Levi Rothermund
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Dinamo Zagreb open their home account in the 1. HNL 2026/27 season when they welcome Rudes to Stadion Maksimir on Friday night. The defending champions sit fourth after one round, having already dispatched Slaven Belupo 2-0 on the road. Rudes, on the other hand, have shipped eight goals in two league games and arrive in Zagreb having been thrashed 6-1 by Osijek last weekend. The gap in quality is significant, but the one previous head-to-head on record ended in a remarkable 3-3 draw, which adds a small layer of intrigue to what looks like a one-sided contest on paper.
Two players stand out heading into this fixture. Dion Drena Beljo leads Dinamo’s attack with three goals and two assists across his last five appearances, and his movement in behind a high defensive line gives Rudes a problem they have consistently failed to solve this season. For Rudes, Lenny Ilecic is the one forward who has shown any real threat, contributing a goal and an assist in just two league matches, and if Rudes are to avoid a heavy defeat he will need to hold the ball up effectively against Scott McKenna and the Dinamo backline.
The hot stat from recent games: Dinamo Zagreb have scored 13 goals across their last five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Rudes have managed just two goals in their last five outings combined.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2026/27 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudes prediction
This match has one obvious outcome: a comfortable Dinamo Zagreb win. Mario Kovacevic’s side have not lost in their last six games across all competitions, and they are coming off back-to-back European wins over Kauno Zalgiris. Rudes have won none of their last six matches, losing four, and they have conceded eight goals in two 1. HNL games this season alone.
We think the most valuable bet here is Dinamo Zagreb to win and over 2.5 goals. Dinamo’s attacking output has been relentless, and Rudes simply do not have the defensive structure to contain a front line that includes Beljo, Miha Zajc, and Lukas Kacavenda. Zajc has two goals in his last five games, Kacavenda has three, and the supply lines through Josip Mišić in midfield are consistent and precise.
Dinamo average 41 corner kicks across five matches, compared to Rudes’ five. That volume of set-piece pressure alone suggests the home side will dominate territory. Rudes commit fewer fouls per game (25 across five matches versus Dinamo’s 39), which means they tend to sit deep and absorb rather than press aggressively. That approach has not worked against Osijek or Rijeka this season, and it is unlikely to work against a Dinamo side with 103 shots in five games.
Rudes’ pass accuracy in recent games is noticeably lower (514 of 649 attempted passes completed) compared to Dinamo’s 1,484 of 1,744. That disparity in ball retention tells the story of two teams at very different points in their development. Rudes will struggle to keep possession long enough to threaten Ivan Nevistić in goal.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dinamo Zagreb to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb have been in solid form over the past month, winning three and drawing three of their last six matches. Their draw record comes mainly from two European two-legged ties against Thun (1-1 and 2-2), where rotation and a cautious approach played a role. In domestic competition they have been dominant, beating Slaven Belupo 2-0 and then clearing the Kauno Zalgiris hurdle in Europe with a 5-0 aggregate-style performance across two legs. Their last outing, a 2-1 win over Kauno Zalgiris in the return fixture, was controlled rather than spectacular, but Beljo and Kacavenda both found the net across the tie. The squad depth Kovacevic has available, with players like Mislav Oršić and Gabriel Vidović rotating through, gives Dinamo the ability to maintain intensity even when not at full strength.
Rudes have had a difficult run. They have won none of their last six matches, drawing two and losing four. Their season started with a 0-5 loss to Shakhtar Donetsk in a pre-season friendly-style fixture, and they have not found any consistent footing since. A 2-2 draw against Zeljeznicar and a 1-1 against Goztepe showed some resilience, but a 1-2 defeat to Rijeka and then the 1-6 collapse against Osijek in the league last weekend exposed the defensive fragility that will concern coach Alen Peternac ahead of this trip to Maksimir. Conceding six to Osijek is a damaging result both in terms of the table and confidence, and Rudes now sit bottom of the 1. HNL with a goal difference of minus six after just two games.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two clubs have limited recent head-to-head history at the top level, but the one recorded encounter produced a memorable result.
| Statistic | Dinamo Zagreb | Rudes |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudes stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite
- Moneyline Dinamo Zagreb 1.10 | Rudes 16.63
- Draw 9.30
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The odds paint an accurate picture. Dinamo are priced between 1.08 and 1.12 across all major bookmakers, reflecting the 83% win probability the market assigns them. Pinnacle, which tends to be the sharpest book, offers 1.10, consistent with the consensus. The draw at 9.30 and Rudes at 16.63 with Pinnacle are the longest prices on the board for good reason. Honestly, the value is not in the match result market at these prices. The Dinamo win to nil and over 2.5 goals angle offers better returns given the current form of both sides. Rudes have scored in their last two league games, but both came in matches where they also conceded heavily, and Dinamo’s defensive record at home is a different proposition to what Rudes have faced recently.
Rudes. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven
- GK: Ivan Nevistić
- DF: Scott McKenna, Moris Valincic, Sergi Dominguez, Matteo Perez Vinlöf
- MF: Josip Mišić, Miha Zajc, Gabriel Vidović, Mislav Oršić
- MF: Lukas Kacavenda
- FW: Dion Drena Beljo
Dinamo have settled into a 4-1-4-1 shape in recent matches, with Mišić operating as the deepest midfielder and Kacavenda pushing forward from a box-to-box role. Nevistić starts in goal ahead of Danijel Zagorac, having featured in all five of the recent matches reviewed. McKenna anchors the centre of defence alongside Valincic, who has also contributed a goal and an assist from the back. Beljo leads the line as the focal point, and his combination with Fran Topic, who could come in for Oršić depending on rotation, has been productive. Watch Kacavenda closely. Three goals in five games from midfield is a return that demands attention.
Rudes possible starting eleven
- GK: Lovre Rogić
- DF: Vedran Celjak, Marko Stolnik, Felipe Curcio, ante susak
- MF: Jurica Poldrugac, Diego Živulić, Ivan Đoric, Xavier Cabrita Fernandes
- FW: Lenny Ilecic, Jakov Blagaić
Rudes have used a 4-4-2 system across their recent matches, with Lovre Rogić in goal after making 12 saves across his two league appearances. Celjak has been their most reliable defender based on interceptions, and the Brazilian Felipe Curcio provides some composure at the back. Poldrugac is the most active midfielder in terms of shot creation with four attempts in two games. Up front, Ilecic and Blagaić form the two-striker partnership, though Stefan Vukic has also contributed a goal from limited minutes and could push for a start. Rudes will need their defensive shape to hold early; if Dinamo score in the opening 20 minutes, the game could become very difficult to manage.
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Dinamo Zagreb. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Dinamo Zagreb should win this one without too much trouble. Their attacking numbers across the last five matches are in a different class to anything Rudes have produced, and the visitors arrive at Maksimir with zero wins in six games, a leaky defence, and the psychological damage of a 6-1 league defeat still fresh. Dinamo’s 103 shots across five games versus Rudes’ 14 is maybe the single stat that captures the gap between these sides most clearly.
We think Dinamo win to nil is the smart play at the prices available. The 3-3 scoreline from the only previous meeting is a historical footnote rather than a genuine indicator of what Friday night holds. Rudes have not scored a clean goal against a side of Dinamo’s calibre in recent memory, and their pass accuracy and shot volume suggest they will spend most of the game defending. Back Dinamo to win without conceding, and expect the goals total to clear 2.5 comfortably.
