Liam Duckstein
Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split meet again in Zagreb for what shapes up to be the highlight of the Croatian top flight’s late season. Dinamo hold a commanding lead in the league table and have lost only one of their last twelve matches. Hajduk Split have put together an inconsistent run, but this derby rarely follows the script. Dion Drena Beljo stands out for Dinamo, having scored seven goals in his previous five appearances—an efficiency unmatched in the league right now. On the Hajduk side, Marko Livaja brings experience and creativity, and if he finds space, he can punish any lapse in concentration.
Hot stat: Dinamo Zagreb have scored twelve goals in their last five matches, nearly doubling Hajduk Split’s tally for the same span. Their relentless attack at Maksimir has set them apart, and their passing accuracy of 87% shows a team in complete control.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split prediction
We predict Dinamo Zagreb will win this match. The hosts display far more stability and sharper attacking numbers. Dinamo’s recent matches showcase impressive offensive depth, with Beljo’s finishing and Mišić’s midfield control being a real headache for any visitor. Hajduk’s defense has shown cracks, and with twice as many yellow cards as Dinamo in the last five matches, their aggressive approach risks leaving them exposed, especially late in the match.
Dinamo keep the ball well, boasting high pass completion and moderate foul counts. Their approach is structured, rarely reckless. Hajduk, on the other hand, commit a lot more fouls (62 vs 48 in last five games) and pick up more yellow cards. This may disrupt Dinamo’s rhythm early, but can backfire if cards accumulate. Both teams prefer the 4-2-3-1 setup, but Dinamo’s forward line operates with more cohesion and movement.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dinamo Zagreb to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb’s most recent match ended with a 2-1 win over Gorica. The team looked composed and efficient, controlling possession and creating several chances, even if they conceded late. The backline has held firm, and their midfield’s ability to recycle possession stands out. The last six matches for Dinamo show an unbeaten streak, only drawing against Rijeka. Their consistency at home has been unmatched throughout the campaign.
Hajduk Split took a 3-1 victory against Varazdin in their last game, a much-needed result after a patchy sequence. They dominated the midfield and pressed high, though gaps appeared at the back on several occasions. Their prior fixtures reflect some defensive lapses—conceding two against Slaven Belupo and losing to Osijek. Hajduk have struggled for attacking fluency away from home, and their ability to control possession is less assured than Dinamo’s.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Dinamo Zagreb | Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 12 | 6 |
| Total shots | 72 | 50 |
| Free kicks | 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks | 35 | 10 |
| Total fouls | 48 | 62 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 87 | 85 |
| Interceptions | 41 | 50 |
| Offsides | 6 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite
- Moneyline Dinamo Zagreb 1.60–1.62 | Hajduk Split 4.33–4.80
- Draw 3.80–4.20
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.85
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90
The bookmakers clearly favour Dinamo Zagreb, pricing them at near-odds-on. This reflects both their league dominance and consistent home performances. Hajduk’s price sits high due to their inconsistent form and less effective attack. The odds on over 2.5 goals are appealing, as both teams tend to create chances, and Dinamo’s home scoring record is convincing. Both teams to score is also well-priced, as Hajduk’s attack can exploit moments but their defense cannot guarantee a clean sheet.
Possible Starting Lineups
Dinamo Zagreb possible starting eleven
- GK: Ivan Nevistić
- DF: Niko Galesic, Moris Valincic, Sergi Dominguez, Bruno Goda
- MF: Josip Mišić, Gabriel Vidović, Marko Soldo
- FW: Dion Drena Beljo, Luka Stojkovic, Arber Hoxha
Ivan Nevistić has been ever-present in goal, showing composure and safe hands. Galesic and Dominguez bring stability at the back, while Mišić orchestrates play from midfield. Up front, Beljo’s recent scoring spree is likely to continue. The 4-2-3-1 system allows Stojkovic and Hoxha to exploit wide spaces, with Mišić supporting attacks from deep. Expect Vidović to offer creativity, while Soldo provides balance.
Hajduk Split possible starting eleven
- GK: Toni Silic
- DF: Dario Marešić, Zvonimir Šarlija, Simun Hrgovic, Dario Melnjak
- MF: Niko Kristian Sigur, Adrion Pajaziti, Rokas Pukstas
- FW: Marko Livaja, Roko Brajkovic, Ante Rebić
Silic has featured in all recent matches and looks set to start between the posts. The defense relies on Marešić and Šarlija for structure, while Pukstas and Sigur add steel in midfield. Pajaziti brings an edge with his passing and ball-winning. In attack, Livaja’s intelligence links play, with Brajkovic and Rebić offering threat from wide and central spaces. Hajduk also favour a 4-2-3-1, with a bit more emphasis on pressing and transition play, but their defense needs to keep cool to avoid costly bookings.
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Hajduk Split. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Dinamo Zagreb will secure the win, capitalizing on their outstanding form and strong home advantage. The numbers point to a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to find the net, but Dinamo’s attack gives them a clear edge. Their midfield dictates the tempo, and their discipline keeps them out of trouble. Hajduk will threaten, especially if Livaja and Rebić combine well, but they look vulnerable when pressed. To be honest, Dinamo’s depth and sharpness at this stage should be too much.
