Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Copa Del Rey Match - 13.01.2026

La Coruna welcomes a fierce cup challenge as Deportivo La Coruna take on Atletico Madrid at the storied Estadio de Riazor. This Copa Del Rey 2025/26 Round of 16 clash, scheduled for January 13, 2026, at 22:00 CEST, offers a classic cup storyline: a resilient underdog hosting one of Spanish football’s perennial powerhouses. For Deportivo, guided by Antonio Hidalgo, it’s a rare meeting with a European giant. For Diego Simeone’s Atleti, it’s business with no room for error, as the Colchoneros chase silverware on all domestic fronts.
Within this high-stake context, watch out for Deportivo’s Diego Villares, whose work rate and timely goals can swing momentum in tight contests, and Atletico’s Antoine Griezmann, whose recent scoring streak underlines his status as a match-winner. Notably, neither goalkeeper has been invincible, heightening the anticipation for a match with plenty of drama.

A “hot stat” that leaps out: Atletico Madrid have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, more than double Deportivo’s 4, illustrating a clinical edge up front that could be decisive at Riazor.

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Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid predictions

Me best bet: Atletico Madrid to Win (-1.5 Asian Handicap)

Atleti’s experience, attacking potency, and defensive discipline set them apart as clear favorites. The Colchoneros’ scoring record and squad depth, especially compared to Deportivo’s recent struggles, justify backing them to win by at least two. Griezmann’s clinical form, supported by Sørloth and the creative spark offered by Llorente, suggests a significant gulf in class. In cup football upsets can occur, but Atleti’s tactical structure under Simeone limits risk and usually quells the underdog’s hope.

Both teams’ styles of play present a contrast: Deportivo employ a traditional 4-4-2, relying on compactness, disciplined lines, and occasional bursts through Villares or Mella. However, disciplinary issues (10 yellows in 5 matches) and frequent defensive lapses (45 fouls, only 1823 completed passes at 83% accuracy) indicate potential cracks under pressure. Atleti’s own 4-4-2 is laden with more aggressive pressing: 61 committed fouls but only 6 yellows in the same span, demonstrating effective tactical fouling without excessive bookings. Their superior ball circulation (2177 completed passes at 87% accuracy) and corner threat (31 vs. 23) could pin Deportivo deep, especially as the match wears on.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 10.5

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Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid Most recent H2Hs

Historically, meetings between these sides have been rare in recent years, but recent form lines tell a clear story: Atleti consistently outperform Deportivo in attacking metrics and defensive stability. The goal differential (10 vs. 4) and possession statistics underline how difficult it will be for Deportivo to stem the tide, even with enthusiastic local support.

🚨Read our full Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Atletico Madrid’s 68 percent win probability is among the highest in the Copa Del Rey Round of 16 this year.
• Atleti are averaging 2 goals per game over the last 5 matches, compared to Deportivo’s 0.8.
• Diego Villares has netted half of Deportivo’s goals in their last 5 games.
• Antoine Griezmann is on a 3-match goal streak in all competitions.
• Pass accuracy difference (Atleti 87 percent vs. Depor 83 percent) stands out in ball retention under pressure.
• Atleti have conceded just one more goal than Deportivo despite facing significantly stronger opposition.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid score prediction: 0-2

Atletico’s tactical unity, coupled with both form and firepower from key figures like Griezmann and Sørloth, point to a professional away victory and a potential clean sheet. Deportivo will strive to disrupt early, but Atleti’s superior defensive discipline (6 yellow cards versus 10 for Deportivo), and experience in knockout ties, should see them dictate proceedings. Expect Griezmann to get on the scoresheet and Koke to control midfield rhythm.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid the favourite

The odds are weighted decisively in Atleti’s favor, reflecting both recent form and strength of opposition. With only a 12 percent implied probability for a Deportivo win, bookmakers expect a straightforward progression for Atletico. The odds for over 2.5 goals are attractive given Atleti’s offense and Deportivo’s defensive vulnerabilities, while ‘No’ on BTTS aligns with recent low-scoring Depor performances and Atleti’s capacity to close out matches.

Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid Over/Under Analysis

• Four of Atletico’s last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
• Deportivo have scored one or fewer in each of their last five fixtures.
• Only one of Deportivo’s last five games saw both teams score.
• In three of Atleti’s last five, they kept a clean sheet.
• Corners have consistently exceeded 10 in recent Atleti fixtures, highlighting their attacking intent from wide areas.

Deportivo La Coruna Preview

Deportivo’s recent form exposes their struggles. Their last outing, a 1-1 home draw against Las Palmas, revealed character but also familiar lapses — they equalized after conceding, only to fail to build meaningful pressure as the match grew tense. Only a single win in their last five (1-0 v Mallorca) keeps hopes alive, but lack of attacking variety and a leaky defense (3 goals allowed by Real Sociedad B) underscore the challenge. Villares remains the goal threat, while Mella and Soriano provide occasional impetus, yet the link play in midfield too often breaks down under pressing. Set pieces might offer their best chance.

Deportivo La Coruna possible starting eleven

Atletico Madrid Preview

Atletico Madrid approach Riazor on the back of a competitive run, their last match a narrow 1-2 defeat against city rivals Real Madrid that masked a strong underlying performance. The Colchoneros bossed possession, generated high-quality chances (Griezmann scoring), but were undone by fine margins. Before that, a comprehensive 3-0 dismantling of Girona showcased their ruthless high press and speed in transition. Simeone’s squad rotates efficiently, with Koke and Gallagher acting as midfield metronomes and Griezmann operating as the creative talisman, ably supported by Sørloth. Defensive structure remains sound, with Le Normand and Hancko providing reliable cover in front of Oblak.

Atletico Madrid possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

The TipsGG expert consensus strongly favors Atletico Madrid to advance, likely winning by two or more. Atleti’s measured aggression, cup experience, and form across all lines outweigh Deportivo’s home advantage or inspirational underdog narrative. The chance of progression is reflected in our dedicated AI prediction engine: 70 percent win probability for Atletico Madrid.

How to watch Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid

When? January 13, 2026, 22:00 CEST
Where? Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna
How to watch: Tune in via Spanish national broadcasters and official Copa Del Rey streaming partners (consult local listings for online services).
Favorite: Atletico Madrid

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