Sofia Quijada
Deportivo La Coruna and Las Palmas face off in a high-stakes La Liga 2 regular season finale at Estadio de Riazor. Both clubs sit in the promotion zone, with only goal difference and a single match separating their ambitions. The context: Deportivo hold second place, Las Palmas chase just behind in fifth, both needing results to secure either automatic promotion or playoff advantage. The last meeting ended level, highlighting just how closely matched these squads remain.
Mario Soriano’s creative drive and Jesé Rodríguez’s recent scoring surge headline the player watchlist—both can tip the balance with a single moment. Hot stat: Deportivo have lost only once in their last ten league games, boasting an 80% win rate over the past month, the best streak in the top half of the table.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2 2025/26 Regular Season (Spain) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:30 CEST |
Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas prediction
We predict a narrow win for Deportivo La Coruna. Recent form sets them apart: unbeaten in their last five, four wins and a draw, while Las Palmas have shown cracks, including a heavy 1-5 home defeat by Andorra. Deportivo’s defense tightened up, only two goals conceded in five, while Las Palmas average over a goal against per game in the same stretch. The midfield battle, where Deportivo’s Mario Soriano and Zakaria Eddahchouri combine both creativity and tenacity, should edge it in favor of the hosts.
Las Palmas play an expansive 4-4-2 but have struggled with discipline—13 offsides and more fouls committed per game—while Deportivo’s compact 4-2-3-1 limits space and produces fewer cards. Ball retention slightly favors Las Palmas (higher pass count and accuracy), but Deportivo’s aggressive pressing creates more interceptions, often translating to fast attacking transitions. The match will likely see tactical fouls and a fair share of set pieces.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Deportivo La Coruna to win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Deportivo’s recent games reveal a resilient, disciplined side. They edged out Real Valladolid 2-0 in their latest match—defensively sound, clinical in the final third, and able to control tempo when needed. Their previous outings: 2-1 over Andorra, 1-0 against Cadiz, and another 2-1 versus Leganes. In each, the backline held strong, while their attack capitalized on limited chances. Zakaria Eddahchouri has stepped up with two crucial goals, Mario Soriano orchestrates from midfield, and Luismi Cruz adds width and assists.
Las Palmas, by contrast, show inconsistency. Their last game ended 1-1 with Real Zaragoza, a match where they failed to dominate against a struggling side. The prior four matches: 2-1 wins over Almeria and Valladolid, but a jarring 1-5 defeat to Andorra exposed their defensive fragility. Jesé Rodríguez stands out with three goals in the last five, but the midfield lacks composure under pressure, as seen with turnovers and yellow cards in tight matches. Their defense, despite the experience of Mika Mármol and Enrique Clemente, leaks goals at key moments.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Deportivo La Coruna | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 7 | 6 |
| Total shots | 58 | 47 |
| Free kicks | 23 | 16 |
| Corner kicks | 23 | 16 |
| Total fouls | 46 | 37 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 85% | 84% |
| Interceptions | 38 | 38 |
| Offsides | 5 | 13 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Las Palmas the favourite
- Moneyline Deportivo La Coruna 3.50 | Las Palmas 2.07
- Draw 3.52
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.30 | Under 2.5 1.55
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.87 | No 1.85
Bookmakers slightly favor Las Palmas, likely due to their attacking reputation and away record. The price on Deportivo La Coruna is inflated compared to their current home form and defensive solidity. Over 2.5 goals offers value, given both teams’ offensive trends and the must-win context for promotion. Both teams to score is priced near even, reflecting each side’s ability to create chances but also their susceptibility to concede.
Las Palmas. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Deportivo La Coruna possible starting eleven
- GK: Álvaro Fernández
- DF: Ximo Navarro, Giacomo Quagliata, Miguel Loureiro, Arnau Comas
- MF: Mario Soriano, Diego Villares, Luismi Cruz, Adria Altimira, José Ángel Jurado
- FW: Zakaria Eddahchouri
Álvaro Fernández remains the undisputed choice in goal. The back four—Navarro, Quagliata, Loureiro, Comas—offer balance and reliability. Midfield is anchored by Soriano and Villares, with Cruz and Altimira providing energy and width. Up front, Eddahchouri leads the line, supported by Soriano’s creative influence. The formation sticks with 4-2-3-1, maximizing midfield control and wide play. Soriano and Eddahchouri are players to watch, both key to the team’s attack.
Las Palmas possible starting eleven
- GK: Dinko Horkaš
- DF: Mika Mármol, Marvin, Alex Suárez, Enrique Clemente
- MF: Kirian Rodríguez, Lorenzo Amatucci, Manu Fuster, Iván Gil
- FW: Jesé Rodríguez, Estanis Pedrola
Horkaš takes the gloves, with Mármol and Clemente marshalling the defense. Marvin and Suárez fill the flanks. Kirian Rodríguez and Amatucci anchor midfield, Fuster and Gil add support on the wings. Jesé Rodríguez, in top scoring form, pairs with Pedrola up front in a 4-4-2 setup. Jesé is the clear danger man, supported by Fuster’s creativity and Amatucci’s control. This lineup maximizes Las Palmas’ attacking options but will be tested by Deportivo’s pressing.
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Deportivo La Coruna. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Deportivo La Coruna to edge a close, intense match at home. Their momentum, defensive record, and the creative spark from Soriano give them the edge, though Las Palmas’ attacking threat makes both teams to score highly probable. Expect goals, a high corner count, and moments of individual brilliance from both sides—perfect conditions for over 2.5 goals and an entertaining finish to the regular season.
