Como vs Lazio Prediction: 24.08.2025 Serie A Preview

The 2025/26 Serie A season serves up a fascinating clash at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia as promoted dynamo Como face seasoned Lazio on 24 August. While Lazio, led by the eternally methodical Maurizio Sarri, remain bookies’ favourites in the global pecking order, Como’s fairytale resurgence under Cesc Fàbregas has football romantics watching with bated breath. One key subplot? Fàbregas’ tactical renaissance against Sarri’s relentless pressing.

Keep an eye on Anastasios Douvikas for Como – his clinical finishing could test any defence after netting twice last match. For Lazio, midfield architect Luis Alberto’s vision and set piece expertise have been known to unlock even the tightest Italian backlines. While neither side boasts a legendary goalkeeper in the current form guide, watch both keepers’ confidence – it could define which side seizes their Serie A moment.

Perhaps the hottest stat entering this clash: Como have won four of their last five outings, scoring three or more in all four victories. That sort of firepower against Lazio’s occasionally porous defence is not to be sniffed at!

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Como vs Lazio prediction

Given Como’s red-hot attack (three goals per home game on average in August) and Lazio’s persistent but not impenetrable defence, the value is with backing goals. Over 2.5 total goals looks particularly enticing, as both sides boast creative threats but have also been susceptible during transitions. With both squads preferring open, attacking football – and Como racking up 16 shots in their most recent match – expect a see-sawing affair.

Discipline may be decisive: Como average 11 fouls per match, with one yellow card in their last showing, hinting at a robust style. Lazio, for their part, have been relatively cleaner lately but tend to rack up bookings when pressed. Ball possession should be fiercely contested, but Como’s pass accuracy of 89 percent in recent matches gives them a slight edge in controlling tempo. All signs point to both sides finding the scoresheet, so “Both Teams to Score: Yes” emerges as another top option.

Team Analysis

Como’s Recent Games

Como stunned many by outclassing SudTirol 3-1 last time out, displaying a clinical edge. Their recent wins over Real Betis (3-2) and Ajax (3-0) in international friendlies show that this is no flash in the pan. Fàbregas has instilled belief and high pressing, with goals coming from the likes of Douvikas and Da Cunha. Even in the heavy 0-5 defeat against Barcelona, Como still attempted to push forward, showing courage if not always defensive solidity.

Lazio’s Recent Games

Lazio showed steel in a 2-0 win against Atromitos and squeezed out a hard-fought 1-0 against Burnley. Draws have peppered their summer, most notably the 2-2 with Galatasaray, but a 1-0 defeat to Fenerbahce shows defensive lapses creep in when stretched. Lazio remain purposeful in their build-up, but must find greater consistency if they are to justify their status as Serie A heavyweights.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Como vs Lazio stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite

• Moneyline Como 2.45-2.60 | Lazio 2.70-3.07
• Draw 3.20-3.35
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.75 | No 2.05

While the bookmakers show Como with the slight edge (averaging a 39 percent win probability vs Lazio’s 32 percent), odds suggest this one could go either way. The draw is also well-backed, reflecting each team’s tendency to play open football and drop points through costly defensive moments. Over/Under and BTTS odds point strongly to an open game, fitting recent form, especially as both sides have averaged two or more goals in pre-season and are unafraid to attack from wide areas.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Como possible starting eleven

Jean Butez should get the nod in goal, having started recent matches and demonstrated sharp distribution. At the back, Moreno and Vojvoda provide width, with Kempf and Naveros forming a reliable central pairing. The midfield four – Da Cunha, Roberto, Paz, Rodríguez – blend creativity and ball-winning. Up front, Douvikas is undroppable after a brace last time out, with Addai providing supporting runs. Expect them to line up in a 4-2-3-1, prioritising width and quick transitions.

Lazio possible starting eleven

Lazio’s likely XI keeps faith with their 4-2-3-1: Provedel behind a familiar back four of Marusic, Romagnoli, Casale, and Hysaj, all experienced Serie A campaigners. In midfield, Cataldi and Vecino shield Luis Alberto, who will be tasked with pulling creative strings. Up top, Immobile leads the line, flanked by Anderson and Zaccagni, both capable of match-turning moments. The set-up is designed to control tempo yet break dangerously when opportunities arise. Watch especially for Luis Alberto’s influence and Immobile’s predatory runs inside the box.

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My take on the Match

This one has all the makings of a Serie A classic, with Como’s raw energy clashing against Lazio’s guile and experience. The edge ever so slightly tips in Como’s favour, thanks to recent attacking explosions and the tactical fearlessness Cesc Fàbregas has instilled. That said, Lazio’s experience and set-piece prowess could see them snatch something late. Back both teams to score and over 2.5 goals as the safest picks, while a sneaky Asian Handicap in Como’s favour (even a draw nets part returns) offers superb value. As the season unfolds, we could be witnessing the rise of a new northern power in Italian football, with both sides primed to shake up established hierarchies. What more could a football fan ask for?

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