Levi Rothermund
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Saint Etienne arrive at Stade Gaston-Gérard as the only side in Ligue 2 with a perfect record through three rounds, having scored ten goals and conceded just one. Dijon, meanwhile, are still searching for their first win of the season, sitting 17th with two draws and a loss. The gap in momentum between these two sides is hard to ignore, and this match looks set to test Dijon’s defensive resolve in a serious way.
Irvin Cardona has been the standout performer for Ian Cathro’s side, netting four goals in just three league appearances. His ability to get into dangerous areas and convert chances under pressure makes him the most dangerous man on the pitch. For Dijon, Jordan Marié and Adel Lembezat have been the creative outlets in midfield, with both registering a goal apiece in recent matches. Lembezat’s willingness to shoot from distance adds an unpredictable dimension to Baptiste Ridira’s attack.
Hot stat: Saint Etienne have scored ten goals in their first three Ligue 2 matches this season, averaging over three goals per game, a pace that no other side in the division has matched.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Ligue 2 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Dijon vs Saint Etienne Prediction
Saint Etienne are the clear pick here. They have won all five matches played in the last 30 days, scoring freely and conceding almost nothing. Dijon have managed just two goals across their last five outings, and their 0-1 home loss to Pau FC earlier this season shows they are vulnerable at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
We think a Saint Etienne win is the obvious base bet, but the value lies in backing them to win and score over 2.5 goals. Their attacking output has been consistently high, and Dijon simply do not have the firepower to make this a contest if Les Verts start at full pace.
Dijon average 9.2 shots per game across their last five matches, which is low for a home side. Their pass accuracy sits around 86.6%, which is functional but not enough to dominate possession against a team as organised as Saint Etienne. Dijon also commit more fouls, averaging 9.4 per game compared to Saint Etienne’s 7.8. That foul count could hand Les Verts additional set-piece opportunities, and with their dead-ball delivery already looking sharp, Dijon’s discipline will matter. Saint Etienne carry fewer yellow cards (3 vs 5 over the last five games), which suggests they stay composed under pressure. That composure, combined with their attacking depth, points strongly toward a comfortable away win.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Saint Etienne to Win & Over 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Dijon started their Ligue 2 campaign with a 3-0 win over Sochaux, which raised some early optimism. Since then the results have dried up. A 2-2 draw with Nancy, a 1-1 against Montpellier, and a 0-1 defeat to Pau FC followed, before they managed another 1-1 against Clermont in their most recent outing. That most recent match showed some signs of attacking intent, with Lembezat and Marié both contributing, but conceding a goal to a side like Clermont (who sit 16th) is not encouraging. The 4-2-3-1 shape Ridira prefers gives them a decent platform defensively, but the forwards have struggled to create enough. Across five games, they have scored just twice in total from open play situations.
Saint Etienne have been relentless. A 4-0 demolition of Lausanne started the run, followed by a 4-3 thriller against Venezia, then consecutive 3-0 and 3-1 wins over Sochaux and Clermont. Their most recent match, a 4-0 win over Grenoble, was the most dominant performance yet. Ian Cathro’s 4-1-3-2 system is generating huge amounts of shots (54 over five games) while the defensive structure limits opponents to very little. Thierno Ballo has two goals and two assists, Jakob Breum matches those numbers, and Cardona leads the line with four goals. This is a team firing from every position.
🚨Check out our dedicated Dijon vs Saint Etienne stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Saint Etienne the favourite
- Moneyline Dijon 4.20 | Saint Etienne 1.82
- Draw 3.69
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The bookmakers have Saint Etienne at around 51% implied probability, and honestly that feels conservative given how they have played. Pinnacle’s 4.20 on Dijon is the market’s ceiling, and it reflects genuine doubt about the home side’s ability to get a result. We see value in backing Saint Etienne at 1.82, particularly when their last five matches show five wins from five with an average of two goals per game. The draw at 3.69 is not without merit as a hedging option, but Dijon’s attacking output does not inspire confidence in them holding out.
Possible Starting Lineups
Dijon possible starting eleven
- GK: Paul Delecroix
- DF: Quentin Bernard, Lenny Lacroix, Ismail Bouleghcha, H. Vargas Ríos
- MF: Paul Bellon, Mickaël Barreto, Jordan Marié, Adel Lembezat
- FW: Yanis Barka, Júlio Tavares
Ridira is likely to set up in his preferred 4-2-3-1, with Bellon and Barreto providing the double pivot and Lembezat operating as the advanced midfielder. Quentin Bernard and Lenny Lacroix anchor the backline, with Bernard contributing seven interceptions across three games, making him the most active defensive presence. Lembezat is the player to watch. His goal and four free-kick attempts suggest he is willing to take responsibility in key moments.
Saint Etienne possible starting eleven
- GK: Gautier Larsonneur
- DF: Áron Csongvai, Julien Le Cardinal, Sohaib Nair, Maxime Bernauer
- MF: Jakob Breum, Augustine Boakye, Tamar Svetlin
- FW: Irvin Cardona, Thierno Ballo, Zuriko Davitashvili
Cathro’s 4-1-3-2 (or a slight variation with a front three) has been devastating going forward. Áron Csongvai provides surprising attacking contribution from centre-back, having scored once and assisted once. The midfield trio of Breum, Boakye, and Svetlin controls tempo well, with Boakye’s two assists showing his ability to unlock defences. Cardona and Ballo are the main threats up front, but Davitashvili’s movement on the right adds a third dimension. Larsonneur has been solid in goal and is not under much pressure in matches like this, which keeps the team relaxed and focused on attacking.
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Saint Etienne. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Saint Etienne are the form team in Ligue 2 right now, and Dijon have given little reason to believe they can stop them. Three wins from three with ten goals scored tells a clear story. Dijon’s defensive numbers are not terrible, but they face a Saint Etienne attack that is generating 10.8 shots per game and converting at a high rate.
We back Saint Etienne to win, with over 2.5 goals in the match. The combination of Les Verts’ attacking firepower and Dijon’s limited scoring threat makes BTTS No a reasonable secondary market as well. Cardona, Ballo, and Breum are all capable of deciding this game before halftime if Dijon start slowly. At 1.82, Saint Etienne represent straightforward value for a team playing with this level of confidence and efficiency.
