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Criciuma vs Chapecoense Prediction: 07.09.2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B Preview

06.09.2025, 12:40

As the Campeonato Brasileiro Série B regular season enters a crucial period, Criciuma and Chapecoense find themselves in a tightly contested battle for promotion. Set at the Estadio Heriberto Hülse on 07 September 2025, this encounter features two sides locked on similar win rates and fueled by recent form. Both clubs approach this match as a pivotal junction in their campaigns, with only two points standing between them at kick-off.

Among the array of talent on display, Chapecoense’s Walter Clar stands out with a string of impactful performances from defense, tallying three goals and an assist in the recent five matches—phenomenal numbers for a defender. On the other side, Criciuma’s Nicolas Godinho Johann has emerged as a consistent attacking outlet, notching two goals in his last four appearances and regularly testing opposing defenses with his movement and shooting.

Hot stat: In their last five matches, Chapecoense earned an impressive tally of 24 corner kicks—a stark indicator of their dominance in wide areas and attacking intent. This trend could play a key role in shaping set-piece opportunities and momentum throughout the match.

15:00Finished07.09.2025
2CriciumaBrazil
🏆 Tournament: Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2025 (Regular Season)
🏟 Venue: Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Criciuma
🗓️ Date: 07.09.2025
⏰ Time: 22:00 CEST

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Criciuma vs Chapecoense prediction

The odds narrowly favor Criciuma, and the combination of home advantage and a recent run of strong results make them a logical first pick for bettors. Notably, Criciuma have collected three wins in their last five matches, highlighted by an energetic 2-0 victory over Novorizontino and a resilient 1-0 win against Remo. Chapecoense, however, remain unbeaten in their last five, showcasing both defensive solidity and a varied attacking threat, as seen in their 4-0 dismantling of Athletic Club.

This contest is finely balanced. Criciuma’s aggressive style has resulted in 13 yellow cards and 63 fouls in their last five outings, indicating a physical approach that could disrupt Chapecoense’s attempted build-ups. Meanwhile, Chapecoense’s 24 corners, 10 yellow cards, and mere 50 fouls over the same stretch suggest a more methodical but equally assertive style, often utilizing width and set-pieces effectively. The passing accuracy numbers (Criciuma at 87.7%, Chapecoense at 84.6%) reflect high technical standards, minimizing turnovers and increasing the likelihood of methodical, well-constructed attacks.

🔥Hot Tip: Criciuma -0.25 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Criciuma Recent Games: Criciuma’s form line underscores their attacking intent and defensive discipline. Their latest match, a 1-0 win over Remo, showcased tactical flexibility as they adapted to Remo’s defensive formation and capitalized on a set-piece opportunity. Prior to that, a convincing 2-0 victory against Novorizontino demonstrated their ability to press high and convert chances—a trait that’s become a signature under coach Eduardo Baptista. Across their last five, Criciuma have scored eight and conceded just three, indicating a well-structured defense complemented by effective finishing.

20:35Finished28.08.2025
0RemoBrazil
1CriciumaBrazil

Chapecoense Recent Games: Chapecoense are unbeaten in their last five outings, registering three wins and two draws. In their most recent fixture, they produced a spirited 2-2 draw against Vila Nova, exhibiting both resilience and flair by coming back from a deficit. Of particular note is the 4-0 thrashing of Athletic Club, which featured a dominant display on both flanks and tight central control by midfielders like Bruno Matias. Chapecoense’s eight goals in their last five matches point to a collective approach, distributing the scoring burden and maximizing their set-piece efficiency.

18:00Finished01.09.2025
2Vila NovaBrazil

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Criciuma Chapecoense
Goals 1 2
Total shots 10 13
Free kicks 12 15
Corner kicks 5 7
Total fouls 16 11
Pass accuracy (%) 85 87
Interceptions 10 8
Offsides 3 1

🚨Read our full Criciuma vs Chapecoense stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Criciuma the favourite

  • Moneyline Criciuma 1.92 | Chapecoense 4.30
  • Draw 3.20
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 2.20 | Under 2.5 1.60
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.72

The market positions Criciuma as the favorite, largely due to their home record and collective attacking output. However, the odds reflect that Chapecoense’s organized style and recent form—particularly their clean sheets and strong set-piece conversion—cannot be discounted. Expect a close game, where fine margins may decide the outcome, as reflected in the modest over/under and BTTS odds.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Criciuma possible starting eleven

  • GK: Alisson
  • DF: Rodrigo Fagundes, Luciano Castan, Marcio Almeida de Oliveira, Andre Felipe de Almeida Santos
  • MF: Matheus Trindade, Jean Carlos, Leonardo Naldi de Matos
  • FW: Diego Gonçalves, Nicolas Godinho Johann, Benjamín Borasi

The lineup is set for stability and attacking flair, utilizing a 4-2-3-1 formation that emphasizes midfield control and quick transitions. Alisson remains reliable between the posts, while the forward line’s mobility, spearheaded by the energetic Nicolas Godinho Johann, creates frequent opportunities out wide and through the center. Watch for Diego Gonçalves and Benjamín Borasi to play pivotal roles in breaking down Chapecoense’s back line.


Chapecoense possible starting eleven

  • GK: Léo Vieira
  • DF: Eduardo Doma, Walter Clar, Joao Paulo
  • MF: Bruno Matias, Rafael Natividade, Giovanni Augusto, Victor Caetano
  • FW: Neto Pessoa, Perotti, Marcinho

Expect Chapecoense to deploy their proven 3-4-2-1, leveraging Walter Clar’s attacking instincts even from defense and efficient ball movement from midfielders like Bruno Matias. In attack, Neto Pessoa and Perotti provide tactical versatility, with Marcinho frequently drifting in to support and create overloads. The side’s compact shape remains its greatest asset, ensuring control in key moments and maximized use of set pieces.

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Chapecoense. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo

Chapecoense. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo


The Verdict

The most rational pick in this contest is Criciuma on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Their recent uptick in form, home crowd backing, and reliable set-up under coach Eduardo Baptista tilt the scales slightly in their favor, even against a Chapecoense side that rarely folds on the road. The balance of both teams’ defensive records and the lack of high-score thrillers in recent weeks further support an Under 2.5 goals selection. Ultimately, expect a measured but intense clash where well-drilled defensive lines and a moment of individual brilliance could be decisive.

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