Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez Prediction: 14 June 2026 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu host Tristan Suarez on June 14 in a Primera Nacional clash that carries real weight at the wrong end of the table for the home side. Maipu sit 15th with 21 points from 16 games, seven points behind Tristan Suarez in 8th, making this a fixture where Mariano Echeverria’s men genuinely need three points. The visitors arrive with one of the division’s most consistent draw records, sharing the spoils in eight of their 16 league outings, a pattern that has helped them accumulate points without much attacking punch. Midfielders Marcelo Eggel and Nicolás Del Priore are the creative engines on each side: Eggel has contributed a goal and an assist across his last four appearances for Maipu, while Del Priore has chipped in with an assist and is the man who typically moves the ball forward for Tristan Suarez.

Hot stat: Deportivo Maipu scored five goals in a single match against Temperley just five weeks ago, their biggest output of the season, suggesting they can be genuinely dangerous at home when things click.

Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez Prediction

Maipu’s last 30 days tell a mixed story: three wins and two losses from five matches, with a 3-2 win over Chacarita and a 5-0 demolition of Temperley offset by defeats to Guemes and San Martin SJ. Tristan Suarez, on the other hand, have drawn three of their last five, scoring just twice across those games. Their away form is not particularly threatening, and their attack has been muted, managing only two goals in five matches.

Maipu’s home advantage and higher goal output make them the logical pick to win this game. The visitors’ tendency to draw and their defensive setup could keep the scoreline tight, but Maipu’s need for points and their attacking output at home tips the balance. We predict a Maipu win, and given the visitors’ defensive caution and low scoring rate, the total goals market points to a match with limited output.

Tristan Suarez average five yellow cards across five matches and commit fouls at a rate that disrupts rhythm, which suits a Maipu side that can exploit set pieces. With 18 corner kicks across five games, Maipu generate significant dead-ball pressure, and Tristan Suarez’s defensive shape, while organized, has conceded from corners before. The visitors’ 10 corners in the same span underline how little they push forward. Expect a match where Maipu control territory and Tristan Suarez look to absorb and hit on the break, though their attacking personnel has not been clinical enough to make that strategy count consistently.

Team Analysis

Deportivo Maipu’s recent form is inconsistent but not without quality. The 5-0 win over Temperley showed what this squad can do at full intensity, and the 3-2 comeback win over Chacarita Juniors demonstrated resilience. Their last match, a 0-1 home loss to Club Atletico Guemes, is a concern since Guemes sit 23rd in the table, making it a result Echeverria will be eager to correct. Across five matches, Maipu have managed 30 total shots and 18 corner kicks, numbers that reflect genuine attacking intent. Goalkeeper Luciano Peraggini has been the regular starter and will need to be alert given Tristan Suarez’s ability to sit back and spring counters.

Tristan Suarez have drawn three of their last five matches, a run that includes back-to-back goalless draws against Almagro and Colegiales. Their only win in this stretch came against Quilmes, a 1-0 result, and they suffered a 1-3 defeat to Midland before that. Across five games they scored just twice, which underlines a persistent attacking problem under José María Martínez. Goalkeeper Joaquin Bigo has been the consistent last line, playing every minute, and the back line built around Brian Mauricio Aguilar Caraballo has been disciplined if not spectacular. Their last away match was the 0-0 draw at Colegiales, which fits their road profile perfectly.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

Maipu have won two of the last three head-to-head meetings, with the only dropped points coming in a 1-1 draw in February 2025. Their 2-1 win in the 2024 season and 1-0 win in the first leg of 2025 confirm that Maipu hold the upper hand in this fixture historically. Tristan Suarez have never beaten Maipu in the three recorded meetings.

🚨 Check out our dedicated Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Deportivo Maipu the Favourite

• Moneyline Deportivo Maipu 2.25 | Tristan Suarez 3.75
• Draw 2.80
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The bookmaker average gives Maipu a 42% win probability against Tristan Suarez at 23%, which aligns with what the head-to-head record and recent form suggest. The Maipu win price around 2.25 at Bet365 looks reasonable given their home record in this fixture and Tristan Suarez’s poor attacking output. The draw at 2.80 is the market acknowledging Tristan Suarez’s tendency to grind out stalemates, but Maipu’s need for points and home crowd pressure makes a draw a less likely outcome than the odds imply. We see value on Maipu to win, and the Under 2.5 goals market also makes sense given Tristan Suarez’s two goals in five matches.

Possible Starting Lineups

Deportivo Maipu Possible Starting Eleven

Echeverria has consistently deployed a 4-4-2 shape, and Peraggini keeps his place in goal. Marcelo Eggel is the most important player in this lineup: his goal and assist in recent matches make him the creative hub in midfield, and he will look to combine with Gaston Mansilla, who also registered an assist in this period. Lisandro Cabrera leads the line and has scored once in four appearances. Nicolas Lucas Faggioli anchors the defensive line despite picking up a yellow card. Expect the 4-4-2 to remain compact and look to exploit wide areas where their corner count is built from.

Tristan Suarez Possible Starting Eleven

Martínez also lines up in a 4-4-2, with Joaquin Bigo as the clear first-choice goalkeeper having played every minute across five matches. The back four is anchored by Brian Mauricio Aguilar Caraballo, who has been ever-present. Nicolás Del Priore is the key creative outlet with an assist to his name and will need to be sharper than in recent draws if Tristan Suarez want to take anything from this game. Álvaro Veliez and Ángel Almada form a forward partnership that has struggled for goals, and to be honest, that is the biggest concern for the visitors heading into this fixture.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Deportivo Maipu have won all three head-to-head meetings against Tristan Suarez that ended with a result, and the visitors have never beaten them in recent history. Maipu’s last 30-day winrate of 60% against Tristan Suarez’s 20% paints a clear picture. The visitors have scored just two goals in five matches, and their last two away outings ended 0-0 and 1-1, which tells you everything about their attacking threat on the road. Maipu’s 22 league goals this season, the highest among teams in the bottom half of the table, give them a real edge.

We predict a Deportivo Maipu win, perhaps 2-0 or 1-0, with Tristan Suarez’s defensive discipline keeping it tight but their lack of firepower leaving them unable to threaten Peraggini’s goal. The Under 2.5 total goals and BTTS No markets are our preferred supporting bets alongside the Maipu win.

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