Rafael Nogueira
Criciuma host Sao Bernardo at Estadio Heriberto Hülse on matchday 13 of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026. Eduardo Baptista’s side sits third in the table with 20 points, while Ricardo Catalá’s Sao Bernardo arrive in sixth with a game in hand. The home advantage is notable here: Criciuma have won both of their last two matches and carry a 100% win rate over the past 30 days, while Sao Bernardo have managed just one win in their last five outings.
Keep an eye on Rómulo Otero for Criciuma. The midfielder has contributed both a goal and a free-kick goal across the last two matches, showing strong creative output in a team that generated 30 total shots in that same span. For Sao Bernardo, Echapora leads the attacking intent with three shots in his last appearance and will need to work hard to open a Criciuma defence that has conceded only 10 goals in 12 league games.
Hot stat: Criciuma recorded 16 corner kicks across their last two matches combined, compared to just 1 for Sao Bernardo. That volume reflects a significant territorial dominance that should carry into this fixture.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Criciuma, Brazil |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo prediction
Criciuma are the clear pick here. They are unbeaten in their last five league matches (three wins, two draws), they play at home, and their recent form over 30 days is perfect. Sao Bernardo, by contrast, have won zero of their last two fixtures and lost their most recent game 0-1 to Juventude. The bookmakers price Criciuma at roughly 58% probability, and that feels fair given the evidence.
The best value market is Criciuma to win, priced around 1.60-1.66 at most books. The home side outshot their opponents 30 to 17 in recent matches and generated 32 free kicks to Sao Bernardo’s 12. That level of pressure makes a home win the most defensible selection.
Criciuma play a structured 4-2-3-1, foul opponents at a high rate (40 fouls in five matches) and win territory through set pieces and corners. Sao Bernardo’s 3-4-2-1 setup is compact but their pass accuracy of 457 completed passes against Criciuma’s 520 suggests they will struggle to build from the back. Sao Bernardo commit fewer fouls (16 in five matches) and tend to sit deeper, which may keep the score tight but won’t change the likely direction of the result.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Criciuma to win & Under 3.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Criciuma have ground out results consistently across their last five matches. They beat America MG 1-0 in their most recent outing and defeated Avai 2-1 before that, sandwiching draws against Operario PR and Atletico Goianiense. César Martins contributed a goal from defence and Fellipe Mateus added one from midfield, showing that Criciuma score from multiple positions. Their defensive record across this run is solid, conceding only four times in five games.
Sao Bernardo’s recent form tells a different story. They lost 0-1 to Juventude in their last match, their fourth defeat in five games. The one bright spot was a 1-0 win over Atletico Goianiense, but draws against America MG and SER Caxias and a loss to Juventude frame a side that cannot string results together. Their attacking output in these five matches was just 17 total shots, and they failed to score in two of the five fixtures. Their last appearance produced no goals and limited creativity from a squad that carried only partial data for several players.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Criciuma | Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 30 | 17 |
| Free kicks | 32 | 12 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 1 |
| Total fouls | 40 | 16 |
| Interceptions | 20 | 4 |
| Offsides | 1 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Criciuma the favourite
- Moneyline Criciuma 1.60 | Sao Bernardo 5.75
- Draw 3.60
The 1.60 on Criciuma represents reasonable value given their home record and current form. Sao Bernardo at 5.75 reflects their poor recent run and the quality gap between these sides at this stage of the season. The draw at 3.60 is plausible given Criciuma’s tendency to draw (five draws in 12 league matches), but their last 30-day form argues against it. We prefer backing Criciuma to win at prices between 1.60 and 1.66 depending on the book.
Possible Starting Lineups
Criciuma possible starting eleven
- GK: Airton
- DF: Marcelo Hermes, Luciano Castan, César Martins, Willean Bernardo
- MF: Eduardo Biasi, Fellipe Mateus, Rómulo Otero
- FW: Waguininho, Rodrigo Fagundes, Diego Gonçalves
Criciuma line up in a 4-2-3-1 structure. Airton takes the gloves after appearing in the most recent available data. The back four picks itself, with Luciano Castan and César Martins as the central partnership; Castan posted 86 passes across two matches and Martins chipped in with a goal. Eduardo Biasi and Fellipe Mateus form a double pivot, with Biasi’s 60-pass average providing the base and Mateus supplying the goal threat from midfield. Rómulo Otero is the most watchable player in this squad: he scored, contributed a free-kick goal, and registered five shots across two appearances. Waguininho leads the line with nine fouls drawn and six free kicks won, making him a constant nuisance for any defence.
Sao Bernardo possible starting eleven
- GK: Alex Alves
- DF: Pará, Mário Sérgio Valerio, Foguinho
- MF: Romisson, Foguinho, Hyoran, Júnior Urso
- FW: Echapora, Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva, Felipe Garcia
Sao Bernardo set up in a 3-4-2-1. Alex Alves starts in goal after making two saves in his one recorded appearance. The back three includes Pará, who made two interceptions, with Mário Sérgio Valerio providing cover. Romisson anchors midfield with 74 passes and 69% accuracy in his one appearance. Echapora and Pedro Vitor lead the attack, with three shots each in their last outings. The squad data is thin due to heavy rotation, but Echapora is the player most likely to create a problem for Criciuma’s defence if given space behind the defensive line.
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Criciuma. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a Criciuma win. The numbers back it cleanly: 100% win rate in the last 30 days at home, 30 shots to Sao Bernardo’s 17 across recent matches, 16 corners to 1, and 20 interceptions to 4. Sao Bernardo are winless in two and have scored zero goals in their last match. Eduardo Baptista’s side knows how to grind out results at Estadio Heriberto Hülse, and Rómulo Otero’s ability from set pieces adds a specific threat against a visiting side that concedes free kicks at a low rate but defends them poorly on the evidence available. We back Criciuma to win 1-0 or 2-0, with the match staying under 2.5 goals total. Corners market is worth a look too, with Over 7.5 at fair value given Criciuma’s recent volume of 16 corners across just two games.
