Cremonese vs Roma Prediction: 23.11.2025 Serie A

As Serie A resumes its regular season, Cremonese welcome Roma to Stadio Giovanni Zini on November 23, 2025. This fixture presents an intriguing storyline: newly promoted Cremonese, under Davide Nicola, look to challenge one of the league’s title contenders, guided by veteran tactician Gian Piero Gasperini. With Roma boasting a formidable away record and Cremonese eager to prove their mettle, this clash is set to illuminate the competitive contrasts typical of Italy’s top flight.

Key players to watch include Cremonese’s Federico Bonazzoli, whose recent scoring form offers hope for the hosts, and Roma’s Lorenzo Pellegrini, whose creativity and leadership have been pivotal this season. Pellegrini, with two goals in his last five, remains Gasperini’s orchestrator in midfield.

Hot stat: Roma have averaged 16 shots per match in their last five games, more than double Cremonese’s rate. This offensive emphasis could be decisive.

🏅Best bets for Cremonese vs Roma at N1Bet with a Welcome offer 120% up to 600$💰

Cremonese vs Roma prediction

Roma enter as justifiable favorites, with a 58 percent implied win probability and form that positions them near the league’s summit: eight wins from eleven matches, including a sturdy defensive record of just five goals conceded. The Giallorossi’s superior shot volume and ball retention—over 2,000 completed passes in their last five and 80 shots—underscore their attacking edge.

Cremonese, while defensively organized (3-4-2-1), have struggled for output, tallying only four goals in their last five games. Their pass accuracy is notably lower (averaging 77 percent compared to Roma’s 86 percent), which may hinder their ability to transition effectively against pressing opponents.

The physical nature of both teams is reflected in their foul counts (Cremonese: 46, Roma: 67 over the last five matches) and yellow cards (Cremonese: 7, Roma: 9). Expect a competitive midfield battle but with Roma’s higher caliber likely prevailing, especially given their squad depth and tactical flexibility under Gasperini.

Team Analysis

Cremonese:
Cremonese’s last match, a 0-1 defeat against Pisa, typified their season’s struggles: low chance creation and difficulties breaking down compact defenses. Recent form reads as inconsistent at best (L, L, D, D, W), and their reliance on experienced forwards like Jamie Vardy and Bonazzoli cannot fully offset defensive lapses, especially from set pieces.
The side has found limited success in midfield, often lacking the progressive passing needed to consistently threaten—reflected in just four goals and 42 shots taken across their last five fixtures, a relatively modest figure for Serie A standards.

Roma:
Roma, fresh from a 2-0 win over Udinese, continue their run of structured, defensively sound football. Even after a narrow loss to Milan, they bounced back smartly with victories against Rangers and Sassuolo, showcasing offensive contributions from multiple players.
Their recent pattern (W, W, L, W, W) highlights a squad churning steady results. Notably, Roma’s backbone lies in midfield dominance and efficient conversion—seven goals in their last five matches, a strong shot tally, and three clean sheets further validate their status as favorites.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Cremonese vs Roma stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite

• Moneyline Cremonese 6.00 | Roma 1.61
• Draw 3.75
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.20 | No 1.67

Roma’s status as favorites is reinforced by both form and market pricing. The away win is consistently below 1.70 across bookmakers, underscoring expected dominance against a lower-ranked side. Cremonese’s long odds reflect their inconsistent output and limited goal threat, while draws—at nearly 4.00—signal bookmakers’ expectation of a clear result.
With over/under tilted towards the Under 2.5, the market anticipates Roma’s structure limiting open play, and “both teams to score: no” signals confidence in the Giallorossi keeping a clean sheet.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Cremonese possible starting eleven

Cremonese are likely to line up in their familiar 3-4-2-1, anchored by Audero in goal. Defensive stability is provided by Bianchetti and Baschirotto—regulars in the back three—while Barbieri and Terracciano offer width. In attack, Bonazzoli and Vardy’s recent form will be crucial, though the supply line from midfield (Vázquez, Payero) must improve to test Roma’s rearguard.

Roma possible starting eleven

Gasperini will likely maintain a 3-5-2, leveraging solid performances from Svilar, Mancini, and the in-form Hermoso, who offers threat on set pieces. Pellegrini’s presence boosts midfield creativity, and the dual threat of Dybala and Dovbyk gives Roma multiple avenues to goal. Expect high pressing and ball retention, with wing-backs Çelik and França crucial to both defense and attack.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

My take on the Match

Given the tactical contrast and statistical landscape, my pick is a Roma win—potentially by more than a single goal, justifying the Roma -1 Asian Handicap recommendation. Roma’s blend of attacking versatility and defensive discipline is poised to eclipse Cremonese’s more limited threats. Expect Gasperini’s side to control possession, exploit set pieces, and restrict Cremonese to half-chances. A professional, efficient display should see Roma depart Cremona with three crucial points.

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG