Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Primera A 2025 Match - 19.05.2025

On 19 May 2025 at 02:10 CEST, Estadio Departamental Libertad in Pasto will host a compelling clash as Deportivo Pasto welcome Once Caldas in a pivotal Primera A 2025 Apertura encounter. With the Colombian football season approaching its climax, both sides are vying to solidify their positions in the upper half of the table. Deportivo Pasto, managed by Camilo Ayala, enter this contest seeking renewed consistency at home, while Hernán Herrera’s Once Caldas arrive in impressive form, aiming to extend their recent string of results and edge closer to the playoff spots.

Keep an eye on Dayro Moreno for Once Caldas – his four goals in the last five games underline his vital role in the attacking phase. Equally, Facundo Boné for Deportivo Pasto, with his dynamic wing play and timely goals, will shape his side’s offensive prospects.

Notably, Once Caldas have averaged a remarkable 20.4 shots per match over their last five fixtures, highlighting their relentless attacking momentum.

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Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas predictions

My best bet: Both Teams To Score – Yes.
Both teams enter this game with contrasting but compelling momentum. Deportivo Pasto have demonstrated resilience at home but show defensive lapses, as seen in their concession of three goals to Atlético Nacional and narrow defeat to Pereira. Once Caldas, meanwhile, are among the highest-scoring away teams in recent rounds with ten goals in their last five games. The offensive threat posed by Dayro Moreno and supporting cast is likely to find opportunities, but Pasto’s own attacking setup, especially with Boné’s runs and overlaps, suggests they will create chances of their own.

Tactically, Pasto often settle into the 4-2-3-1 structure with emphasis on width and quick transitions, but their average fouls (35 in last five) and yellow cards (11) indicate a lack of composure under pressure. Once Caldas, with a balanced 4-4-2 scheme, maintain a physical edge (14 yellows, 70 fouls over the last five) yet control possession with superior pass accuracy (81 percent). The high volume of fouls foreshadows potential disruptions and set-piece threats, heightening the unpredictability and goal-scoring opportunities.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Most recent H2Hs

The most recent meeting between these sides saw Once Caldas edge past Deportivo Pasto with a 2-1 away victory in the 2024 Clausura. The game was defined by moments of attacking brilliance from Dayro Moreno and the clinical transition play Once Caldas exploited. Pasto enjoyed more corners but struggled against quick counter-attacks and the physicality of Caldas’ backline.

🚨Read our full Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Once Caldas have scored 10 goals in their last five matches (2 goals per game average).
• Deportivo Pasto have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Once Caldas average over 20 shots per game over their previous five fixtures.
• Both teams have a neutral goal difference so far in the Apertura (+0).
• Pasto concede on average 1 goal per home match in the past month.

Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas score prediction: 1-2

Expect a tightly contested fixture with attacking opportunities for both sides, but the depth and recent form of Once Caldas – particularly the influence of Dayro Moreno and the composure of James Aguirre in goal – tip the balance in their favor. Deportivo Pasto’s Facundo Boné and Brayan Carabalí could provide a spark, but defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern. Prediction: Once Caldas edge it 2-1.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportivo Pasto the favourite

• Moneyline Deportivo Pasto 2.48 | Once Caldas 3.00
• Draw 3.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.32 | Under 2.5 1.62
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.81 | No 1.92

Despite Pasto’s slight edge in bookmakers’ odds, the form guide suggests a much closer encounter. The home side’s pricing reflects their altitude advantage and necessity to bounce back, while Caldas’ longer odds belie their excellent recent away form. Sharp, value-seeking punters will note the attractive odds for an away win or goals markets.

Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Over/Under Analysis

• Pasto: 3/5 last matches under 2.5 goals, scoring only 2 goals in that span.
• Once Caldas: 4/5 last matches over 2.5 goals, hitting double digits in goals scored.
• Hot tip: Over 2.5 goals, given Caldas’ open style and Pasto’s need for points.

Deportivo Pasto Preview

Deportivo Pasto’s recent stretch has been inconsistent, with notable defeats to Pereira (0-1) and Atlético Nacional (0-3) exposing defensive gaps but also a gutsy win against Fortaleza (1-0) hinting at recovery. Coach Camilo Ayala persists with a 4-2-3-1 system, giving Boné and Carabalí creative freedom in wide areas. Pasto’s struggles stem from low shot volume (37 in five games) and risk-averse midfield play, but when pressing high, they generate set-piece chances (13 corners in last five).

Deportivo Pasto possible starting eleven

Once Caldas Preview

Once Caldas have only lost once in their last seven, including a convincing 2-1 win over Envigado FC and a hard-fought 2-2 draw with Millonarios. Dayro Moreno’s cutting edge remains their most prominent weapon, while the 4-4-2 formation allows Alejandro García to drive forward and create space for Michael Barrios and Luis Palacios. Their passing network is among the most efficient in the division, and set-piece threat (30 corners in five games) could be decisive against Pasto’s sometimes static marking.

Once Caldas possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As a TipsGG team expert, my main pick for this match is “Both Teams To Score – Yes”, but edging Ever slightly in favor of Once Caldas as outright winners with a 45 percent win probability as calculated by our AI prediction engine. Once Caldas’ recent momentum, combined with Pasto’s home inconsistencies and defensive frailties, inform this prediction. Expect a balanced affair, but the visitors have the attacking tools and tactical discipline to leave Pasto with the points.

How to watch Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas

• When? 19.05.2025
• Kick-off time: 02:10 CEST
• Where? Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto, Colombia
• How to watch: Via local broadcasters (Win Sports+, RCN) and official streaming platforms
• Favorite: Deportivo Pasto (per bookmakers’ odds)

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