As we approach the latter stages of the EFL Championship, this clash between Derby and Preston carries significant implications, particularly for Derby. Currently positioned near the relegation zone, Derby needs a win to bolster their chances of escaping the drop. Meanwhile, Preston sits mid-table with an outside chance of pushing up the standings. This match is critical for both sides in different contexts, with Derby aiming to avoid relegation and Preston seeking to improve their league position.
| 🏆 Tournament: | EFL Championship 2024/25 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Pride Park Stadium, Derby |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.04.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:45 CEST |
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Derby vs Preston Prediction: Derby to win
The most valuable prediction for this match is backing Derby to win with a slight edge, given their recent momentum at home and pressing need for points. Derby has managed to secure a couple of crucial victories recently, which could be pivotal. Statistically, Derby relies on their home form, and while Preston boasts a decent defense, their offensive consistency remains questionable. Both teams exhibit aggressive styles, evidenced by their fouls and yellow card counts, impacting the flow and result of the game.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | Draw No Bet – Derby |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
In their last five outings, Derby has shown signs of life with a couple of wins, particularly a 3-2 result against Plymouth, showcasing their attacking prowess. Despite this, defensive vulnerabilities remain, as evidenced by their previous narrow losses.
Preston’s recent form is somewhat erratic, with a mix of draws and losses. Their lack of offensive firepower has been apparent, failing to score in several key matches, such as their 0-3 loss to Aston Villa.
Most Recent H2Hs: Derby Dominates
| Statistic | Derby | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 3 |
| Total shots | 24 | 61 |
| Free kicks | 34 | 67 |
| Corner kicks | 9 | 17 |
| Total fouls | 34 | 67 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 68 | 73 |
| Interceptions | 25 | 44 |
| Offsides | 10 | 8 |
🚨Read our full Derby vs Preston stats for more analysis.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Derby the Favourite
| Moneyline | Derby 2.35 | Preston 3.27 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 2.95 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.43 | Under 2.5 1.74 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.93 | No 1.87 | |
Given the form and historical head-to-head results, Derby emerges as a slight favorite, bolstered by their home advantage and recent improvements. The odds for a draw reflect the tight nature of the contest, but Derby’s urgency for points should drive their performance.
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Key Players to Watch
Liam Thompson, a defender for Derby, has been vital in stabilizing their backline. With consistent performances across recent matches, he has the potential to influence the outcome significantly.
For Preston, Emil Riis Jakobsen stands out as their leading forward. With his ability to generate shots on target and create scoring opportunities, he remains a key player to monitor.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Derby Possible Starting Eleven

- GK: Jacob Widell Zetterström
- DF: Callum Elder, Nathaniel Phillips, Liam Thompson
- MF: Marcus Harness, Ebou Adams, Kenzo Goudmijn
- FW: Jerry Yates, Kayden Jackson
Derby’s likely 3-5-2 formation will expect Elder and Phillips to guard the defense, with Harness providing critical support in the midfield.
Preston Possible Starting Eleven

- GK: David Cornell
- DF: Andrew Hughes, Liam Lindsay, Lewis Gibson
- MF: Stefán Teitur Thórdarson, Robbie Brady, Ryan Ledson
- FW: Emil Riis Jakobsen
Preston’s 4-2-3-1 formation will rely heavily on Hughes and Lindsay to neutralize Derby’s attacking threats, with Jakobsen spearheading their offensive efforts.
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Derby. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
Derby’s recent home victories and pressing need for points place them in a strong position to secure the win. Expect a tightly contested match, but Derby should edge it due to their marginally superior form and home advantage.

