Como vs Sassuolo Prediction: 24.09.2025 Coppa Italia Preview

Round 2 of the Coppa Italia sees Como, revitalised under Cesc Fàbregas, hosting Fabio Grosso’s Sassuolo at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. While Como’s top-flight momentum meets Sassuolo’s desire for cup redemption, both teams are in the midst of tactical evolution. Can Fàbregas’ methodical midfield outplay Grosso’s reshuffled front line? Notably, Como midfielder Nicolás Paz, in red-hot form of late, will look to orchestrate proceedings, while Sassuolo’s veteran forward Domenico Berardi brings unpredictability to the visitors’ attack.

A glance at recent stats reveals Como’s impressive shot tally (64 total shots in their last five games) compared to Sassuolo’s 28 – suggesting that Como are not shy in front of goal and could dictate much of the attacking narrative.

🏅Best bets for Como vs Sassuolo at WinSpirit with a Welcome bonus 100% up to 100$ and 25% Freebet💰

Como vs Sassuolo prediction

The best value prediction here is a Como win, and for good reason. Como’s aggressive attacking play – illustrated by their high volume of shots and above-average pass accuracy (66% over their last five matches) – makes them formidable at home. Sassuolo, by contrast, have managed only a single win from their last four and show vulnerability at the back, conceding six goals across that same period.

Como’s tactical flexibility under Fàbregas has allowed them to control midfield with Maximo Perrone and Nicolás Paz, both adept at regaining possession and launching counters. Their 4-2-3-1 system, designed for sharp transitions and creative overloads on the flanks, produces sustained pressure – often leading to corners and shooting opportunities. Sassuolo, typically utilising a 4-3-3, have decent midfield ball retention but struggle to convert possession into meaningful final third entries, as seen in their paltry 28 shots in the last five games.

Disciplinary records show both sides pick up cards at a moderate rate (Como: 10 yellows, 1 red; Sassuolo: 9 yellows, 0 reds over their latest five). While Sassuolo may try to disrupt Como’s rhythm with trips and niggles, Como’s composure and set-piece threat are likely to tell, especially at home.

Team Analysis

Como’s recent form:
Como enter this match with their tails up, winning three of their last five, including a signature 2-1 victory over Fiorentina. In that game, Como’s midfield engine, driven by Maximo Perrone and the energetic Nicolás Paz (who netted twice in recent fixtures), was pivotal in dictating tempo and launching purpose-built attacks. Their home win over Lazio (2-0) also underlines their strength at Sinigaglia, where organised pressing and high shot productivity have been recurring themes. Their solitary defeat – a slender 0-1 loss to Bologna – highlighted some defensive frailties but also showed resilience as Como created 14 shots even in defeat.

Sassuolo’s recent form:
The visitors arrive with mixed fortunes: only one win from four, yet a spirited performance against Inter (albeit a narrow 1-2 loss) highlighted flashes of offensive promise through Domenico Berardi and Andrea Pinamonti. Key issues remain in midfield transition and defensive robustness — Sassuolo have conceded eight in their last five outings, with passing accuracy dipping alarmingly in high-pressure phases. However, wins like their 1-0 over Lazio show that with space to counter, they can trouble even disciplined defences.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Como vs Sassuolo stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite

• Moneyline Como 1.68 | Sassuolo 5.30
• Draw 3.62
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.65 | No 2.10

Bookmakers strongly back Como, reflected in the short 1.68 odds. Their home dominance, tactical discipline, and penchant for creating chances make them worthy favourites. The draw at 3.62 offers value to those believing in Sassuolo’s countering prowess, while the outsiders’ odds on Sassuolo (5.30) reveal doubt over their ability to disrupt Como’s fluency. Over 2.5 goals is set fairly short given both teams’ attacking inclinations and recent defensive frailties – suggesting punters expect action.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Possible Starting Lineups

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

The Verdict

Our primary pick is a Como win, buoyed by their shot-happy approach, home edge, and the tactical nous imparted by Cesc Fàbregas. While Sassuolo’s front three have the capacity to spring a surprise, their defensive organisation still leaves much to be desired. Como’s pressing and ability to create set-piece opportunities should overwhelm Sassuolo over 90 minutes. However, expect a lively contest – with both teams likely to find the net and set the tone for an exciting Coppa Italia campaign. This clash is more than just a cup tie; it’s a test of ambition and style between two sides at different points in their development journeys. We’ll be watching closely as Como take another stride in their Serie A adventure.

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG