Rafael Nogueira
Criciuma host Londrina PR on June 6 at Estadio Heriberto Hülse in a Série B fixture that carries very different weight for each side. Criciuma sit 7th on 17 points, unbeaten in their last five league games, though four of those ended as draws. Londrina arrive in dire form, 18th with just 8 points and a goal difference of -7, having lost four of their last five matches. The gap in momentum is stark, and Londrina’s recent 0-3 defeat to Operario PR and 0-3 loss to Fortaleza exposes a fragile defense. One name to watch for Criciuma is Rómulo Otero, who has contributed a goal and an assist in the last five matches while averaging four free kicks per appearance. For Londrina, Bruno Santos de Oliveira stands out with a goal and two assists, and his eight total shots show he remains active even in a struggling side.
Hot stat: Londrina PR have conceded 19 goals in 11 Série B matches this season, making them the second worst defensive unit in the league, and they shipped seven goals across their last two away fixtures combined.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Criciuma, Brazil |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Criciuma vs Londrina PR Prediction
Criciuma’s home advantage is real. Their unbeaten run across the last five games, combined with Londrina’s catastrophic away record (seven losses in eleven league games), points clearly toward a home win. The bookmakers reflect this with Criciuma priced around 1.66, which is fair value given the context. We predict a Criciuma win, and the margin could be comfortable given how open Londrina’s defense has been on the road.
Criciuma’s style is disciplined but cautious. In five recent matches they committed 75 fouls and picked up 12 yellow cards, showing an aggressive defensive posture, yet their 31 corner kicks in those five games indicates they push forward consistently. Their pass accuracy of 75.8% is modest, suggesting they rely on direct play over build-up sequences. Londrina, by contrast, attempt fewer shots (47 vs 57 for Criciuma) but have accumulated three red cards in five matches, a serious discipline issue that could leave them short-handed at a critical moment. Their 49 fouls and 11 yellows in five games also suggest a team under pressure and prone to rash challenges. A Criciuma side that earns set pieces regularly could exploit this pattern effectively.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Criciuma to win and under 3.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Criciuma have been remarkably consistent without being convincing. Four of their last five matches ended level, including draws against Operario PR (1-1), Atletico Goianiense (1-1), Juventude (0-0), and Cuiaba (1-1). Their only win in that run came against Avai, a 2-1 result. Coach Eduardo Baptista has built a side that rarely loses, but breaking down stubborn opponents remains a challenge. Their 57 total shots in five games is a decent output, and with Marcelo Hermes contributing a goal from defense and Rómulo Otero providing creativity from midfield, there are attacking threats distributed across the team.
Londrina’s last five results tell a grim story: losses to Vila Nova (0-1), Fortaleza (0-3), Sao Bernardo (1-3), and Operario PR (0-3), with their only bright spot being a 4-1 win over Ponte Preta. That win looks like an outlier against a side even lower in the table. Coach Allan Aal faces a structural problem: his team concedes in clusters, and their defensive record on the road is among the worst in the division. Gabriel Santos Cordeiro Lacerda has been a consistent presence at the back, playing all 360 minutes in four recent appearances, but the goals against column shows the unit as a whole is leaking badly.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Criciuma | Londrina PR |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 57 | 47 |
| Free kicks | 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks | 31 | 16 |
| Total fouls | 75 | 49 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 76 | 823 |
| Interceptions | 33 | 36 |
| Offsides | 1 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Criciuma vs Londrina PR stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Criciuma the Favourite
- Moneyline Criciuma 1.66 | Londrina PR 5.50
- Draw 3.50
The market consensus of 57% for a Criciuma home win feels accurate and perhaps slightly conservative. Given Londrina’s form, their defensive frailties, and their red card discipline issues, backing Criciuma at around 1.66 offers solid value. The draw at 3.50 is tempting given Criciuma’s recent habit of drawing, but facing a Londrina side this low on confidence changes the calculation. Londrina at 5.50 is only worth a speculative look if you believe in major upset potential, which the data does not support here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Criciuma Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Airton
- DF: Marcelo Hermes, Luciano Castan, César Martins, Willean Bernardo, Marcio Almeida de Oliveira
- MF: Fellipe Mateus, Eduardo Biasi, Rómulo Otero, Jean
- FW: Waguininho
Criciuma have favored a 3-4-2-1 shape across their last five matches, and this lineup reflects that structure. Airton takes the goalkeeping spot based on more recent appearances. Luciano Castan anchors the back three, having played 360 minutes without a red card and contributing 10 fouls, which shows his physical presence. Rómulo Otero is the key creative outlet in the midfield-forward hybrid role, and his free kick threat adds a set-piece dimension. Fellipe Mateus provides energy and has chipped in a goal, making him a useful contributor from deeper positions.
Londrina PR Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Mauricio Kozlinski
- DF: Gabriel Santos Cordeiro Lacerda, Yago Lincoln Rocha Santos, André Dhominique, Kaue Leonardo De Souza Prado
- MF: Thalis Henrique Cantanhede, Paulo Roberto Moccelin, Lucas Marques, Heron
- FW: Bruno Santos de Oliveira, Emiliano Rodríguez
Londrina also line up in a 3-4-2-1 system, though the red cards from Lucas Marques and André Dhominique in recent games create selection doubts. Mauricio Kozlinski has made seven saves across four appearances, and he will need to be at his best here. Bruno Santos de Oliveira leads the attack with one goal and two assists, and he carries the most genuine threat for a side that is low on confidence. Thalis Henrique Cantanhede provides industry in midfield with eight shots and three free kicks in four games.
🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Criciuma. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a Criciuma home win. The data points in one direction: a host unbeaten in five, generating 31 corners in that span and posing a consistent set-piece threat, against a visitor that has conceded 19 goals in 11 league games and lost four of their last five fixtures. Londrina’s red card issues compound their defensive fragility, and facing Criciuma’s physical, foul-heavy approach at home makes this a difficult assignment. To be honest, the draw market is not entirely without merit given Criciuma’s tendency to share points, but Londrina’s current state makes a clean Criciuma win the most defensible call. We back Criciuma to win with both teams scoring, fitting a 2-1 or 2-1 type scoreline, with over 8.5 corners as a secondary play given Criciuma’s high corner output and Londrina’s defensive retreating shape.
