Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Primera A Apertura - 24.04.2026

The Colombian Primera A 2026 Apertura continues its electrifying run as Deportivo Pasto hosts Santa Fe at the revered Estadio Departamental Libertad in Pasto on April 24, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 01:00 CEST. This encounter, positioned deep into the Apertura phase, carries significant implications for both teams in their quest for playoff positioning. Deportivo Pasto, managed by Jonathan Risueño, arrives in formidable home form, while Pablo Repetto’s Santa Fe seeks to capitalize on recent attacking improvements despite a challenging away record.

Among the many talented footballers on display, Andrey Estupiñan of Deportivo Pasto stands out with his crucial goals and relentless forward runs, while Hugo Rodallega for Santa Fe brings veteran savvy and a nose for the spectacular, tallying three goals in his last five appearances. These protagonists could be decisive in tilting the balance for their respective sides.

Hot stat: Santa Fe’s recent 5-0 demolition of Cucuta showcased their offensive ceiling, with Rodallega and Fernández combining for five goal contributions. This is a clear warning for Pasto’s defense, which has been somewhat vulnerable despite their solid table standing.

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Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe predictions

My best bet: Both teams to score (BTTS – Yes).
This fixture regularly delivers tightly contested action, but recent trends suggest both sides are more proficient in attack than in defense. Deportivo Pasto has scored in four of their last five league matches, while Santa Fe have netted nine goals in their last five across competitions, including a five-goal outburst. Defensive lapses from both Pasto conceding in three of their last five and Santa Fe also vulnerable set up a compelling scenario for goals at both ends. The odds offer value given the offensive strengths and recent form of both teams’ forwards.

Deportivo Pasto typically favors a 4-2-3-1 structure, prioritizing midfield solidity and controlled transitions. Their matches see a moderate number of fouls (59 in the last five) and a notable 16 yellow cards, signaling aggressive pressing that could lead to dangerous set-pieces. Santa Fe, matching the formation, have been more disciplined (9 yellows in five matches) but still commit a similar number of fouls, and their high interception rate (39) indicates a penchant for disrupting opposition build-up. Expect a physical contest, but one with the technical quality to produce goals and drama.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe Most recent H2Hs

Recent head-to-head encounters have been remarkably even, with the last two meetings ending in 1-1 draws. Both sides have managed to claim a victory in their past five clashes, with goal margins rarely exceeding one. The statistical parity—goals, fouls, and set-piece opportunities—reflects the tactical chess match typically on display, yet the uptick in Santa Fe’s attacking productivity could introduce a fresh dynamic to this rivalry.

🚨Read our full Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Santa Fe’s last five games have averaged 2.8 goals per match.
• Deportivo Pasto have kept two clean sheets in their last five league outings.
• Both teams average over 10 shots per match in their last five games.
• Deportivo Pasto have committed more than three times as many yellow cards as Santa Fe recently (16 vs 5).
• Santa Fe recorded a 5-0 win in their last domestic outing, their largest margin of victory in the past year.
• Over the last five H2H meetings, neither team has won by more than a one-goal margin.

Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe score prediction: 2-2

Given the attacking form of Estupiñan and Rodallega, plus both teams’ recent defensive inconsistencies, a 2-2 draw is the most plausible outcome. Estupiñan’s pace and movement can trouble Santa Fe’s backline, while Rodallega’s experience and Fernández’s creative spark should exploit Pasto’s aggressive midfield. Expect moments of brilliance and defensive lapses to balance each other out in an entertaining contest.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportivo Pasto the favourite

Bookmakers see Deportivo Pasto as slight favorites, reflecting their superior home form and higher position in the standings. However, the odds for a draw are tight, mirroring the even nature of past encounters. The value on over 2.5 goals is intriguing, especially given both teams’ recent scoring trends. With both teams showing vulnerabilities at the back and offensive weapons in form, the BTTS market is well-priced and aligns with statistical expectations.

Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe Over/Under Analysis

• Four of Santa Fe’s last five matches have featured over 2.5 goals.
• Deportivo Pasto have seen over 2.5 goals in three of their last five games.
• Only one of the last five H2H meetings went over 2.5 goals, but recent attacking surges for both sides suggest that trend could break.
• Look for a high-tempo start, with both teams aiming to exploit defensive weaknesses early.

Deportivo Pasto Preview

Deportivo Pasto enters this fixture on the back of a dramatic 3-2 win over Jaguares de Cordoba, a result emblematic of their attacking intent but also lingering defensive frailties. Over the last five matches, they have secured three victories, one draw, and one defeat, with a 60 percent win rate across the month. Estupiñan’s contributions have been central, while midfielders such as Chavez and Serje add composure and bite. The 4-2-3-1 formation offers stability, yet the relatively high number of yellow cards signals a team that walks a fine disciplinary line. Pasto’s ambitions for the Apertura are clear: maintain their offensive threat while shoring up at the back.

Deportivo Pasto possible starting eleven

Santa Fe Preview

Santa Fe’s recent performances reflect a team gradually finding attacking fluency. Their 5-0 dismantling of Cucuta was particularly eye-catching, while a 1-1 draw against Millonarios demonstrated defensive resilience. However, inconsistency has plagued their campaign, with just three wins in their last eight matches (win rate 38 percent). Pablo Repetto’s 4-2-3-1 setup maximizes the creative talents of Fernández and the finishing prowess of Rodallega. The team’s discipline is notable with fewer cards than Pasto, and their interception numbers point to tactical awareness in regaining possession. If Santa Fe can maintain their current attacking rhythm, they are capable of troubling even the league’s stingiest defenses.

Santa Fe possible starting eleven

The Verdict

Our expert panel at TipsGG projects a tightly contested draw, with a 38 percent probability of stalemate according to our dedicated AI prediction engine. Deportivo Pasto’s attacking home form is offset by Santa Fe’s recent offensive resurgence, setting the stage for a high-quality, goal-rich encounter. While either side is capable of snatching all three points, statistical trends and recent match dynamics point toward a balanced outcome.

How to watch Deportivo Pasto vs Santa Fe

When? April 24, 2026
Kick-off time: 01:00 CEST
Where? Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto, Colombia
How to watch: Check your local broadcasters or streaming platforms covering Primera A.
Favorite: Deportivo Pasto

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