Liam Duckstein
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Dalian Yingbo host Beijing Guoan in a Chinese Super League fixture that carries real weight in the upper half of the table. Sitting level on 36 points but separated by goal difference, Dalian need a win to climb past their visitors. Beijing arrive in considerably better shape, having gone six matches without a loss in all competitions, and they already beat Dalian 3-0 in the reverse fixture earlier this season.
Two players deserve attention heading into this one. Nicolae Stanciu has been Dalian’s most productive creator, contributing 2 goals and 2 assists across the last five matches with 17 shots, making him the focal point of everything Dalian build going forward. For Beijing, Fabio Abreu has been genuinely destructive, netting 4 goals and providing 4 assists in five appearances, taking 16 shots and demanding constant attention from any back line.
Hot stat: Beijing Guoan have scored 16 goals across their last five matches, an average of 3.2 per game, and they scored in every single one of those fixtures.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Chinese Super League 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Dalian |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 13:35 CEST |
Dalian Yingbo vs Beijing Guoan Prediction
Beijing Guoan are the clear selection here. Their recent form is simply on another level compared to Dalian’s. In the last 30 days, Beijing have won 4 of 6 with no defeats, while Dalian have managed just 2 wins from 6 with 2 losses. The head-to-head record backs this up strongly. Beijing have won three of the last four competitive meetings, including a 3-0 league win and a 4-2 aggregate swing across recent Cup and league play.
Dalian’s attack has been muted lately, scoring just 5 goals across the last five matches while conceding 5 as well. Their negative goal difference in the league standings reflects a team that leaks goals when pushed. Beijing, by contrast, have outshot opponents 77 to 44 in the same sample and completed nearly 1,900 accurate passes compared to Dalian’s 1,093, showing a clear dominance in possession and control.
Dalian have collected 6 yellow cards and 2 red cards across five matches, which signals an aggressive, reactive defensive approach that Beijing’s mobile attackers can exploit. Nick Montgomery’s side commit fewer fouls (54 vs 72) and maintain better discipline, allowing them to stay on the front foot without disruption.
We predict a Beijing Guoan win, and the volume of goals they have produced recently makes the over market attractive too.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Beijing Guoan to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Dalian Yingbo have been inconsistent across their last five league outings. They beat Chongqing Tongliangloong 1-0 most recently, which was a narrow, functional win against a mid-table side. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Shanghai Port, lost 1-3 to Yunnan Yukun, beat Liaoning Tieren 1-0, and drew 1-1 with Henan Songshan Longmen. Three of their five results ended with just one goal scored, and the Yunnan loss exposed defensive fragility against a team with attacking intent. Stanciu and Frank Acheampong remain the main threats in the final third, but the overall output is too low to rely on at home against quality opposition.
Beijing Guoan come into this match off the back of a 3-3 draw with Yunnan Yukun, a result that ended a run of three straight wins. Before that draw, they beat Shanghai Shenhua 3-0, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 4-2, and Shenzhen Peng City 4-0. Their only slight blip was that high-scoring draw, but the underlying numbers remain excellent. Dawhan has been outstanding in midfield with 3 goals and 1 assist, Fabio Abreu leads the attack with 4 goals and 4 assists, and Zhang Yuning contributes a consistent goal threat from the forward line. The 4-3-3 system gives them width, pressing intensity, and multiple routes to goal.
🚨Check out our dedicated Dalian Yingbo vs Beijing Guoan stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Beijing Guoan the Favourite
- Moneyline Dalian Yingbo 3.01 | Beijing Guoan 2.12
- Draw 3.98
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The bookmakers price Beijing Guoan as clear favourites at around 2.12, and that lines up with everything the data shows. Dalian at 3.01 reflects the home advantage but not much more. The draw at 3.98 is reasonably priced given the gap in form between the two sides, though it remains an unlikely outcome given how freely Beijing have been scoring. The average market expectation places Beijing’s win probability at 45%, which we think is if anything slightly conservative given their recent dominance over this opponent.
Possible Starting Lineups
Dalian Yingbo Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Liu Weiguo
- DF: Bi Jinhao, Song Yue, Feng Boxuan, Mamadou Sekou Traoré
- MF: Isnik Alimi, Liao Jintao, Lyu Zhuoyi, Nicolae Stanciu
- FW: Frank Acheampong, Yang Mingrui
Li Guoxu has consistently deployed a 4-4-2 shape, and these players have featured most across the last five matches. Liu Weiguo is the established starter in goal. The back four picks itself, with Bi Jinhao the most reliable defensive presence alongside Song Yue. In midfield, Stanciu is the player who makes things happen. He has taken 17 shots and registered 152 passes with strong accuracy, functioning as a genuine playmaker. Isnik Alimi covers ground effectively and contributes in transition. Up front, Frank Acheampong brings pace down the right channel, and Yang Mingrui provides a physical presence to hold the line.
Beijing Guoan Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Hou Sen
- DF: Bai Yang, Guilherme Ramos, Abduhamit Abdugheni, Yue Tze-Nam
- MF: Dawhan, Sai Erjini’ao, Boubacar Konte
- FW: Fabio Abreu, Zhang Yuning, Cao Yongjing
Nick Montgomery’s 4-3-3 system has produced some of the best attacking football in the league this season. Hou Sen starts in goal and has made 22 saves across five appearances, showing he has been tested but remains reliable. The back four is anchored by Bai Yang and Guilherme Ramos, with Ramos adding a goal threat from set pieces. Dawhan is the engine of the midfield with 3 goals, 1 assist, and 287 passes, and he rarely misses a game. Up front, Fabio Abreu is the focal point and arguably the most dangerous player on the pitch. Zhang Yuning and Cao Yongjing offer pace and movement around him to stretch the Dalian defensive shape.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Dalian Yingbo. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Beijing Guoan are the better team right now, and the numbers make that plain. They have outscored Dalian by more than three to one across their last five matches, they carry more passing accuracy, more shots, and better discipline. Dalian’s 4-4-2 will sit deep and look to absorb pressure, but they have already conceded three times to Yunnan and lost to them, suggesting they are not as solid as the narrow wins over lower-ranked sides might imply.
The head-to-head record this season already shows a 3-0 Beijing win in the reverse fixture. With Fabio Abreu and Dawhan in the form they are in, and with Dalian’s attack limited to mostly one-goal performances, we predict a Beijing Guoan win, with goals on both sides making BTTS a strong secondary selection. Over 2.5 goals fits the profile of this match well, and backing Beijing to score in both halves at reasonable odds adds extra value.
