Costa Rica (w) vs Brazil (w) Prediction: 28.02.2026 International Friendly

As the international football calendar heats up, Bergen’s Brann Stadion sets the stage for a compelling women’s friendly between Costa Rica (w) and Brazil (w). While these teams stand at vastly different junctures in their development, this clash offers much more than a routine test: it’s a chance for Costa Rica to measure themselves against one of the world’s premier sides, and for Brazil to fine-tune ahead of a busy year. Despite no recent international action in the last month for either side, coaches Amelia Valverde (Costa Rica) and Arthur Elias (Brazil) will be eager to put their best lineup forward.

On the pitch, all signs point to an intriguing midfield battle. Keep a close eye on Costa Rica’s Melissa Herrera, who consistently brings energy and attacking impetus, even if not always reflected in goal tallies. For Brazil, Bia Zaneratto is expected to be the engine upfront, often shifting the scales with her ability to both finish and create. Both have proven influential in recent cycles and will be central to their teams’ fortunes.

The “hot stat” to note: Brazil (w) hammered Portugal (w) 5-0 in their last competitive outing, underlining the sheer attacking potential this squad possesses.

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Costa Rica (w) vs Brazil (w) prediction

The overwhelming weight of evidence—in squad quality, recent results, and the stylish, high-press tactics of Arthur Elias—makes Brazil (w) the clear favourite. Their demolition of Portugal (w), along with a triumphant run through England (w) and Italy (w) recently, illustrates just how potent and deep this squad remains. Costa Rica, while dogged and improving under Valverde, have struggled for consistency, losing to Mexico (w) before edging Grenada (w) with a single-goal margin.

Brazil’s possession-heavy, attacking style contrasts sharply with Costa Rica’s pragmatic, often defensive approach. Expect Brazil to dictate tempo, complete a high volume of passes (typically registering above 80 percent accuracy), and throttle Costa Rica’s outlets through relentless pressing. Costa Rica tend to collect more fouls and rely on set pieces, but their recent attacking output has been modest.

A high-scoring affair seems probable, but Costa Rica’s defensive resilience—demonstrated in grit-filled performances against El Salvador—may restrict Brazil to a margin below “cricket score” territory. Still, the likelihood of both teams finding the net remains slim, given Brazil’s steadfast defense and Costa Rica’s recent goal struggles against top-tier opposition.

Team Analysis

Costa Rica (w) recent games:
The Ticas’ last match ended in a sobering 0-2 defeat to Mexico (w), a side with comparable technical pedigree to Brazil (w) but markedly less depth. Before that, they scraped past Grenada (w) 2-1, highlighting ongoing attacking woes. Out of their last five, only narrow wins against El Salvador (w) offer optimism, and goal production remains their main challenge. Defensive setups have improved, but lapses against high-speed wide play and set pieces persisted in losses to Mexico and Guatemala. Coach Valverde has experimented with defensive blocks to stifle more creative sides, but results have been mixed.

Brazil (w) recent games:
Brazil enters this friendly after a resounding 5-0 win over Portugal (w), their attack clicking in clinical fashion. That performance—following a disciplined 1-0 win over Italy (w)—showcases both their creative interplay and defensive solidity. Their only recent stutter came in a rare 1-3 loss to Norway (w), where rotation and individual mistakes proved costly. Upcoming stars like Kerolin and midfield lynchpin Luana played pivotal roles in the recent string of victories, and it’s clear Arthur Elias has focused on maintaining intensity, even in less crucial fixtures. Overall, a fluid 4-3-3 has allowed for constant pressing and sharp transitions.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Costa Rica (w) vs Brazil (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Brazil (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Costa Rica (w) 26.00 | Brazil (w) 1.03
• Draw 11.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.22 | Under 2.5 3.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.70 | No 1.38

Bookmakers underscore Brazil’s overwhelming advantage: a paltry 1.03 for a Brazil win as compared to an astronomical 26.00 for Costa Rica. The wide gap is justified by recent results and the balance of quality in both midfield and attack. The Over 2.5 market is heavily favoured, suggesting attacking dominance from Brazil, and both teams scoring is considered unlikely given Costa Rica’s defensive priorities and lack of recent cutting edge.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Costa Rica (w) possible starting eleven

Coach Amelia Valverde is expected to use a 4-3-3, focusing on defensive integrity and quick transitions through midfield engine Raquel Rodríguez. Expect forward Melissa Herrera to exploit any space, while goalkeeper Daniela Solera’s shot-stopping could be decisive if Costa Rica are to withstand Brazil’s waves of attack.

Brazil (w) possible starting eleven

Manager Arthur Elias maintains faith in a fluid 4-3-3. The defensive quartet boasts Champions League pedigree, and the midfield trio offers stability and creativity. Up front, Bia Zaneratto leads a dynamic attack supported by the flair of Geyse and the goalscoring instincts of Kerolin. Keep an eye on Ary Borges: her surging runs often create overloads.

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My take on the Match

The gulf in class between the two teams is impossible to ignore, and Brazil (w) enters this friendly as deserved heavy favourites. Expect Arthur Elias’ squad to impose themselves early and maintain high tempo with overlapping runs and ball retention. While Costa Rica possesses resilience and a cohesive defensive unit, their chances may rely on set pieces and rare counterattacks. The most likely scenario is Brazil dominating possession and creating a host of opportunities, with Costa Rica battling hard to keep the scoreline respectable. My main pick: Brazil (w) -3.5 Asian Handicap, as they look primed to continue their dominant run with a multi-goal win.

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