Cruzeiro vs Goias Prediction: 13 May 2026 Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro host Goias at Governador Magalhaes Pinto with a spot in the next Copa do Brasil round at stake. The bookmakers see Cruzeiro as clear favorites, but Goias showed resilience in the first leg with a 2-2 draw. Cruzeiro’s recent home form remains strong, while Goias struggle away. Key attackers Kaique Kenji (Cruzeiro) and Anselmo Ramon (Goias) have both contributed crucial goals lately and could tip the scales. Goias’ keeper Tadeu Antonio Ferreira will need to be on top form against a Cruzeiro side that averages over 15 shots per match.

Hot stat: Cruzeiro have produced 79 shots in their last 5 matches, nearly 30% more than Goias, underlining their attacking intent.

Cruzeiro vs Goias prediction

We predict Cruzeiro will win this match. Cruzeiro’s home record and recent form are simply more convincing. The team creates more chances, registers more shots, and presses harder in midfield. Goias’ away form is weak, with a single win in their last six games and a leaky defense. Cruzeiro’s pressing game, disciplined backline, and a balanced midfield have given them control over matches, conceding only seven goals in their last five. Goias struggle to maintain possession and rely heavily on set pieces and counterattacks.

Expect a physical match: Cruzeiro average 18 yellow cards in their last five matches and Goias 11, with both teams combining for 161 fouls in this period. Cruzeiro’s higher pass accuracy (87% vs Goias’ 74%) means more ball control, and more opportunities to create goal-scoring chances. This should limit Goias’ ability to break on the counter, making it difficult for them to score more than once.

Team Analysis

Cruzeiro’s last five matches show a consistent trend: high pressing, ball possession, and shot volume. Their last match, a 2-1 win over Bahia, demonstrated resilience after conceding first. Cruzeiro controlled midfield with Gerson and Matheus Pereira dictating play. Jonathan Jesus and Kauã Moraes contributed defensively and offensively, and Keny Arroyo’s dynamism up front forced mistakes from Bahia’s backline. Recent draws and a tough defeat against Atletico Mineiro haven’t derailed their momentum; they bounce back quickly and look sharp in transitions.

Goias edged Vila Nova 1-0 last time out, but before that, suffered heavy defeats (1-4 to Fortaleza, 0-2 to Cuiaba). The team lacks consistency and struggles to maintain structure under pressure. Nicolas Vichiatto offers stability at the back, while Anselmo Ramon remains their main threat up front. Still, Goias’ midfield loses duels too often, and their attack becomes isolated against well-drilled sides. Their only real hope lies in set pieces or moments of individual brilliance from Gegê or Esli Garcia.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Cruzeiro vs Goias stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cruzeiro the favourite

• Moneyline Cruzeiro 1.33–1.43 | Goias 6.60–8.80
• Draw 4.00–4.70
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.77
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.15 | No 1.70

The odds show a heavy lean toward Cruzeiro, with bookmakers pricing them as strong favorites at home. Goias’ away record and defensive fragility justify this. A draw receives higher odds, reflecting Goias’ lack of consistent attacking output. Goals markets suggest at least three goals are likely, given both teams’ recent defensive slips and attacking intent. The value is on Cruzeiro to win with goals in the match, and BTTS ‘Yes’ at over 2.0 offers interest, given Goias’ sporadic scoring even in losses.

Possible Starting Lineups

Cruzeiro possible starting eleven

Otávio Costa commands the goal with a solid defensive four in front, including Jonathan Jesus and Kauã Moraes, who both contribute on both ends. Gerson and Matheus Pereira anchor the midfield with Lucas Romer providing creative impetus. Keny Arroyo and Kaio Jorge lead the attack, supported by Christian’s work rate. The 4-2-3-1 remains their go-to, maximizing their width and control.

Goias possible starting eleven

Tadeu Antonio Ferreira starts in goal behind a defense featuring the consistent Lucas Ribeiro and Nicolas Vichiatto. Gegê and Lucas Lima provide midfield balance, but much responsibility falls to Anselmo Ramon and Esli Garcia to create and finish chances. The 4-2-3-1 setup stays, but Goias need compactness and discipline to withstand Cruzeiro’s pressure. Ramon and Vichiatto must organize the line to avoid early setbacks.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Cruzeiro will win this Copa do Brasil clash, likely with a scoreline of 2-1 or 3-1. Cruzeiro’s shot volume and midfield control should outmatch Goias’ sporadic defending. Goias may grab a goal from a set piece, but their away form and lack of sustained attacking pressure leave them vulnerable. We’re backing Cruzeiro to advance with authority.

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