Our TipsGG Data Team tracked 60,440 football tips in December across 2,962 unique matches. That equals 1,950 tips per day, sourced from 498 active tipster sources and spanning 318 leagues worldwide.
The global win rate landed at 51.0% with an average odds played of 2.16. The most tipped competition was English Premier League 2025/26 Regular Season with 4,029 tips. Our data managers monitor this feed 24/7 to keep the dataset clean and consistent so you can easily follow only the tipsters you are confident in.
This report is strictly for informational and educational purposes. It serves as a statistical showcase of market trends and historical performance within the sports betting niche and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to place specific bets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We encourage all readers to view this data as a retrospective market analysis rather than a call to action. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
Use our Football Matches hub and the tournaments directory to cross-check leagues and fixtures. For upcoming picks, visit TipsGG football predictions.
Top Leagues Upset 20
This section highlights the most significant upsets within the Top 10 global football leagues. Unlike our general upset list, these results had major implications for league tables and title races. We rank them by Winning Odds, showing you the matches where the bookmakers (and the betting public) least expected the outcome. The ‘Total Lost Tips’ column adds a layer of community context, quantifying exactly how many of tipsters we keep track of were on the wrong side of these surprises.
| Tournament | Match | Score | Winner Odds | Total Lost Tips |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga 2025/26 | Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo | 0-2 | 10 | 75 |
| Primeira Liga 2025/26 | Famalicao vs Estrela | 2-3 | 7.6 | 57 |
| Serie A 2025/26 | Bologna vs Cremonese | 1-3 | 7.08 | 34 |
| Serie A 2025/26 | Cagliari vs Roma | 1-0 | 5.85 | 58 |
| Primeira Liga 2025/26 | Estoril vs Braga | 1-0 | 5.6 | 45 |
| Serie A 2025/26 | Verona vs Atalanta | 3-1 | 5.3 | 51 |
| La Liga 2025/26 | Real Sociedad vs Girona | 1-2 | 5.09 | 72 |
| Serie A 2025/26 | Torino vs Cagliari | 1-2 | 4.98 | 67 |
| Bundesliga 2025/26 | Sturm Graz vs Tirol | 1-3 | 4.8 | 35 |
| Eredivisie 2025/26 | Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar | 4-3 | 4.8 | 33 |
| Ligue 1 2025/26 | Nice vs Angers | 0-1 | 4.76 | 37 |
| La Liga 2025/26 | Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Espanyol | 1-2 | 4.75 | 53 |
| EFL Championship 2025/26 | Middlesbrough vs Hull | 0-1 | 4.7 | 62 |
| Serie A 2025/26 | Fiorentina vs Verona | 1-2 | 4.6 | 44 |
| Bundesliga 2025/26 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs Freiburg | 2-1 | 4.54 | 50 |
| Pro League 2025/26 | Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen | 2-3 | 4.4 | 18 |
| English Premier League 2025/26 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 2-1 | 4.4 | 50 |
| Serie A 2025/26 | Udinese vs Napoli | 1-0 | 4.4 | 48 |
| English Premier League 2025/26 | Nottingham Forest vs Everton | 0-2 | 4.26 | 54 |
| English Premier League 2025/26 | Leeds vs Chelsea | 3-1 | 4.16 | 66 |
Top League Voaltility
This section isolates the 10 most popular football leagues to measure their competitiveness. We rank them based on Average Winning Odds – effectively a ‘difficulty score’ for prediction. We also break down the Upset Rate (percentage of matches where the favorite failed to win) and Draw Rate. This data reveals the distinct character of each competition: some are statistically predictable, while others are highly volatile markets.
| Tournament | Matches Analyzed | Avg Winning Odds | Upset Rate | Draw Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro League 2025/26 | 32 | 2.94 | 65.6% | 31.3% |
| Serie A 2025/26 | 37 | 2.89 | 45.9% | 16.2% |
| Bundesliga 2025/26 | 40 | 2.87 | 47.5% | 22.5% |
| English Premier League 2025/26 | 56 | 2.79 | 50.0% | 28.6% |
| EFL Championship 2025/26 | 72 | 2.77 | 52.8% | 29.2% |
| La Liga 2025/26 | 32 | 2.72 | 40.6% | 21.9% |
| Eredivisie 2025/26 | 27 | 2.70 | 40.7% | 29.6% |
| Primeira Liga 2025/26 | 35 | 2.51 | 42.9% | 31.4% |
| Ligue 1 2025/26 | 24 | 2.48 | 37.5% | 20.8% |
| Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2025 | 20 | 2.36 | 25.0% | 15.0% |
Our Data Team flags Pro League 2025/26 Regular Season as the most volatile market in this set: 2.94 average winning odds and a 65.6% upset rate. At the other end, Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2025 Regular Season posted the lowest average winning odds (2.36) and the lowest upset rate (25.0%).
EFL Championship 2025/26 Regular Season carried the biggest sample at 72 matches and still produced a 52.8% upset rate. Primeira Liga 2025/26 Regular Season led draw frequency at 31.4%, a direct warning sign for 1X2 favorite-heavy tickets.
Make sure to keep an eye out on more of our monthly and weekly reports here at TipsGG and rememver to bet responsibly!