Liam Duckstein
As the curtain falls on the 1. HNL regular season, Dinamo Zagreb hosts Lokomotiva Zagreb at Stadion Maksimir. The stakes are uneven: Dinamo has already clinched the top spot, while Lokomotiva’s mid-table finish means pride is the main motivator. What stands out is Dinamo’s remarkable home dominance, with an 86% win rate over the last month and a sparkling goal difference. Lokomotiva, on the other hand, has stuttered with draws and losses, but always brings a gritty approach to these city derbies.
All eyes should be on Dinamo’s prolific striker Dion Drena Beljo, who’s notched three goals in his last four games, and creative midfielder Josip Mišić, whose vision and passing power Dinamo’s engine room. Lokomotiva will likely rely on their midfielder Jakov Vasilj, who often initiates attacking moves, while defender Luka Dajcer must marshal the back line under pressure.
Hot stat: Dinamo Zagreb has scored 10 goals in their last five matches, double the league average over that stretch. That level of output rarely goes unnoticed by punters or bookmakers.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction
We predict Dinamo Zagreb to win this match. The gap in quality is substantial—Dinamo boasts a 76% win rate this year, while Lokomotiva trails at just 36%. Dinamo’s attack is ruthless and their defense organized. Lokomotiva’s form has been patchy, and they’ve struggled to convert chances against top teams.
Dinamo’s playing style centers on ball retention, quick combination play, and a high press. They average just six yellow cards in their last five matches, showing discipline. Lokomotiva, however, racks up more fouls (61 total fouls in last five) and yellow cards (nine), a sign of their aggressive approach. This may backfire, especially against Dinamo’s technical midfielders, leading to free kick opportunities and possible set-piece goals.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dinamo Zagreb to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb enters this fixture off a commanding 4-1 win against Slaven Belupo. The team controlled the game from start to finish, outshooting their opponents and rarely allowing any threat to their goal. That match extended Dinamo’s unbeaten streak, with recent results reading: win, win, win, win, draw, win, win. There’s cohesion in the squad, reflected in their high pass accuracy and goal tally.
Lokomotiva Zagreb drew 1-1 against Hajduk Split in their last outing, a respectable result given Hajduk’s stature. Still, the team’s recent record shows inconsistency: draw, draw, win, loss, draw, loss. Lokomotiva managed just two goals in their last five, and their reliance on defensive solidity is being tested. They’ll need more from their attack to trouble Dinamo.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Dinamo Zagreb | Lokomotiva Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 58 | 28 |
| Corner kicks | 22 | 23 |
| Total fouls | 40 | 61 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 88 | 80 |
| Interceptions | 32 | 43 |
| Offsides | 4 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva Zagreb stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite
- Moneyline Dinamo Zagreb 1.21 | Lokomotiva Zagreb 9.40
- Draw 6.50
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.60 | Under 2.5 2.30
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.65
The odds heavily favor Dinamo. A home win pays out minimally, showing the bookies’ near-certainty in their dominance. Draw and away prices are long, reflecting Lokomotiva’s struggles and Dinamo’s home advantage. Over 2.5 goals is a clear favorite, which matches the attacking profiles and stats. Both teams to score “No” is also favored, matching Dinamo’s defensive consistency and Lokomotiva’s blunt attack.
Possible Starting Lineups
Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven
- GK: Dominik Livaković
- DF: Niko Galesic, Moris Valincic, Scott Mckenna, Matteo Perez Vinlöf
- MF: Josip Mišić, Gabriel Vidović, Ismaël Bennacer
- FW: Dion Drena Beljo, Monsef Bakrar, Luka Stojkovic
Livaković is the clear first-choice in goal. The defense combines Galesic’s reliability with the solid presence of McKenna and the pace of Vinlöf. In midfield, Mišić pulls the strings and Vidović provides forward runs. Up front, Beljo’s goal-scoring form and Bakrar’s movement give Dinamo multiple threats. Expect a 4-2-3-1 setup, maximizing creativity and width.
Lokomotiva Zagreb possible starting eleven
- GK: Josip Posavec
- DF: Luka Dajcer, Denis Kolinger, Marko Pajač, Matija Subotic
- MF: Jakov Vasilj, blaz boskovic, Leon Belcar, Pavle Smiljanić
- FW: Dusan Vukovic, aleks stojakovic
Posavec anchors the back. Dajcer and Subotic are steady fullbacks, Kolinger adds height, and Pajač brings aggression. Vasilj is the midfield hub; Belcar can break lines, while boskovic and Smiljanić offer energy. Vukovic and stojakovic start in attack. Lokomotiva should line up 4-2-3-1, but will likely play deeper and look to counter.
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Lokomotiva Zagreb. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Dinamo Zagreb will secure a confident win. The stats leave little room for doubt: a powerful attack, disciplined defense, and home advantage tip the scales. Lokomotiva’s struggle for goals and tendency to concede suggest Dinamo may even win with a clean sheet. Expect action in the final third and set-pieces to play a role. Backing Dinamo and over 2.5 goals is the clear value.
