Sofia Quijada
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Deportivo La Coruna sit seventh, Sevilla sixth, separated by a single point after five rounds of the new La Liga campaign. Riazor hosts a side that has scored plenty but leaks goals at an alarming rate for a club with continental ambitions. Deportivo, meanwhile, remain unbeaten this season without ever quite convincing, drawing three of their last five. The angle punters overlook here: Deportivo’s defense has faced fewer shots per game than Sevilla’s, yet both teams sit almost level on points, which tells us the home side wins the efficiency battle even without dominating matches outright.
Watch Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang closely. Five goals and two assists in his last five appearances make him the most in-form striker on this teamsheet, and Deportivo lean on him heavily in the final third. On the other side, Robbie Ure has been Sevilla’s most productive forward by minutes played recently, and his movement against a Deportivo backline that concedes regularly could be decisive.
Hot stat: Aubameyang has scored five goals in Deportivo’s last five matches, a return that outstrips the combined tally of every other Deportivo forward in that same stretch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna |
| 🗓️ Date: | 16.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla prediction
We predict a Deportivo Double Chance combined with Both Teams To Score. The hosts have not lost in their last five games, banking two wins and three draws, and their home comfort at Riazor plus Aubameyang’s scoring streak give them the edge over a Sevilla side that lost to Atletico Madrid and drew with Espanyol in their last five outings. Sevilla score goals too though, six in their last five games away from the eye test, which keeps the BTTS angle live given Deportivo’s habit of conceding in nearly every recent fixture.
Deportivo commit more fouls per game (66 across five matches versus Sevilla’s 57) and pick up marginally fewer cards, nine bookings against Sevilla’s ten. Deportivo also complete passes at a cleaner 84% rate compared to Sevilla’s 77%, suggesting the hosts will control tempo through possession while Sevilla look to break quickly through Ure and Sierra. That contrast of styles, patient buildup against direct transitions, points toward an open game with goals at both ends rather than a cagey stalemate.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Correct Score 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Deportivo have not tasted defeat in five rounds, drawing 1-1 with Getafe most recently after wins over Villarreal (3-2) and Valencia (3-1), and draws with Malaga and Elche, both 1-1. The pattern is clear, Deportivo score in every match but rarely keep a clean sheet, which explains the three draws mixed among the wins. Against Getafe they were held level despite carrying the game, a familiar story for a side reliant on Aubameyang’s finishing to break stubborn defenses. In our preview of Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna we backed a Deportivo double chance with goals at both ends, and the 1-1 scoreline delivered on the double chance side, even though the match fell short of the Over 2.5 line we also flagged.
Sevilla arrive on better recent form, three wins and a draw in their last five, beating Valencia 1-0 in their most recent outing after drawing with Espanyol and edging Athletic Bilbao 3-1 and Rayo Vallecano 2-1. The one blemish, a 1-3 defeat to Atletico Madrid, exposed defensive fragility against a stronger attacking side, a concern given Deportivo also carry firepower up front. Sevilla’s away form has produced goals in four of their last five games, backing the case for another open contest at Riazor.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla have no recent competitive meetings on record ahead of this fixture, leaving no head-to-head sample to draw form conclusions from.
🚨Check out our dedicated Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportivo La Coruna the favourite
- Moneyline Deportivo La Coruna 2.56 | Sevilla 3.03
- Draw 2.98
Bookmakers give Deportivo a slight edge at 38% implied probability against Sevilla’s 31%, with the draw sitting close behind at 30%. That tight spread reflects a genuinely even matchup on paper, points-wise separated by a single spot in the table, but the home advantage at Riazor and Deportivo’s unbeaten run justify the shorter price on the hosts. We see value on Deportivo, though anyone backing the draw at close to 3.00 is not getting poor odds given how draw-heavy this Deportivo side has been.
Possible Starting Lineups
Deportivo La Coruna possible starting eleven
- GK: Leonardo Román Riquelme
- DF: Lucas Noubi, Giacomo Quagliata, Ximo Navarro, Bright Ede
- MF: Lorenzo Amatucci, Mario Soriano, Diego Villares
- FW: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, David Mella, Luismi Cruz
Antonio Hidalgo has stuck with a 4-2-3-1 shape in recent weeks, with Amatucci and Villares screening the back four while Soriano drifts into pockets to feed Aubameyang. Riquelme’s 16 saves across five games mark him as the busier of the two keepers on this roster, justifying his spot ahead of Fernández Llorente. Aubameyang remains the player to watch, his five goals this stretch make him the focal point of everything Deportivo create.
Sevilla possible starting eleven
- GK: Odysseas Vlachodimos
- DF: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez, Andrés Castrín, Kike Salas, Gabriel Suazo
- MF: Lucien Agoumé, Jon Guridi, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Youssouf Fofana
- FW: Robbie Ure, Miguel Sierra
Luis Garcia Plaza favors a 4-4-2 setup, pairing Ure and Sierra up top while Agoumé anchors midfield with ten interceptions in five games, the highest of any Sevilla outfield player in that span. Vlachodimos gets the nod in goal over Fran González given his higher save count and passing volume. Ure is the man to watch, his assist numbers and minutes played suggest he starts every big away fixture.
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Sevilla. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Deportivo La Coruna edge this one narrowly, perhaps 2-1, backed by home comfort, Aubameyang’s scoring form, and a defense that has conceded less per shot than Sevilla’s across the last five games. Sevilla will trouble the hosts through Ure and Sierra, and BTTS looks close to a lock given both sides have scored in nearly every recent fixture. To be honest, the draw price is tempting too, but our team leans toward Deportivo Double Chance paired with Over 2.5 goals as the cleanest read on this fixture.
