Sofia Quijada
Copa Libertadores Group B resumes as Deportes Tolima hosts Coquimbo at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro in Ibague. The context is simple: Tolima needs points to stay alive, while Coquimbo seeks to consolidate their lead at the group’s summit. Both clubs have identical 4-2-3-1 formations in recent matches, but the momentum sits with Coquimbo, who are undefeated in their last six matches. For Tolima, Brayan Rovira emerges as a midfield threat with two goals in four recent appearances, while Coquimbo’s Nicolas Johansen is a consistent attacking force with three goals in his last five games.
Hot stat: Coquimbo have not lost a single match in the last 30 days (67% winrate), and they have scored 9 goals in their previous five matches—three times more than Tolima’s output.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Libertadores 2026 – Group B |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29.04.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 04:00 CEST |
Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo prediction
We predict a value in backing Coquimbo on the double chance (win or draw). Their current form—undefeated in their last six matches with a 67% winrate over the past month—shows a clear momentum advantage. Deportes Tolima has only managed three wins in their last eight and sits bottom of Group B with a single point and a negative goal difference. Coquimbo’s attack, with nine goals in five games, contrasts sharply against Tolima’s recent scoring drought (just three goals in five). Defensive vulnerabilities for Tolima have been exposed repeatedly, especially in the 1-3 home loss to Club Nacional.
Discipline and style: Both teams rack up fouls (Tolima 69, Coquimbo 61 in last five), but Coquimbo’s slightly higher yellow card count (13 vs Tolima’s 10) could lead to suspensions or changes during the game. Coquimbo also holds a defensive edge, making 54 interceptions compared to Tolima’s 36, indicating a more aggressive ball-winning strategy. Pass accuracy is similar (Tolima 84%, Coquimbo 76%), but Tolima attempts more passes per game, perhaps as a result of chasing games after going behind. The likelihood of corners is high, especially from Coquimbo (29 in five matches).
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Coquimbo Double Chance (Win or Draw) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Deportes Tolima: Their last five games show inconsistency: 2-0 win over Deportivo Pereira, then three losses and two draws. Against Club Nacional (1-3), Tolima struggled to retain possession and broke down under sustained pressure. Their attack lacked cutting edge, evidenced by a solitary goal from Brayan Rovira and an inability to convert chances. Tolima’s defensive issues are highlighted by the 0-2 home loss to Millonarios, with lapses in concentration leading to goals. The team’s pass completion remains decent, but final third creativity is lacking, resulting in just three goals in five games.
Coquimbo: The Chileans have avoided defeat in their last six, winning four. In the last match, a 2-1 win over Union La Calera, Coquimbo showcased resilience, coming from behind and dominating the final third. Nicolas Johansen and Cristian Zavala are combining well, and the team is effective on set pieces (notable from 29 corners in five matches). Their only issue remains discipline, with 13 yellows and a red in recent outings, but it has not slowed their aggressive pressing style. Coquimbo’s defense absorbs pressure well, making more interceptions and committing fewer fouls.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Deportes Tolima | Coquimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 9 |
| Total shots | 55 | 63 |
| Free kicks | 21 | 29 |
| Corner kicks | 21 | 29 |
| Total fouls | 69 | 61 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 84 | 76 |
| Interceptions | 36 | 54 |
| Offsides | 7 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Deportes Tolima the favourite
- Moneyline Deportes Tolima 2.07 | Coquimbo 4.10
- Draw 3.20
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.45 | Under 2.5 1.55
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.65
Bookmakers set Deportes Tolima as the favourite at home, with odds around 2.00-2.07, reflecting home advantage and market weight. The draw sits at 3.10-3.20, hinting at a balanced encounter, while Coquimbo is a clear underdog (around 4.00+). Over/Under lines suggest expectations of a low-scoring match, with Under 2.5 strongly favoured. Our own read leans against the odds. Coquimbo’s form and scoring potential make the double chance a stronger value play than backing Tolima outright. The likelihood of both teams scoring is rated low by the bookies, matching our statistical view.
Possible Starting Lineups
Deportes Tolima possible starting eleven
- GK: Luis Marquines
- DF: Jherson Mosquera, Cristian Arrieta, Juan Torres, Junior Hernandez
- MF: Cristian Trujillo, Brayan Rovira, Sebastian Guzman, Juan Pablo Nieto
- FW: Adrián Parra, Jersson González
Tolima should line up in a 4-2-3-1, a system they’ve stuck with in recent games. Luis Marquines is the clear starter in goal, with Mosquera, Arrieta, Torres, and Hernandez in defense due to their consistent appearances. Rovira and Trujillo anchor the midfield, with Guzman and Nieto supporting Parra and Gonzalez up front. Parra is the main goal threat, but watch for Rovira’s late runs from midfield. Tolima’s formation is structured but lacks spark in the final third.
Coquimbo possible starting eleven
- GK: Diego Sanchez
- DF: Francisco Salinas, Benjamín Gazzolo, Manuel Fernández, Sebastián Cabrera
- MF: Sebastián Galani, Alejandro Camargo, Juan Cornejo
- FW: Cristian Zavala, Nicolas Johansen, Benjamin Chandia
Coquimbo will also use a 4-2-3-1, with Diego Sanchez as a stable presence in goal. The back four sees Salinas and Gazzolo as ever-presents, with Fernandez and Cabrera rounding out a robust defense. Midfielders Galani and Camargo bring ball-winning and distribution, while Cornejo’s two recent assists add a creative spark. Up front, Johansen’s finishing, Zavala’s pace, and Chandia’s link-up play form a dangerous attacking trio. Coquimbo’s lineup offers more attacking balance and depth.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Coquimbo. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Coquimbo will avoid defeat and possibly win, given their superior form and attacking output. Tolima’s home advantage and better pass completion rate mean they won’t be easily overrun, but Coquimbo’s tactical discipline, set-piece threat, and efficient finishing will tip the balance. We expect a low-scoring game, with Coquimbo most likely to grab a crucial point or even edge a close win.
