The anticipation surrounding the clash between Deportivo Pereira and Once Caldas is palpable as both teams look to strengthen their standings in the Apertura phase of the Primera A 2025. This match is pivotal for Deportivo Pereira to claw their way out of a mid-table position, while Once Caldas aims to maintain their ascent towards the upper echelons of the standings. A decisive victory for either team could significantly impact their campaign, making this encounter a must-watch.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | Primera A 2025 – Apertura |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira |
| 🗓️ Date: | March 23, 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:20 CEST |
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Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas Prediction: 2-1
The tactical nuances of both teams reveal distinctive playing styles. Deportivo Pereira relies on a disciplined defensive approach, often marked by calculated fouls and strategic plays. They have committed 52 fouls and received two red cards in their latest matches, indicating an aggressive yet risky defense. In contrast, Once Caldas boasts a more dynamic offense with higher ball possession, reflected by their 2077 passes and 76 fouls. This midfield dominance could prove decisive in breaking Deportivo Pereira’s defense.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Deportivo Pereira Victory with odds higher than 1.5 |
| ⚽Correct Score: | 2-1 based on xG metrics and defensive efficiencies |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Goals Over 2.5: | Yes |
Team Analysis
The recent performances of both teams highlight an intriguing matchup. Deportivo Pereira emerged victorious in a close contest against Bucaramanga with a 1-0 result, following a loss to America de Cali. Their tactical adjustments have been significant, with a shift from a defensive 4-2-3-1 formation to a more balanced approach in recent games.
Conversely, Once Caldas is coming off a narrow 0-1 loss to Santa Fe, yet their form has been fluctuating, as evidenced by mixed results in their last five matches. The encounter could hinge on their ability to capitalize on Deportivo Pereira’s defensive lapses.
The prior match between these two sides saw Once Caldas secure a 3-1 victory, underscoring their offensive potential. However, with Deportivo Pereira’s solid home record, this fixture remains balanced with both teams poised to fight for valuable points in the league standings.
Most recent H2Hs: Once Caldas dominates
| Date | Tournament | Deportivo Pereira | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1740013800 | Primera A 2025 Apertura | 1 | 3 |
| 1725404400 | Primera A 2024 Clausura | 0 | 1 |
🚨Read our full Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas stats for more analysis.

Once Caldas. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportivo Pereira the favourite
| Bookmaker | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|---|
| betonred | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| mostbet | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.35 |
| bons | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| bovada | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
Analyzing the odds reveals Deportivo Pereira as slight favorites with a 40% win probability. The odds reflect their home advantage and recent form, but the possibility of a draw remains significant due to Once Caldas’s resilience.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Key Players to Watch
For Deportivo Pereira, Rubilio Castillo is a key player, with a recent uptick in form evidenced by his scoring in crucial games despite facing strong defensive setups. His ability to find spaces and convert opportunities will be pivotal.
On the other side, Michael Barrios of Once Caldas stands out with his incisive runs and playmaking capabilities, having provided two assists in his last few outings. His skill in navigating tight defenses could unlock openings for Once Caldas.
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Possible Starting Lineup

Deportivo Pereira is likely to field a strong lineup in their familiar 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and tactical discipline. Key players such as Rubilio Castillo and Yesus Cabrera will be instrumental in executing their strategic game plan upfront.

Meanwhile, Once Caldas might adopt a similar formation, leveraging their midfield depth to exert pressure and control the pace of play. The presence of Michael Barrios and Dayro Moreno adds a dynamic edge to their attacking prowess.
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Deportivo Pereira. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
My main pick is a Deportivo Pereira victory. This prediction aligns with their recent form and home advantage. Despite Once Caldas’s offensive threat, Deportivo Pereira’s tactical discipline and key players are likely to steer them to a critical win.

