set-piece strength, a home victory by a healthy margin is a strong possibility. Slaven Belupo’s defensive structure struggles against higher-tempo teams, and with Dinamo pressing aggressively from midfield through Baturina and Petar Sučić, expect the hosts to dictate proceedings.
Both teams maintain a disciplined approach—each accruing only 9 yellow cards in the last five games—but Belupo’s 54 total fouls in that spell indicate they may resort to disruption under pressure. Dinamo’s superior ball retention (2,608 passes with an 85% success rate across five games) should prevent Belupo from finding rhythm, though Nestorovski’s form means the visitors could still fashion a goal on the counter. With Dinamo’s high number of corners and relentless pressure, over 2.5 goals also presents value, but the strongest play remains supporting the home side with the handicap.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dinamo Zagreb -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb: Perkovic’s side returned to form impressively after two earlier defeats, most recently beating Hajduk Split 3-1 thanks to clinical finishing and territorial dominance. They have won four of their last six, including a statement 1-0 win over Rijeka, with standout midfield performances and a well-balanced 4-2-3-1 formation. Set-piece quality and aggressive pressing have contributed to their recent high number of corners and consistent attack, compensating for a slightly leaky defense (40 goals conceded this season).
Slaven Belupo: Under Mario Kovacevic, Belupo’s campaign has been a rollercoaster. After a morale-boosting 2-0 win over Sibenik, their confidence faltered in a 1-4 home defeat to Osijek. Though they have shown resilience, picking up 2 wins and a draw in their last six, inconsistency remains a concern. Defensively, the side is organized yet lacks the midfield composure of top teams—highlighted by a 38-goal haul for and against—and an over-reliance on moments of individual brilliance from forwards such as Nestorovski and Grgić.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Dinamo Zagreb | Slaven Belupo |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 28 | 21 |
| Free kicks | 18 | 22 |
| Corner kicks | 17 | 8 |
| Total fouls | 32 | 39 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 84 | 77 |
| Interceptions | 18 | 21 |
🚨Read our full Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite
| Moneyline | Dinamo Zagreb 1.20 | Slaven Belupo 12.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 6.00 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.65 | Under 2.5 2.10 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.00 | No 1.80 | |
The odds reflect Dinamo’s dominance at home, with the lowest win price coming in at 1.15 and few bookmakers believing in an upset. Given their attacking numbers and tactical discipline, this is justified, while Slaven’s longer odds make sense against Dinamo’s season-long consistency. The market for over 2.5 goals is backed by both sides’ penchant for attacking football, and the even odds on BTTS show some respect for Belupo’s ability to snatch an away goal.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Possible Starting Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven
- GK: Ivan Nevistić
- DF: Stefan Ristovski, Kévin Théophile-Catherine, Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel, Niko Galesic
- MF: Josip Mišić, Petar Sučić, Martin Baturina, Marko Rog, Marko Pjaca
- FW: Sandro Kulenović
Coach Sandro Perkovic is likely to deploy his favoured 4-2-3-1, maximising midfield creativity and width. Expect Baturina and Pjaca to offer dynamism behind Kulenović, who has three goals in his last five. Ristovski and Pierre-Gabriel are vital both in shoring up the defense and providing overlapping support in attack. Watch for Sučić’s late surges into the box—he’s chipped in with two goals recently.

Slaven Belupo possible starting eleven
- GK: Ivan Susak
- DF: Tomislav Božić, Dominik Kovačić, Antonio Bosec, Luka Lučić
- MF: Ljuban Crepulja, Adriano Jagusic, Adrian Liber, Micheal Agbekpornu
- FW: Ilija Nestorovski, Alen Grgić
Belupo are also set for a 4-2-3-1, with a defensive base, energy in midfield, and a direct threat from Nestorovski and Grgić up front. Kovačević is the leader at the back, while Jagusic stands out as a ball-winner. With Grgić operating out wide and Liber looking to link play, the foundation is set for quick transitions—the team’s best chance against possession-heavy Dinamo.
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Slaven Belupo. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
The Verdict
My main pick for this contest is Dinamo Zagreb -1.5 on the Asian Handicap. Dinamo’s attacking numbers and structure are superior, and their ability to generate chances and corners should see them outscore a spirited but inconsistent Slaven Belupo. However, given Belupo’s occasional brilliance on the counter and Dinamo’s slight defensive lapses, both teams to score presents secondary value. Expect Perkovic’s side to control play and create numerous opportunities, with a final scoreline in the region of 3-1 or 3-0 a realistic possibility. For punters, the best value remains back Dinamo with a handicap, but explore goal and corner markets too—it promises to be an engaging fixture with action at both ends.

