Liam Duckstein
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Como step onto the European stage for their first Champions League League Phase night in decades, and Cesc Fàbregas gets to test his young squad against a German side that has scored goals for fun this season, even while dropping points elsewhere. RB Leipzig arrive under Martin Demichelis with a strange mix of form: they can put six past a decent side one week and lose three matches out of five the next.
What makes this one interesting is the contrast in styles. Como have been building patiently through midfield with Nico Paz and company, while Leipzig prefer to strike quickly through wide players and overlapping full backs. Neither side has played each other before at this level, so there is no history to lean on here, only current form.
Watch Martin Baturina closely. He has three goals in his last five Como appearances and looks like the player Fàbregas builds his attacking phases around. On the other side, Ridle Baku has been a constant threat from the right flank for Leipzig, scoring three times in five games despite technically being listed as a defender. His runs forward could cause problems for Como’s back line all night.
Hot stat: RB Leipzig thrashed Eintracht Trier 6-0 in their most recent domestic cup outing, the biggest scoreline produced by either team in the matches we reviewed. That kind of firepower, even against weaker opposition, shows what Leipzig’s front line is capable of when space opens up.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Champions League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Como vs RB Leipzig prediction
We predict Como edge this one, and the bookmakers agree, giving the hosts roughly a 51% chance of victory. Playing at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in front of a home crowd for their first Champions League night in years should give Como’s players an extra push, and their recent form, two wins and two draws in five, backs that theory up better than Leipzig’s shakier run of two wins in five with three defeats mixed in.
Como have been slightly more accurate in possession lately, completing around 89% of their passes compared to Leipzig’s 87%, and they have also won more corners on average, 31 to 26 across the last five matches. Leipzig commit fewer fouls per game (34 versus 43) but that discipline has not always translated into results away from home. Given Como’s control of the ball and set-piece edge, we lean toward a tight, competitive match where the hosts nick it late rather than dominate from the start.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Como to win either half |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Como’s most recent outing ended in a 4-1 win over Genoa, their biggest scoring display of the run reviewed here. Assane Diao Diaoune and Douvikas have chipped in with goals across the sample, and Baturina’s improving numbers suggest Como are finding rhythm just as the European campaign begins. Before that Genoa win, Como also beat Napoli 2-1 and drew narrowly with Udinese and Arsenal, results that show a side capable of grinding out points against tougher opposition too.
RB Leipzig’s last match went the other way, a 1-3 defeat to Werder Bremen that continued a worrying pattern of inconsistency. Before that loss they thumped Borussia Monchengladbach 3-0 and destroyed Eintracht Trier 6-0, proof that the attack functions well when the opposition sits deep or lacks quality. The Bayern Munich defeat (1-3) and the Leeds loss (0-2) in the same stretch point to real problems when Leipzig face sharper, more organized defenses, which is a concern heading into a tougher European test.
🚨Check out our dedicated Como vs RB Leipzig stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite
- Moneyline Como 1.79 | RB Leipzig 3.90
- Draw 4.00
The market leans firmly toward Como, and honestly, we think that price is fair given the home advantage and Como’s steadier recent form. Leipzig’s odds near 3.90 reflect their inconsistency away from home this season, not just a weaker overall squad. A draw at 4.00 looks tempting on paper given how close these two sides are on paper, but we would rather back Como to find a way through given their sharper passing and set-piece numbers.
Possible Starting Lineups
Como possible starting eleven
- GK: Jean Butez
- DF: Jacobo Ramón, Trevoh Chalobah, Álex Valle, Yan Couto
- MF: Luis Milla, Lucas Da Cunha, Martin Baturina, Nico Paz, Maximo Perrone
- FW: Anastasios Douvikas
Fàbregas has stuck with a 4-2-3-1 shape across his last five matches, and the players above have logged the most minutes in that system. Nico Paz and Baturina sit just behind Douvikas, and both have looked comfortable rotating positions to create passing lanes through the middle. Butez remains the clear first choice in goal given his save numbers and minutes played over Vigorito.
RB Leipzig possible starting eleven
- GK: Maarten Vandevoordt
- DF: Willi Orbán, David Raum, Ridle Baku, Castello Junior Lukeba
- MF: Nicolas Seiwald, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Antonio Nusa, Brajan Gruda, Johan Bakayoko
- FW: Tidiam Gomis
Demichelis also favours a 4-2-3-1, with Seiwald and Banzuzi screening in front of the back four while Nusa, Gruda and Bakayoko rotate across the attacking midfield line. Gomis leads the line, and his three assists in the sample show he links well with the wide players even when he is not scoring himself. Vandevoordt’s save count makes him the clear number one over Zingerle and Nyland.
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Como. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a narrow home win for Como, perhaps by a single goal, backed by their sharper passing accuracy and better recent form in draws and wins combined. Leipzig’s ability to score in bursts, six against Trier, three against Gladbach, means we expect goals at both ends rather than a shutout. To be honest, the corner count and set-piece numbers make us lean toward Como edging the closer margins too, and that is where the real value sits for this Matchday 1 opener.
