Sofia Quijada
Cusco hosts Los Chankas at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega on 11 May 2026 in a Liga 1 Apertura clash that sees both teams pushing for higher ground. Cusco, currently 7th, face a Los Chankas squad sitting 2nd in the table, and with one of the highest win rates in the division. Cusco’s Lucas Colitto stands out as an attacking threat, having scored twice in his last four games, while Los Chankas defender Carlos Pimienta’s consistent presence at the back has kept his team competitive. Cusco’s last five matches feature 60 total shots – a notable volume considering their form.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Liga 1 2026 Apertura, Peru |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:30 CEST |
Cusco vs Los Chankas prediction
We predict a narrow home win for Cusco. Bookmakers slightly favor the hosts, but Los Chankas’ recent away form creates an edge-of-the-seat scenario. Cusco’s 4-2-3-1 system leans on solid midfield control and wide play, which could trouble Los Chankas’ 4-1-4-1, especially at altitude in Cusco. Both sides average close to 8 yellow cards combined per five matches, indicating a stop-start rhythm with many fouls—Cusco’s 38 and Los Chankas’ 39 fouls in five matches each. This high foul count could disrupt Los Chankas’ passing rhythm, whose accuracy (Los Chankas 79%, Cusco 84%) is vital to their transition play. Expect a battle for territory, with neither side giving away easy chances. Cusco’s greater volume of attacking actions and home advantage tilt the prediction their way.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Under 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Cusco drew 1-1 with Estudiantes LP last time out, managing to hold their own against a technically superior side. Their recent results mix narrow wins and competitive draws with close defeats, showing defensive resilience but a lack of clinical finishing. The team’s last five games: 1-1, 2-2, 0-1, 2-1, and 1-0, show a tendency toward low-scoring contests, where they rarely concede more than one goal. Ivan Colman remains a key figure, with one goal and one assist in the last five, while Facundo Callejo’s two goals highlight a direct approach in attack.
Los Chankas lost 0-1 to Deportivo Garcilaso in their latest fixture, breaking a long winning streak. Their form chart is impressive with nine wins in the last thirteen league matches and a 69% win rate this season. The side’s reliance on set pieces is clear, as both defenders Carlos Pimienta and Gonzalo Rizzo have scored recently. The team’s ability to keep games tight, with just three goals scored and four conceded in their last five, underscores a pragmatic, defense-first approach.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Cusco | Los Chankas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 6 |
| Total shots | 60 | 56 |
| Free kicks | 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks | 15 | 19 |
| Total fouls | 38 | 39 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 84 | 79 |
| Interceptions | 36 | 25 |
| Offsides | 10 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Cusco vs Los Chankas stats page for more info.
Los Chankas. Source: Official Website
Pre-game odds and win probability: Cusco the favourite
- Moneyline Cusco 1.72 | Los Chankas 4.20
- Draw 3.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.02 | Under 2.5 1.78
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.81 | No 1.93
Bookies see Cusco as favorites at home, driven by their strong home record and altitude advantage. Los Chankas’ high away win rate gives value for riskier punters, but the market expects a closely contested match. The odds for under 2.5 goals indicate little faith in either attack running away with it. Both teams to score offers near-parity pricing, showing confidence in both sides finding the net but not a shootout.
Possible Starting Lineups
Cusco possible starting eleven
- GK: Andy Vidal
- DF: José Zevallos, Alvaro Ampuero, Carlos Gamarra, Gu Choi Guevara
- MF: Oswaldo Valenzuela, Ivan Colman, Nicolás Silva, Aldair Fuentes, Diego Soto
- FW: Facundo Callejo
Cusco’s eleven prioritizes experience and reliability. Vidal starts in goal, protected by Zevallos and Ampuero, both disciplined and aggressive in the tackle. Colman anchors the midfield with box-to-box energy, while Callejo leads the line after two goals in five. Expect the 4-2-3-1 shape, with Silva and Soto linking play from the flanks.
Los Chankas possible starting eleven
- GK: Hairo Camacho
- DF: Ayrthon Quintana, Carlos Pimienta, Gonzalo Rizzo, Kelvin Sanchez
- MF: Jorge Palomino, Adrian Quiroz, Franco Nicolas Torres, Abdiel Ayarza, Oshiro Takeuchi
- FW: Jarlin Quintero
Los Chankas set up in a 4-1-4-1, emphasizing midfield solidity. Camacho anchors the side in goal, with Pimienta and Rizzo as the key defensive pair, both contributing to set pieces. Torres brings attacking flair, while Quintero works as a lone forward, relying on quick transitions and aerial play.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Cusco. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Cusco to win by a slim margin, possibly 2-1. Their home advantage, more stable defensive shape, and set-piece threat, coupled with Los Chankas’ recent slip and defensive focus, point to a cagey game. Both teams should score, but the overall goal count likely stays under 2.5. Expect plenty of corners and bookings, with the midfield battle dictating the pace.
