Rafael Nogueira
CRB host Goias at Estádio Rei Pelé in Maceio in a mid-table Série B clash that carries real implications for both sides. CRB sit 14th with 14 points from 12 games, carrying a goal difference of -5, while Goias occupy 10th with 16 points from 10 games. The gap in games played makes this fixture particularly interesting: Goias have played fewer matches and are performing at a higher rate, yet CRB hold home advantage at a venue where the crowd can shift momentum. One detail worth noting is that CRB’s last four league results at home include a 4-2 win over Ponte Preta, showing they can produce goals when things click.
For Goias, midfielder Adilson dos Anjos Oliveira has been direct in front of goal, contributing a goal in his most recent appearance, while forward Kadu added a goal of his own in the same match. On the CRB side, forward Dadá Belmonte leads the pressing line with four shots in his last appearance and 90 minutes of work rate, making him the most likely outlet for Eduardo Barroca’s side in attack.
Hot stat: CRB generated 19 total shots in their most recent match against Londrina yet finished the game with zero goals, a 0-5 defeat, underlining a severe conversion problem that Daniel Paulista’s defence-minded Goias will be eager to exploit.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
CRB vs Goias Prediction
The numbers point clearly toward Goias. They have won 45% of their matches this year against CRB’s 33%, and their last five games show three wins alongside a draw and a loss. CRB, by contrast, have managed just one win in their last five with three losses. The 0-5 defeat to Londrina in their most recent outing is hard to ignore.
Goias arrive with a 2-0 win over Ceara in their last match, showing defensive discipline and clinical finishing. Their pass accuracy in recent matches sits at 230 completed passes from 287 attempts, which is tighter than CRB’s volume-heavy 462 from 521, yet Goias committed 16 fouls compared to CRB’s 9. That foul rate from Goias means free kick opportunities for CRB in dangerous areas, which is worth monitoring given CRB’s 11 corner kicks in their last outing. Both teams operate from a 4-1-4-1 shape, so the midfield battle will be tight and physical.
We predict a Goias win. Their form, efficiency, and defensive structure make them the stronger side right now, even away from home. The value on Goias at around 4.00 is worth considering given the bookmakers’ own data shows them at 23% probability, which underestimates their recent run.
- Main prediction: Goias to win
- Value pick: Goias +1.5 Asian Handicap
- Total goals: Under 2.5
- Both teams to score: No
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Goias to win & Under 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
CRB’s season has been inconsistent. Across 33 matches this year they have won just 11, and their form over the last 15 results shows a pattern heavy with defeats and draws. Their most recent match, a 0-5 home loss to Londrina PR, was alarming. Before that they lost 0-2 to Cuiaba. Their only recent bright spot was a 4-2 win over bottom-side Ponte Preta and a 2-1 victory against Sport Recife. Coach Eduardo Barroca has not found a stable defensive structure, with CRB conceding 22 goals in 12 league matches. The squad shows effort in possession, recording over 500 passes in the Londrina game, but the final third remains a problem.
Goias enter this match in much better shape. Daniel Paulista’s side won 2-0 against Ceara in their last outing with goals from Adilson and Kadu. Before that, they beat Botafogo SP 1-0 and Vila Nova 1-0, showing an ability to grind out narrow wins. Their only losses in the last five came against Cruzeiro (0-1) and Fortaleza (1-4). With 13 wins from 29 matches this year and a 100% win rate in the last 30 days, Goias carry strong momentum into this fixture.
🚨Check out our dedicated CRB vs Goias stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: CRB the Favourite
- Moneyline CRB 1.91 | Goias 4.00
- Draw 3.40
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The market prices CRB as favourites at around 1.91, reflecting home advantage and their head-to-head record. To be honest, the 4.00 on Goias looks generous given their current form. CRB’s conversion issues and defensive fragility suggest the home advantage may be overstated by the odds. The draw at 3.40 is fair but Goias’s recent results make a point-taking performance very plausible.
Possible Starting Lineups
CRB Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Vitor Caetano
- DF: Diogo Hereda da Silva, Fabio Alemão, Henri Marinho dos Santos, Lucas Lovat
- MF: Daniel Sampaio Simões, Pedro Castro, Patrick de Lucca
- FW: Mikael, Dadá Belmonte, Douglas Baggio
Barroca is expected to set up in the familiar 4-1-4-1, with Daniel Sampaio Simões anchoring the midfield. Dadá Belmonte leads the line and is the most active attacker based on recent data, with four shots and 90 minutes in the last match. Mikael provides pace and directness from wide, while the back four of Hereda, Alemão, Henri Marinho, and Lovat needs to tighten up after conceding five in the previous outing.
Goias Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Thiago Rodrigues
- DF: Ramon, Luiz Felipe, Rodrigo, Silva
- MF: Guilherme Baldoria de Camargo, Lucas Lima, Adilson dos Anjos Oliveira
- FW: Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira, Kadu, Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
Paulista’s 4-1-4-1 structure relies on defensive compactness, with Ramon and Rodrigo providing physicality at the back. Lucas Lima operates as a creative outlet from midfield, registering an assist in the last match. Adilson and Kadu both scored against Ceara and are the primary goal threats. Goias committed 16 fouls in that match, suggesting they press aggressively, which will test CRB’s ability to create from set pieces.
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CRB. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
CRB carry home advantage and a positive head-to-head record, but their current form is poor. A 0-5 and 0-2 loss in their last two outings, combined with a goal difference of -5 in the league, paints a difficult picture. Goias are the in-form side, winning their last match 2-0 and showing defensive organisation that CRB have struggled to break down recently. Both teams play 4-1-4-1, so the match figures to be compact and low-scoring. We predict a Goias win, with the total staying under 2.5 goals. CRB may generate shots, as they typically do, but their finishing record makes it hard to back them to convert. The smart play is Goias to take three points away from Maceio.
