Liam Duckstein
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Crystal Palace host Liverpool at Selhurst Park on Sunday afternoon with both clubs stepping down from midweek European duty. Palace occupy 18th place on seven points and own the worst defensive record in the division at 21 goals conceded from nine rounds. Liverpool sit fifth on 15 points, one behind fourth-placed Chelsea, and the market still hands them a 61 percent win probability despite a three-match winless stretch. The wrinkle worth noting: Palace have beaten Liverpool three times across the last five meetings, including a 3-0 EFL Cup rout and that chaotic 5-4 Community Shield, so history mildly favours the hosts. Alexander Isak, two goals and ten shots in his last five appearances, is the visitor to fear, and Jean-Philippe Mateta carries Palace’s main attacking hope. The standout number: Liverpool have attempted 84 shots across their previous five matches, nearly double Palace’s 44.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Selhurst Park, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction
We predict Liverpool to win 1-3. The reasoning starts with volume: 84 shots and 37 corners in five games is relentless pressure production, and Palace’s back line has buckled against far weaker attacks, conceding seven in their last five and 2.33 per league game this season. Palace did score in three of those five, and Liverpool’s own defence leaked eight goals in the same window, so a clean sheet for either side looks unlikely. The 1.58 on the away win is short, and the genuine value sits in combining it with goals rather than backing the hosts at 5.33 against this form gap.
Style matters here too. Palace foul 12.6 times per game and collected 12 yellow cards plus two reds in their last five, so expect a scrappy, stop-start rhythm with the referee heavily involved. Liverpool commit a similar number of fouls yet keep their discipline, seven bookings and zero dismissals. On the ball the gap is stark: Liverpool complete 82 percent of their passes against Palace’s 74 percent and attempt well over 500 more passes per five-match sample. Palace will defend deep, press in bursts and hunt set pieces, a plan that feeds Liverpool’s corner count and keeps the visitors shooting.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Liverpool to win & both teams to score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 goals |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 match corners |
Team Analysis
Crystal Palace: recent form
Palace drew 1-1 with Hoffenheim on Thursday, a result that stretched their run to one win in five. The sequence reads 1-1 Hoffenheim, 0-2 Tottenham, 1-0 Fulham, 0-2 Newcastle and 2-2 Besiktas: four goals scored, seven conceded, two red cards collected. Pierre Sage’s side compete in flashes, yet the 0-2 defeat to Tottenham showed how quickly this defence unravels when pressed with pace, and the extra day of fatigue after Thursday’s fixture hardly helps. In our preview of Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim we backed goals over a clean result and the 1-1 draw went against us, though both teams scoring at least kept one leg of that call alive.
Liverpool: recent form
Liverpool lost 2-3 to Fenerbahce in midweek, a third straight match without a win after the 0-1 defeat to Arsenal and the 1-1 draw with Chelsea. Before that stumble the Reds beat Brighton 2-0 and outslugged Villarreal 4-3. Andoni Iraola’s team still generates enormous attacking volume, nine goals and 84 shots in five, but eight conceded across the same stretch exposes a loose structure. Cody Gakpo leads the squad with 13 shots and two assists, while Isak remains the sharpest finisher. In our preview of Fenerbahce vs Liverpool we predicted the Reds to take all three points in a high-scoring game, and the 2-3 defeat went against us.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Palace hold the psychological edge with three wins from the last five meetings: the 3-0 EFL Cup tie in October 2025, a 2-1 league win that September and the 5-4 Community Shield, while Liverpool’s lone recent triumph arrived 3-1 in April 2026. The aggregate numbers below still lean towards the visitors.
| Statistic | Crystal Palace | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 9 |
| Total shots | 44 | 84 |
| Free kicks | 55 | 50 |
| Corner kicks | 15 | 37 |
| Total fouls | 63 | 67 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 74 | 82 |
| Interceptions | 61 | 51 |
| Offsides | 11 | 10 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Crystal Palace vs Liverpool stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite
- Moneyline Crystal Palace 5.33 | Liverpool 1.58
- Draw 4.39
Those prices average seven books with full markets; one operator trims Liverpool to 1.22 and skips the draw entirely, an outlier we ignored. The implied split lands near 63 percent Liverpool, 23 percent draw and 19 percent Palace, close to the 61/21/18 baseline our feed carries. The market respects Palace’s head-to-head record a touch, yet the form gap justifies the short away price. Goals markets had not been priced at the time of writing, so our over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score leans come from the underlying numbers rather than quoted odds.
Possible Starting Lineups
Crystal Palace possible starting eleven
- GK: Walter Benítez
- DF: Tyrick Mitchell, Chris Richards, Jaydee Canvot, Oscar Mingueza
- MF: Adam Wharton, Anan Khalaili, Daichi Kamada, Dwight McNeil
- FW: Yeremy Pino, Jean-Philippe Mateta
Benítez has held the gloves for five straight starts, with Dean Henderson waiting in reserve. The 4-2-3-1 pairs Wharton and Khalaili at the base, Kamada operates at ten, McNeil takes the left and Pino the right, where his dribbling meets Tsimikas. Mateta leads the line on 211 minutes across four appearances, ahead of Nketiah, and Disasi offers cover if Canvot needs managing. Watch Pino: one goal, six shots and constant free-kick involvement across five games.
Liverpool possible starting eleven
- GK: Alisson Becker
- DF: Konstantinos Tsimikas, Virgil van Dijk, Jérémy Jacquet, Ronald Araujo
- MF: Alexis Mac Allister, Treymaurice Nyoni, Florian Wirtz
- FW: Cody Gakpo, Bradley Barcola, Alexander Isak
Alisson returns having logged 360 minutes across five outings, well clear of Mamardashvili. The 4-2-3-1 runs through Mac Allister and the metronomic Nyoni, who has completed 300 of 326 passes, with Wirtz at ten. Gakpo attacks from the left, Barcola from the right and Isak through the middle. Araujo fills the right-back slot on minutes, and Gravenberch plus Szoboszlai push hard for recalls after the midweek collapse. Watch Isak: two goals and ten shots in five, the first name on the teamsheet for this fixture type.
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Crystal Palace. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a 1-3 Liverpool win with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals. Palace’s defence has no answer to Liverpool’s shot and corner volume, and Liverpool’s own leaks keep the door open for Mateta and Pino to land a blow. Perhaps the midweek hangover slows the visitors early; to be honest, the class gap should settle matters after the hour mark. Palace’s three wins from the last five meetings add spice, not conviction, because this version of Palace concedes 2.33 per league game and has collected two red cards in five. Back Liverpool in the win-plus-goals combo, take both teams to score, and lean over on the corner line with confidence.
Read Also: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Predicted Line-ups and Team News Ahead of 8 Nov 2026: Both Expected XIs
