Sofia Quijada
Deportivo Merlo and Laferrere meet at Estadio Jose Manuel Moreno in a mid-table clash that could impact both teams’ play-off ambitions in Argentina’s Primera B Metropolitana. Both clubs are managed by Jeff Strasser, a rare quirk that adds extra intrigue. Deportivo Merlo sit 9th with a better win rate and defensive record, while Laferrere are 16th and struggle for consistency. Two to watch: Merlo’s reliable forward, the top scorer in their last five games, and Laferrere’s creative midfielder, vital for their transition play and chance creation.
Hot stat: In the last five games, Deportivo Merlo averaged over three times as many shots as Laferrere (21 vs 13), underlining their attacking intent at home.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera B Metropolitana 2026 Apertura, Argentina |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Jose Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Deportivo Merlo vs Laferrere prediction
We predict Deportivo Merlo to win this match. Bookmakers favor Merlo with a 37% win probability, and recent form supports this: Merlo have taken 10 points from their last five, while Laferrere managed just 7 and have a weaker away record. Merlo’s solid defensive displays and superior shot creation increase their edge, especially at home.
Both sides rely on the 4-4-2, but Merlo display more discipline and pressing, reflected in their higher yellow card and corner count, suggesting aggression and set-piece threat. Laferrere’s low yellow card tally hints at a less combative, perhaps passive, style. Neither team racks up many fouls, but Merlo’s ability to win corners (16 to Laferrere’s 3 in the last five) and take more shots points to dominance in key moments.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Deportivo Merlo to win & under 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Deportivo Merlo’s latest outing ended 0-0 against Liniers, a frustrating result given their clear shot superiority. Their recent run, with three wins, one draw, and one loss, highlights defensive improvement and attacking persistence. They beat Brown Adrogue 1-0 and scored three past Deportivo Armenio, showing the ability to break stubborn defenses.
Laferrere snapped a poor run with a 2-0 win over Ituzaingo, but the context matters: Ituzaingo sit bottom, winless. Laferrere’s record in the last five—two wins, one draw, two losses—reflects inconsistency. They failed to score in two of those matches, and their only other win came against another lower-table side, Villa San Carlos.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Deportivo Merlo | Laferrere |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 21 | 13 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Deportivo Merlo vs Laferrere stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportivo Merlo the favourite
- Moneyline Deportivo Merlo 2.45 | Laferrere 3.05
- Draw 2.80
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.70 | Under 2.5 1.42
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.60
Merlo’s edge is clear in the odds. Their home win price at 2.45 is fair value given Laferrere’s scoring issues and away form. Under 2.5 goals stands out at 1.42: both teams rarely engage in high-scoring matches, with defensive focus taking precedence. BTTS ‘No’ at 1.60 appeals, given Laferrere’s poor conversion and Merlo’s clean sheet rate. The draw at 2.80 reflects the relatively low-risk approach of both sides, but Merlo’s superior stats and attacking frequency make the home win our preferred play.
Possible Starting Lineups
The expected 4-4-2 maximizes Merlo’s shot output and width. Defensive solidity and overlapping fullbacks underpin their pressing game, while the forward pairing—featuring their current top scorer—remains the primary threat. The midfield, led by the team’s most consistent playmaker, will control transitions. Set-piece specialists also play a role, given Merlo’s high corner count.
Laferrere will line up in a matching 4-4-2 but offer less penetration down the wings. Their key creative midfielder drives attacks, but reliance on central play and limited crossing options reduce their unpredictability. The defensive unit is under pressure, especially given the team’s tendency to concede from set-pieces.
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Laferrere. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Deportivo Merlo to take all three points. Their home form, shot volume, and corner threat should prove decisive against a Laferrere side struggling for cohesion and end product. Expect a low-scoring encounter with Merlo controlling the tempo and limiting Laferrere’s attacking chances. The match should see Merlo dominate set pieces and gradually wear down Laferrere’s resistance.
