Liam Duckstein
Cremonese and Pisa clash at Stadio Giovanni Zini in a matchup that will be pivotal for both clubs’ hopes of Serie A survival. Neither side brings momentum: both have managed just one win from eighteen league matches this year. Yet, with the home crowd behind Cremonese and Pisa stuck at the bottom of the table, the stakes climb even higher. One interesting subplot is how Pisa, under Oscar Hiljemark, has struggled to produce goals but faces a Cremonese side with a fragile defense.
Keep a close watch on Cremonese’s Federico Bonazzoli, who netted in a recent outing, and Pisa’s Simone Canestrelli, a defender with a knack for getting on the scoresheet. The goalkeeper duel also matters: Emil Audero for Cremonese versus Adrian Šemper for Pisa.
The hot stat: both teams have combined for just 2 wins in their last 36 Serie A fixtures. The tension is real, with defensive errors likely to play a major role.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Cremonese vs Pisa prediction
We predict Cremonese to secure a narrow victory. Bookmakers put the home win probability at 56%, and the odds reflect their status as favorites. Pisa’s dreadful away form—zero wins in five, twelve goals conceded—undermines their chances. Cremonese, under Marco Giampaolo, shows more resilience at home, while Pisa’s defensive discipline is shaky: 10 yellow cards in their last 5 games, compared to just 2 for Cremonese.
Both squads average over 10 fouls per game, so set-pieces could decide the outcome. Cremonese’s passing is sharper (55% accuracy vs Pisa’s 45%), and they produce more organized buildup. Pisa’s higher foul and yellow card counts often interrupt their rhythm, leading to a scrappy contest. Don’t expect free-flowing football. Expect tense, physical play with neither side eager to take big risks.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Under 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Cremonese’s recent games feature a 1-2 home loss to Lazio, a 0-4 defeat against Napoli, and a gritty 0-0 draw with Torino. In the last match, they found a goal but still fell short. Their attack, led by Bonazzoli and supported by Jari Vandeputte, produces chances, but the conversion rate is poor. Midfielders like Alberto Grassi and Warren Bondo try to control play but often lose possession under pressure.
Pisa’s last five matches brought only losses. The 1-2 home defeat to Lecce exposed frailties—an inability to defend set pieces and frequent lapses in midfield tracking. They show effort, particularly from Canestrelli at the back and Michel Aebischer in midfield, but the forwards struggle to convert. Discipline issues plague Pisa, as seen in their 10 yellow cards in recent matches.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Cremonese | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 5 |
| Total shots | 39 | 50 |
| Corner kicks | 19 | 18 |
| Total fouls | 55 | 67 |
| Interceptions | 33 | 39 |
| Offsides | 2 | 13 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Cremonese vs Pisa stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Cremonese the favourite
- Moneyline Cremonese 1.77 | Pisa 5.00
- Draw 4.04
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.30 | Under 2.5 1.66
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.70
Cremonese’s odds are short and deservedly so, given Pisa’s away form and overall standing. The gap between 1.77 for Cremonese and 5.00 for Pisa underlines the lack of confidence in the visitors. The high odds for the draw reflect both sides’ inability to score regularly. Over 2.5 goals is priced long, showing that bookmakers expect a low-scoring affair—our model aligns. BTTS leans towards ‘No’, justified by both teams’ recent scoring struggles.
Possible Starting Lineups
Cremonese possible starting eleven
- GK: Emil Audero
- DF: Matteo Bianchetti, Giuseppe Pezzella, Federico Baschirotto, Sebastiano Luperto, Filippo Terracciano
- MF: Alberto Grassi, Warren Bondo, Romano Floriani Mussolini
- FW: Federico Bonazzoli, Jari Vandeputte
This eleven mirrors Giampaolo’s recent picks and sticks to the 3-4-2-1 shape. Bonazzoli gets the nod up front for his goal threat, with Vandeputte offering movement. Audero remains the clear number one. Watch for Pezzella and Luperto to anchor the back line, while Grassi’s ball-winning in midfield is key.
Pisa possible starting eleven
- GK: Adrian Šemper
- DF: Antonio Caracciolo, Simone Canestrelli, Samuele Angori, Rosen Bozhinov
- MF: Michel Aebischer, Idrissa Toure, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Isak Vural
- FW: Stefano Moreo, Mehdi Léris
Hiljemark prefers the 4-4-2 setup, and this lineup covers regular starters. Canestrelli and Caracciolo are expected at the heart of defense, with Aebischer’s passing important in midfield. Up front, Moreo and Léris lead the line, hoping to improve on Pisa’s low scoring rate. Šemper gets the gloves again.
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Pisa. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Cremonese to edge this contest, most likely by a single goal. Neither team inspires confidence, but Cremonese’s marginally better home form and Pisa’s constant defensive errors tip the balance. Expect a game with few clear chances, plenty of fouls, and one or two decisive moments. Under 2.5 goals is our favored market—goals will be at a premium.
